A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes’s theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.
From the comforting glow of Baker Street gas-lamps to the gloom of the ocean's depths, Sherlock Holmes lays bare the secrets of men, monsters and evil in twelve new tales of the bizarre, the uncanny and the arcane.
Science fiction, fantasy and horror movies have spawned more sequels and remakes than any other film genre. Following Volume I, which covered 400 films made 1931-1995, Volume II analyzes 334 releases from 1996 through 2016. The traditional cinematic monsters are represented--Dracula, Frankenstein, the Wolf Man, a new Mummy. A new wave of popular series inspired by comics and video games, as well as The Lord of the Rings trilogy, could never have been credibly produced without the advances in special effects technology. Audiences follow the exploits of superheroes like Captain America, Iron Man, Spider-Man and Thor, and such heroines as the vampire Selene, zombie killer Alice, dystopian rebels Katniss Everdeen and Imperator Furiosa, and Soviet spy turned American agent Black Widow. The continuing depredations of Jason Voorhees, Freddy Krueger and Michael Myers are described. Pre-1996 movies that have since been remade are included. Entries features cast and credits, detailed synopsis, critics' reviews, and original analysis.
From the first pitch at the original Polo Grounds on May 1, 1883, to the night of August 9, 2002, at Pacific Bell Park, where Barry Bonds crushed his 600th career home run -- and beyond -- the New York and San Francisco Giants have been one of the most successful -- and popular -- franchises in Major League Baseball. They have won five World Series championships (plus three 19th-century titles) and 20 National League pennants. Some 50 Giants are enshrined in the National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, New York (more than any other franchise). Now, all the highlights and the individuals who provided them are captured in this comprehensive history of the club. The Giants Encyclopedia is more than just a running narrative of the franchise's history. It chronicles all 120 seasons in minute detail (the world championships, pennant winners, near-misses and disappointments). The book features biographies of more than 100 players (from Hall of Famers like Willie Mays and Christy Mathewson to present-day stars like Barry Bonds and Robb Nen), plus prominent owners (such as John Day, Horace and Charles Stoneham, Bob Lurie and Peter Magowan); front office executives (like Chub Feeney, Al Rosen and Brian Sabean); managers (such as John McGraw, Leo Durocher, Roger Craig and Dusty Baker); and broadcasters (Russ Hodges, Lon Simmons and Hank Greenwald).
Think you know all there is to know about horror movies? Well, think again. 1000 Amazing Horror Movie Facts is chock full of fascinating and unusual facts about classic (and not so classic) horror movies. Blockbusters, B-movies, slashers, ghost stories, video nasties, anthologies, sequels, gore, cursed productions, what might have been, casting, controversy, and so on. So dim the lights and prepare to enter the spooky and blood drenched world of horror movies....
Kerry was the scene of some of the bloodiest and most protracted fighting during the civil war. When Free State troops landed dramatically by sea, taking the anti-treaty forces by surprise, the initial fighting was intense. Soon resistance by large groups became rare and the sides settled into a prolonged period of guerrilla conflict.The Civil War in Kerry builds an insightful picture of the conflict and its principle participants. Looking at both sides and their motivations, their challenges and also their similarities, it draws a complete picture of the county during this troubled period.By following events to the general election in 1923 when a degree of normality returned, it also shines a light on how the noncombatants of Kerry judged the conflict and how the war shaped the future of politics in the county for decades to come.
Join Sherlock Holmes and Doctor Watson in solving problems, dilemmas, and mysteries they encounter while trying to apprehend the infamous Professor Moriarty and other fiendish felons. Plots are uncovered, murderers revealed, liars unmasked, and goods recovered through the completion of delightfully illustrated logic puzzles, codes, anagrams, number puzzles, and whodunits.
The popularity of the old Route 66 is one of America's great comeback stories. This fully revised and expanded edition of Snyder's classic guide will make the trip along the "Mother Road" more exciting than ever with new information on mini-tours, photography tips, a planning section, and more. Over 40 maps.
The Bible of Irish income tax...' - Irish Independent, 28 January 2018 Tom Maguire's annual publication on Irish income tax is the long-established leading authority in the area. This immensely popular tax essential is the number one income tax book for tax practitioners, accountants and tax lawyers. Indispensable in practice, it will help you to apply the relevant legislation with ease and precision. It endeavours to provide a complete analysis of the principles and practice of income tax in the Republic of Ireland. This new edition is based on the Finance Act 2020. It also provides an examination of recent key decisions by the courts both here and in the UK, as well as by the Tax Appeal Commissioners. The 2021 edition deals with changes in relation to pandemic unemployment payments, the dependent relative tax credit and the mobility allowance. In particular the new edition examines the impact of the Covid Restrictions Support Scheme, which is available to eligible businesses who carry on an activity that is impacted by the Covid-19 Restrictions.
This flagship title, also known as "Feeney", provides the most comprehensive analysis and commentary available on the taxation of companies in Ireland. Written by Tom Maguire, this new edition is updated to the Finance Act 2022. An extremely practical book, it features detailed worked examples and extensive references to case law throughout the work. The guidance and advice outlines how to successfully apply new tax reliefs, keeping your client's tax liabilities as low as possible. This title is included in Bloomsbury Professional's Irish Tax online service.
In what ways do the artistic avant-garde's representations of the human body reflect the catastrophe of World War I? The European modernists were inspired by developments in the nineteenth-century, yielding new forms of knowledge about the nature of reality and repositioning the human body as the new 'object' of knowledge. New 'visions' of the human subject were created within this transformation. However, modernity's reactionary political climate - for which World War I provided a catalyst - transformed a once liberal ideal between humanity, environment, and technology, into a tool of disciplinary rationalisation. Visions of the Human considers the consequences of this historical moment for the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. It explores the ways in which the 'technologies of the self' that inspired the avant-garde were increasingly instrumentalised by conservative politics, urbanism, consumer capitalism and the society of 'the spectacle'. This is an engaging and powerful study which challenges prior ideas and explores new ways of thinking about modern visual culture.
This key book provides the most comprehensive analysis and commentary available on the taxation of companies in Ireland. Written by Tom Maguire, this new edition is updated to the Finance Act 2020. An extremely practical book, it features detailed worked examples and extensive references to case law throughout the work. The guidance and advice outlines how to successfully apply the new tax reliefs, keeping your client's tax liabilities as low as possible. Updates included in this edition are: - The Finance Act 2020 provisions on transfer pricing exclusions, albeit subject to Ministerial order at time of writing - Discussions on Revenue guidance issued on various provisions in previous year e.g. hybrid transactions An overview of recently decided case law at the courts and at the Tax Appeals Commission Discussion of certain Covid-19 related provisions.
An editor in the offices of the Strand Magazine has received a challenge: Holmes' exploits as reported by Watson present only one side of the coin. There are persons working on the other side of the law whose intelligence and planning are equal to Holmes'. Moreover, the crimes they commit are "Such works of art" that authorities don't detect any crime has been committed. The author of the challenge encloses a short story showing how this perfect crime has been committed. Once that murder was verified by Holmes, the plotter announces a planned crime that will throw England into chaos--killing the Queen, the Prime Minister and Sherlock Holmes!
(Screen World). Every significant U.S. and international film released from January 1 to December 31, 2002, along with complete filmographies: cast, characters, credits, production company, month released, rating and running time. Also included are biographical entires: an unmatched reference of over 2,250 living stars, including real name, school, place and date of birth.
The Bible of Irish income tax ...", Irish Independent, 28 January 2018. This tax essential, formerly known as Judge, is the leading income tax book for tax practitioners, accountants and tax lawyers. Indispensable in practice, it will help you to apply the relevant legislation with ease and precision. It provides a complete analysis of the principles and practice of income tax in Ireland. It also provides an examination of recent key decisions by the courts both in Ireland and in the UK, as well as by the Tax Appeal Commissioners. This new edition is updated to Finance Act 2022. This title is included in Bloomsbury Professional's Irish Tax online service.
This flagship title, also known as "Feeney", provides the most comprehensive analysis and commentary available on the taxation of companies in Ireland. Written by Tom Maguire, this new edition is updated to the Finance Act 2021. An extremely practical book, it features detailed worked examples and extensive references to case law throughout the work. The guidance and advice outlines how to successfully apply the new tax reliefs, keeping your client's tax liabilities as low as possible. This title is included in Bloomsbury Professional's Irish Tax online service.
Fourth Edition —Fully revised and updated with 30 new maps throughout. Right down America's Main Street it rolled, pausing at each town along the way, then moving on, carrying travelers in search of adventure, romance, or that rare chance for a new beginning. Route 66 knew many names: the Mother Road, Will Rogers Highway, the Neon Road. And it lived up to each. Travelers met the land, found new friends—and often themselves. Now, more than a quarter-century since being officially abandoned, the old road still keeps its promise. Today, all along the highway's 2,448-mile length from Chicago to L.A., signs carrying its magic double sixes once again give direction to the journey. Yes, they assure you, this is still Route 66. . . . More than twenty years after the original publication of Route 66, this completely updated and expanded guide will make the trip along the Mother Road easier and even more exciting. Responding to requests from readers and travelers, Tom Snyder offers up-to-date routings, elegant and easy-to-read new maps, and revised information on roadside attractions. Filled with love, high jinks, and mystery, the stories Snyder narrates truly capture the flavor of the Main Street of America. Cattle rustlers, gangsters, hitchhikers, and ghosts all make appearances in these nostalgic glimpses of history-in-the-making along America's most famous highway.
The life and work of American director John G. Avildsen is thoroughly examined in this detailed filmography and critical study. Each of the most significant films made by the Oscar-winning Avildsen is given a separate chapter, including such critical successes as Joe and Save the Tiger, and box-office blockbusters Rocky and its sequels and the Karate Kid series. The authors' observations on these and other titles--some well known, others less familiar--are enhanced by extensive production notes, and by commentary from John G. Avildsen himself. Cinema historian Jean Bodon of Sam Houston State University provides a foreword.
Brand Fusion: Purpose-driven brand strategy presents a compelling case for what consumers, customers, employees, and wider society are now demanding from companies – the development of brands that deliver profit with purpose, are sustainable, and create mutually beneficial meaning. It fuses theory-practice-application to purpose-driven brand strategies in order to develop a unique approach that has comprehensive theoretical underpinning as well as practical and thought-provoking lessons from industry. Data-driven case studies from a broad range of brands and contexts show the application of this learning–from micro-brands to corporates; charities to technology companies; retirement villages to aspiring high-growth start-ups. Brand Fusion: Purpose-driven brand strategy is an in-depth analysis of the philosophy and practice behind creating a purposeful brand.
The Off-Hollywood Film Guide cuts through the clutter of the thousands of films currently available on video and DVD by specifically catering to independent- and foreign-film enthusiasts. In addition to a list of essential must-see films, this guide includes hundreds of entries, each with brief commentary and a list of pertinent details, such as release date, cast, director, awards garnered, special DVD features, and double-feature suggestions. The listings are also cross-referenced by genre, director, actors, and country of origin.
Was Abner Doubleday the architect of baseball? What exactly did it mean to be a “professional” baseball player in the 1870s? What goes on in the front office? What exactly is the Eephus pitch? What are “the tools of ignorance”? Readers will find the answers to these questions – and many others – in the pages of this remarkable baseball reference that's essential reading for fans of the game. Part history book, part instructional guide, and part reference manual, Baseball FAQ covers all the bases – from the rules of the game to the ballparks of yesterday and today, from the minors to the major league, from the stats to the food. This engaging, compulsively readable tome offers baseball fans of all ages a wealth of fun facts and anecdotes on America's favorite pastime, including sections on the All-American Girls Professional Ball League, the Negro Leagues, the basic skills of baseball, baseball in the movies, the scandals, and the Hall of Famers.
“Inspiring and deeply distressing.” —Ezekiel J. Emanuel, author of Which Country Has the World’s Best Health Care? How did a lifesaving medical breakthrough become a for-profit enterprise that threatens many of the people it’s meant to save? Six decades ago, visionary doctors achieved the impossible: the humble kidney, acknowledged since ancient times to be as essential to life as the heart, became the first human organ to be successfully replaced with a machine. Yet huge dialysis corporations, ambitious doctor-entrepreneurs and Beltway lobbyists soon turned this medical miracle into an early experiment in for-profit medicine—and one of the nation’s worst healthcare catastrophes. With powerful insight and on-the-ground reporting, New York Times best-selling author Tom Mueller introduces an unforgettable cast of characters. Heroic patients, including a Hollywood stuntman and body double, risk their lives to blow the whistle on how they’ve been mistreated. An unpaid activist living in a south Georgia trailer park fights to save patients from involuntary discharge from their lifesaving care. Industry insiders put their careers on the line to speak out about the endemic wrongs and pervasive inequality they’ve witnessed—and about dialysis executives who dress as musketeers and Star Wars characters to exhort their employees to more aggressive profit-seeking. Mueller evokes the scientific ingenuity and optimism of the 1950s and 1960s, when the burgeoning field of organ transplant and early dialysis machines offered long-awaited hope for lifesaving care. That is, until a New York salesman had himself dialyzed on the floor of the House, and Congress made renal disease the only “Medicare for All” condition—opening the financial floodgates for Big Dialysis. Of the thousands caught in a web of corporate greed, a disproportionate number are Black and Latino, highlighting the stark racial divides already endemic to American medicine. How to Make a Killing reveals dialysis as a microcosm of American medicine and poses a vital challenge: find a way to fix dialysis, and we’ll have a fighting chance of fixing our country’s dysfunctional healthcare system as a whole, restoring patients, not profits, as its true purpose.
Further chapters consider the future prospects of South African democracy and provide assessments of both Nelson Mandela and his successor, Thabo Mbeki."--BOOK JACKET.
Central America is as different as the readers of this book. The region is an absolute paradox. It may be all that you imagine, but surprisingly, it is much more than one could ever embrace. It is more than the long and winding territory that connects North and South America. To the typical North American, the area conjures up vivid and varied images. On the geographical side, a mountainous area with volcanoes, colonial cities, jungles, and, of course, bananas and coffee. On the political front, turmoil, dictatorships and instability. On the economic front, rich versus poor, agriculture-based economies, and sweatshops where United States garments are manufactured and exported. It is a complex and fascinating place, home to 41 million people with a total gross domestic product of about $88 billion. How do you begin to categorize such a dramatic and extraordinary For starters, this region geographically encompasses seven countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama. These countries have many mysterious cities and fascinating destinations that you could only hope to place them on the map in your mind.
Millions have seen the movie and thousands have read the book but few have fully appreciated the mathematics developed by John Nash's beautiful mind. Today Nash's beautiful math has become a universal language for research in the social sciences and has infiltrated the realms of evolutionary biology, neuroscience, and even quantum physics. John Nash won the 1994 Nobel Prize in economics for pioneering research published in the 1950s on a new branch of mathematics known as game theory. At the time of Nash's early work, game theory was briefly popular among some mathematicians and Cold War analysts. But it remained obscure until the 1970s when evolutionary biologists began applying it to their work. In the 1980s economists began to embrace game theory. Since then it has found an ever expanding repertoire of applications among a wide range of scientific disciplines. Today neuroscientists peer into game players' brains, anthropologists play games with people from primitive cultures, biologists use games to explain the evolution of human language, and mathematicians exploit games to better understand social networks. A common thread connecting much of this research is its relevance to the ancient quest for a science of human social behavior, or a Code of Nature, in the spirit of the fictional science of psychohistory described in the famous Foundation novels by the late Isaac Asimov. In A Beautiful Math, acclaimed science writer Tom Siegfried describes how game theory links the life sciences, social sciences, and physical sciences in a way that may bring Asimov's dream closer to reality.
The Snowflake Rebellion is a novel about the ultimate Alaska tea party--a satirical thriller about political rebellion gone wild. A young couple moves to Alaska from the East. Deeply in love, Colin and Sheila Callihan take opposing paths, he an oil company geologist, she an environmental activist. He discovers a vast oil reservoir on the North Slope; she becomes his most vocal critic. Governor Jimmy Pender asks Colin to join the Alaskan Independence Party and bring it under control. The party's increasingly militant members are creating a political firestorm. The state rebels against decisions made in Washington and economic control by outsiders. Colin leads the rebels' insurrection. After 50 years as a state, might Alaska go its own way? Author Tom Brennan explores the possibility in his unique novel The Snowflake Rebellion. In this semi-serious look at what might have been--and what lies ahead--Brennan writes the history of Alaska as it would look if a few events had played out differently.
The career of Christopher Lee has stretched over half a century in every sort of film from comedy to horror and in such diverse roles as the Man With the Golden Gun, Frankenstein's monster, Fu Manchu and Sherlock Holmes. From Corridor of Mirrors in 1948 to Star Wars: Episode II-Attack of the Clones in 2002, this reference book covers 166 theatrical feature films: all production information, full cast and crew credits, a synopsis, and a critical analysis, with a detailed account of its making and commentary drawn from some thirty hours of interviews with Lee himself. Two appendices list Lee's television feature films and miniseries and his short films. The work concludes with an afterword by Christopher Lee himself. Photographs from the actor's private collection are included.
This is the story of Jane who finds the novel she is working on starts to write back. She's already realized novel writing isn't such a piece of cake after all, and the world of fiction is a far more complicated place than she ever imagined.
Figuring out perplexing puzzles is "elementary" for Sherlock Holmes, but now you've got a chance to show off your smarts, too! Match wits with the dastardly Moriarty and other scoundrels as you try to break codes, sort out stolen loot, and solve tricky riddles crucial to untangling crimes. Give this one a shot: Sherlock Holmes handed a piece of notepaper to Dr. Watson. The following sequence of letters was written on the paper O T T F F S R S E N T "One of these letters does not belong to the series, Watson ," said Holmes. Can you identify the letter that doesn't belong? Old fans and new will love finding out they measure up to the classic detective. Answer: R. All the other letters are the initial letters of the numbers one to ten.
Every significant U.S. and international film released from January 1 to December 31, 2002, along with complete filmographies: cast, characters, credits, production company, month released, rating and running time. Also included are biographical entires: an unmatched reference of over 2,250 living stars, including real name, school, place and date of birth.
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