The tasks of macroeconomics are to interpret observations on economic aggregates in terms of the motivations and constraints of economic agents and to predict the consequences of alternative hypothetical ways of administering government economic policy. General equilibrium models form a convenient context for analyzing such alternative government policies. In the past ten years, the strengths of general equilibrium models and the corresponding deficiencies of Keynesian and monetarist models of the 1960s have induced macroeconomists to begin applying general equilibrium models. This book describes some general equilibrium models that are dynamic, that have been built to help interpret time-series of observations of economic aggregates and to predict the consequences of alternative government interventions. The first part of the book describes dynamic programming, search theory, and real dynamic capital pricing models. Among the applications are stochastic optimal growth models, matching models, arbitrage pricing theories, and theories of interest rates, stock prices, and options. The remaining parts of the book are devoted to issues in monetary theory; currency-in-utility-function models, cash-in-advance models, Townsend turnpike models, and overlapping generations models are all used to study a set of common issues. By putting these models to work on concrete problems in exercises offered throughout the text, Sargent provides insights into the strengths and weaknesses of these models of money. An appendix on functional analysis shows the unity that underlies the mathematics used in disparate areas of rational expectations economics. This book on dynamic equilibrium macroeconomics is suitable for graduate-level courses; a companion book, Exercises in Dynamic Macroeconomic Theory, provides answers to the exercises and is also available from Harvard University Press.
After being banned from celebrating the holidays with his stepfamily, San Diego businessman Lucas Kendrick arrives in Marietta, Montana, in time to attend the New Year’s Eve celebration at the Graff Hotel. The rodeo-theme party isn’t his style but he’s drawn to the pretty cowgirl running the dice table. When the clock strikes midnight and they ring in the New Year with a kiss, Lucas almost forgets he’s in Marietta on business and not pleasure. He believes he’s found the perfect property for his prized client. There’s just one problem—the pretty cowgirl has her sights set on the same piece of real estate. Now that single mom Ava Moore has earned a business degree, she wants to help other struggling women get back on their feet by opening a co-op on Main Street. The last thing she expects is competition from the handsome city slicker whose New Year’s kiss she hasn’t been able to forget. Lucas isn’t only stealing Ava’s heart he’s bonding with her daughter. Can Ava convince Lucas that the best business deals are made with the heart and not money? Previously titled New Year's at the Graff
THE NEWEST THRILLER IN THE DS ADAM TYLER SERIES, FROM THE BESTSELLING AUTHOR OF FIREWATCHING 'Clever and ingenious, I was gripped’ SAM HOLLAND ‘One of the best detective novels I’ve read in a long time . . . Russ Thomas is an exceptional talent’ LESLEY KARA _____________________________ THE LIES OF THE PAST . . . When an anonymous tip lands on his desk, DS Adam Tyler is intrigued in spite of himself. The disappearance of a young mother twenty-four years ago was big news, but the case was never solved – this tantalizing new lead is something he simply can’t ignore. But the letter has set in motion a dangerous chain of events, and Tyler’s search for the truth soon leaves him fighting for his life. . . . LIVE IN THE PRESENT With Tyler out of action, DC Mina Rabbani must step up to lead the Cold Case Review Unit in his absence, retracing Tyler’s steps and uncovering his secrets to figure out what he was working on. But as she begins to put the pieces together, the case starts to hit frighteningly close to home. Without DS Tyler to protect her, Mina realizes that now she’s the one with hard choices to make. And this time she’s on her own. ‘From the first page to the last the only things sleeping around here were the dogs! This is everything I want from a thriller – tense, devious, and deliciously wicked’ NICK CURRAN ‘One of the best police procedural series in recent years . . . Addictive, immersive, and an absolute must for any crime fiction fans’ ROBERT RUTHERFORD ‘Another cracking and compulsive thriller from Russ Thomas . . . Guaranteed to delight’ HEATHER CRITCHLOW ‘At last, a police procedural with real emotional depth, a heart rending plot that hooks from the first page and, in Tyler and Mina, a very charismatic cast’ CARO RAMSAY ‘For anyone who loves to binge a series, here’s your next obsession . . . Thomas goes from strength to strength!’ JO FURNISS Brimming with character and tension, the DS Adam Tyler series is perfect for fans of Tana French, Adrian McKinty and M. W. Craven: #1 FIREWATCHING #2 NIGHTHAWKING #3 COLD RECKONING #4 SLEEPING DOGS
A New York Times bestseller! An epic history of the decline of American military leadership—from the bestselling author of Fiasco and Churchill and Orwell. While history has been kind to the American generals of World War II—Marshall, Eisenhower, Patton, and Bradley—it has been less kind to the generals of the wars that followed, such as Koster, Franks, Sanchez, and Petraeus. In The Generals, Thomas E. Ricks sets out to explain why that is. In chronicling the widening gulf between performance and accountability among the top brass of the U.S. military, Ricks tells the stories of great leaders and suspect ones, generals who rose to the occasion and generals who failed themselves and their soldiers. In Ricks’s hands, this story resounds with larger meaning: about the transmission of values, about strategic thinking, and about the difference between an organization that learns and one that fails.
Lion of Judah, the Christmas story; with historians and Scriptural explanation why God dealt differently with Mary and Joseph identifying two different sects of the Jewish religion they were raised under and a forbidden love; they accidentally overcome by the common belief on the age of the virgin in Isaiah 7:14; MaryaEUR(tm)s and JosephaEUR(tm)s age caused trouble. Reader will learn about the Jewish wedding custom and wedding feast. Information concerning Jewish practice of the law dealing with a husband and his wife, being pregnant, that the child was not his. The records of criminal activities during RomeaEUR(tm)s first taxation, shows who protected Mary during her trip to ElisabethaEUR(tm)s and how Joseph protected her in the journey to Bethlehem. Correct transportation a carpenter would provide for his wife to travel almost eighty miles, carrying his Christ. Bible and historians describe Levi and his father being RomeaEUR(tm)s tax collectors. At JesusaEUR(tm)s birth, Levi was a teenager and his father was BethlehemaEUR(tm)s chief tax collector. Historians and Bible describes Lucas and his father being physician. At JesusaEUR(tm)s birth, Lucas was a teenager and his father was an army physician at Bethlehem.RomeaEUR(tm)s historical records of medical schools throughout the empire (with there being two where Lucas was born) and development of the Military Physician Core by the year Augustus first taxation was in force, gives strong evidences of two teenage boys (a Jew and a Gentile), could meet Mary and Joseph, then witness events, that did not mean a thing to them at the time, until both were born again. Read St. Matthew first and second chapters; St. Luke first and second chapters; you will have to read Lion of Judah to have a broader perspective and complete picture of the fulness of time God sent forth his Son, made of a woman, made under the law.
This comprehensive and richly illustrated catalogue focuses on the finest illustrated manuscripts produced in Europe during the great epoch in Flemish illumination. During this aesthetically fertile period – beginning in 1467 with the reign of the Burgundian duke Charles the Bold and ending in 1561 with the death of the artist Simon Bening – the art of book painting was raised to a new level of sophistication. Sharing inspiration with the celebrated panel painters of the time, illuminators achieved astonishing innovations in the handling of color, light, texture, and space, creating a naturalistic style that would dominate tastes throughout Europe for nearly a century. Centering on the notable artists of the period – Simon Marmion, the Vienna Master of Mary of Burgundy, Gerard David, Gerard Horenbout, Bening, and others – the catalogue examines both devotional and secular manuscript illumination within a broad context: the place of illuminators within the visual arts, including artistic exchange between book painters and panel painters; the role of court patronage and the emergence of personal libraries; and the international appeal of the new Flemish illumination style. Contributors to the catalogue include Maryan W. Ainsworth, curator of European paintings at the Metropolitan Museum of Art; independent scholar Catherine Reynolds; and Elizabeth Morrison, assistant curator of manuscripts at the Getty Museum. Illuminating the Renaissance is published in conjunction with an exhibition organized by the Getty Museum, the Royal Academy of Arts, London, and the British Library to be held at the Getty Museum from June 17 to September 7, 2003, and at the Royal Academy of Arts from November 25, 2003 to February 22, 2004.
This book is the genealogical history of the ancestry of Jacob (Stephen) Gruben and Maria Emilie Krmer who came to the United States from Germany in the early 1880's. The book traces each of their ancestries back through German civil registration records and the earlier Catholic Church records to the 17th century. The book includes information about the first generation born in the United States. Similarly the book traces the family of Johann Gottfried (Godfrey) Nienhaus, a nephew of Jacob (Stephen) Gruben, who also came to the United States at about the same time. The book contains information on the first generation of the Nienhaus family that was born in the United States. The book is of wider interest because there is a discussion of the nature of and idiosyncrasies of the German civil registration and Catholic records available in the Dsseldorf / Cologne area of Germany. There is an extensive discussion of a method of determining a family line when faced with the sometimes scant information available in the early Catholic Church records. There are large numbers of collateral relatives listed in the lines of descendants contained in the book with over 1800 people listed, most of whom were born, lived and died in the Dsseldorf / Cologne area of Germany. There is a surname index to the lines of descendants in the Gruben section and a surname index to the lines of descendants in the Krmer section of the book.
A host of political factors—both internal and external—influence the Court’s decisions and shape the development of constitutional law. Combining lessons of the legal model with the influences of the political process, Constitutional Law for a Changing America: Institutional Powers and Constraints shows how these dynamics shape the development of constitutional doctrine.
“Badfellas” takes the reader behind the scenes to reveal what it is like to be a trial lawyer in justice’s great arena, the courts of America. Mr. Roth writes from the vantage point of an attorney who had been a prosecutor, defense attorney and civil litigant for more than 40 years. His “badfellas” include drug traffickers, organized criminals, terrorists, murders, a pimp, a pedophile priest, and a TV talk show villain. He chooses 7 of his most intriguing cases and trials to tell his compelling story: • “The Smuggler and the Terrorist Prince”: The prosecution of America’s most wanted drug smuggler who became a hostage aboard an airliner hijacked by Pakistani terrorists. • “Welcome to Palermo”: The prosecution of the first Sicilian Connection heroin importation case, where the top echelon of an entire international smuggling operation was dismantled in coordinated trials in New York and Italy. • “The Charity That Wasn’t”: The trial of a gang of incorrigible criminals and murderers which used a charity as a front for their drug organization. • “Hush Money”: A lawsuit involving a pedophile priest and the Catholic’s Church’s unsuccessful attempts to conceal the clergyman’s crimes. • “The Mouth That Roared”: The defense of a popular television personality who was charged with assaulting a gay rights activist on his show. • “Tony Montana and the Bird Dog”: The defense of an Atlantic City pimp accused of laundering money for a 25-year-old crack kingpin who fancied himself the “Tony Montana” of Queens. • “The Bad Side of Mansfield”: A DEA Agent who faced the travails of a modern-day Job, all orchestrated by a rogue drug informant whose deceitful conduct turned the criminal justice system upside down.
The Ransom Canyon series is coming soon to Netflix starring Josh Duhamel and Minka Kelly! Two families long divided by an ancient feud. Can a powerful love finally unite them? Blade Hamilton is the last of his line. He’s never even heard of Crossroads, Texas, until he inherits land there. Riding in on his vintage Harley-Davidson, Blade finds a weathered ranch house, an empty prairie and a dark river that cuts a decisive path between the Hamiltons’ land and that of their estranged neighbors. When Dakota helps a stranger on the roadside, she isn’t prepared for the charisma of the man on the motorbike—or for the last name he bears: Hamilton, of her family’s sworn enemies, representing all she’s been raised to loathe. The problem is, it looks like Blade is in town to stay, and there’s something about his wolf-gray eyes she just can’t ignore. Lauren Brigman feels adrift. Unhappy in work and unlucky in love, she knows she ought to be striving for more, but she’s never truly at peace unless she’s at home in Crossroads. If the wider world can’t satisfy her, is home truly where her heart is? Free bonus story included in this book! Enjoy Winter’s Camp, the gripping Ransom Canyon prequel novella! Don't miss the rest of the Ransom Canyon Series! Book 0.5: Winter's Camp Book 1: Ransom Canyon Book 2: Rustler's Moon Book 3: Lone Heart Pass Book 4: Sunrise Crossing Book 5: Wild Horse Springs Book 6: Indigo Lake Book 6.5: A Christmas Affair Book 7: Mistletoe Miracles Book 8: Christmas in Winter Valley
Reprint of the original, first published in 1865. Edited from the Text of the Edition of 1634, With Introduction and Notes by Thomas Wright. Second Edition.
The main theme of this book is the theory of heights as they appear in various guises. This includes a large body of results on Mahlers measure of the height of a polynomial. The authors'approach is very down to earth as they cover the rationals, assuming no prior knowledge of elliptic curves. The chapters include examples and particular computations, with all special calculation included so as to be self-contained. The authors devote space to discussing Mahlers measure and to giving some convincing and original examples to explain this phenomenon. XXXXXXX NEUER TEXT The main theme of this book is the theory of heights as it appears in various guises. To this §End.txt.Int.:, it examines the results of Mahlers measure of the height of a polynomial, which have never before appeared in book form. The authors take a down-to-earth approach that includes convincing and original examples. The book uncovers new and interesting connections between number theory and dynamics and will be interesting to researchers in both number theory and nonlinear dynamics.
When Josie Serafini’s brother Vic loses his wife and children in a tragic accident, Josie leaves her home and beloved horses in Upstate New York to join him in Los Angeles. While helping Vic pick up the pieces of his shattered life, Josie confronts broken relationships with her estranged father and rebellious, singer-songwriter daughter. Josie and Vic each struggle to find where they belong in their changing worlds. Josie finds comfort in nature and in a budding, long-distance relationship with the empathetic equine veterinarian caring for her horses back home. Vic battles depression as he seeks purpose in his life. Josie’s three horses and a Siberian husky help open hearts to tenderness and healing—but it’s an unexpected journey to the US-Mexico border that offers this fragmented family a chance to reconnect. A story of love, loss, and forgiveness, Josie and Vic conveys hope—even in the darkest of times.
A Fighter’s Will By: Thomas Dominguez III Bryson is a young man hungry to fight. He goes into training and hopes to grow into a great warrior. Along the way he has many fierce and difficult battles. Nevertheless, he has family and a number of talented friends who support him, but even more bitter enemies who seek to end his quest. Bryson knows this is just the beginning of his journey to fight stronger people. He awaits his next challenge: his promise is that he will never lose his will; no matter how long the wait is. A Fighter’s Will is a story readers can enjoy and learn from. They can achieve their dreams if they have the “Drive!”
Based on extensive research as well as on a career working for cultural institutions, historian Thomas E. Chávez has created a historical novel about the American southwest, specifically in New Mexico and Arizona, a place where Europeans settled in 1598. Here is a historical narrative about one of those families. The story begins and ends with Edward Romero who became the United States ambassador to Spain and is prototypical of the thousands of young men and some women who sought a new life in the new world and became American. These were people taking risks, accepting fate, succeeding, failing, loving, and hating. The Romero story is an American odyssey shared by any number of families in a region and whose cultural legacy is part of the heritage of the United States that only recently has come to the fore in the United States’ national consciousness. This story delineates a part of the heritage of every American and enriches an already beautiful history. A bibliographic essay, maps, and genealogical charts will assist the reader to differentiate places, names, and generations.
Written by Lars Peter Hansen (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2013) and Thomas Sargent (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2011), Uncertainty within Economic Models includes articles adapting and applying robust control theory to problems in economics and finance. This book extends rational expectations models by including agents who doubt their models and adopt precautionary decisions designed to protect themselves from adverse consequences of model misspecification. This behavior has consequences for what are ordinarily interpreted as market prices of risk, but big parts of which should actually be interpreted as market prices of model uncertainty. The chapters discuss ways of calibrating agents' fears of model misspecification in quantitative contexts.
Harlequin Intrigue brings you three full-length stories in one collection! Dive into action-packed stories that will keep you on the edge of your seat. Solve the crime and deliver justice at all costs. SILENCED WITNESS By K.D. Richards West Investigations After her brother dies under a cloud of suspicion, Alexis Douglas will do whatever it takes to clear his name. Enlisting the help of TJ Roman proves a double-edged sword. Her brother’s onetime best friend, the ex-military PI can’t afford any missteps. Alexis’s safety is all that matters, despite the powerful attraction drawing them closer. Up against a killer desperate to keep the truth buried, TJ must step up his game before he and Alexis are both silenced forever. ESCAPE THE EVERGLADES By Caridad Piñeiro South Beach Security: K-9 Division Two years after his wife’s death, ex-marine Carlos Ruiz isn't looking for romance. But then army vet and security expert Natalie Rodriguez and her incredible K-9 walk into his life in the Everglades. Before long, the purely professional relationship turns all too personal, especially once Carlos’s little boy goes missing. Now, as they follow the K-9's every lead, uncovering the truth becomes vital to the child's rescue. And to securing their all too precarious future… GUARDIAN DEFENDER By Jacquelin Thomas Not even leaving her old life behind can keep former Homeland Security agent Rylee Greenwood safe from the ruthless cartel hunting her. After a murder leaves her WITSEC identity compromised, Rylee joins forces with ex-US Marshal Kaleb Stone. But uncovering evidence to take down a powerful enemy who’s always one step ahead plunges them into a deadly game that could cost them their lives... Seek thrills. Solve crimes. Justice served. For more edge-of-your seat romantic suspense, look for Harlequin Intrigue July – Box Set 1 of 2!
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