Stanislav Secrieru's Books

Illusion of Power

Russia After the South Caucasus Battle

By: Stanislav Secrieru

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Illusion of Power

Russia After the South Caucasus Battle

By: Stanislav Secrieru

The war in the South Caucasus sent shockwaves throughout the post-Soviet world, European capitals and across the Atlantic, making more urgent the demand for a re-evaluation of policies towards Russia. The projection of hard power in Georgia generated a number of unintended consequences for the Russian state. The crisis and war unveiled many of Russia's weaknesses and vulnerabilities across four crucial dimensions: the military, the 'power vertical' and federalism, the economy and Russia's international position. This paper aims at reassessing Russia's military, political, economic and diplomatic might after the battle in the South Caucasus. The research concludes with proposals for a new Western strategy on Russia and the EU's Eastern Neighbourhood which would ensure an undivided and sustainable European order.

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CEPS

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ISBN 10

9290798556

ISBN 13

9789290798552

Russian Futures 2030

The Shape of Things to Come

By: Sinikukka Saari,Stanislav Secrieru,Marcin Kaczmarski,Janis Kluge,András Rácz,Tatiana Stanovaya,Andrew Wilson

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Russian Futures 2030

The Shape of Things to Come

By: Sinikukka Saari,Stanislav Secrieru,Marcin Kaczmarski,Janis Kluge,András Rácz,Tatiana Stanovaya,Andrew Wilson

This Chaillot Paper seeks to provide readers with ambitious foresight analysis and insights on how to be prepared for unexpected twists and turns in Russia’s future trajectory. The opening chapter highlights a set of key megatrends that will shape how Russia evolves in the decade ahead. Subsequent chapters focus on key sectors and analyse critical uncertainties that will influence Russia’s future course of development. They cover state-society relations in the country; its economic development and the evolution of its military posture; as well as how Russia’s relations with the EU’s eastern neighbours and China may unfold by 2030. Each of these chapters presents three alternative future scenarios. While they zoom in on specific themes and sectors, the concluding section offers a panoramic view of the various possible futures – combining elements of all of the preceding chapters to produce three holistic snapshots of Russia in 2030.

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103

Published Date

ISBN 10

9291989657

ISBN 13

9789291989652

Illusion of Power

Russia After the South Caucasus Battle

By: Stanislav Secrieru

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Illusion of Power

Russia After the South Caucasus Battle

By: Stanislav Secrieru

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CEPS

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ISBN 10

9290798556

ISBN 13

9789290798552

Russia Under Sanctions

Assessing the Damage, Scrutinising Adaptation and Evasion

By: Stanislav Secrieru

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Russia Under Sanctions

Assessing the Damage, Scrutinising Adaptation and Evasion

By: Stanislav Secrieru

For a year and a half, Russia has been living under sanctions. The restrictive measures were imposed as a response to its continued violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity. The sanctions were crafted by an informal coalition of states politically and economically representing the West. Despite the Western nature of the sanctions, Russian and non-Russian companies (including Chinese) involved in Western markets tacitly respected the sanctions as well. Although the sanctions were designed to have a cumulative effect in the mid to long term, they still have taken a heavy toll on Russia in the short term. As part of Russia's adaptation to the sanctions regime, the country's governing elites embarked on both an open and covert campaign to undermine the effectiveness of the sanctions, prevent new restrictions by the West, and remove ones already in place. To support the economy and its defence projects, Russia pushed for import substitution programmes, which face an uncertain investment climate, a shortage of qualified workforce, a lack of private investment capital and knowhow. As the West ruled out "lethal protection" of Ukraine, the sanctions came to represent an efficient, low-cost tool to shelter Ukraine and constrain Russia's power. The sanctions will remain an important element of Western strategy towards Russia. However, sanctions are not a universal answer and should be supported by other tools. As this report suggests, a creative approach to reach out to the Russian population, which is misinformed about the West and kept in the dark about the country's domestic problems, should be part of Western strategy on Russia. Certainly, the door for engagement with Russia should remain open, too. But, this engagement should be a principled one so that the threshold for spheres-of-influence deals is hermetically closed.

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ISBN 10

8364895648

ISBN 13

9788364895647

Russian Futures 2030

The Shape of Things to Come

By: Sinikukka Saari,Stanislav Secrieru,Marcin Kaczmarski,Janis Kluge,András Rácz,Tatiana Stanovaya,Andrew Wilson

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Russian Futures 2030

The Shape of Things to Come

By: Sinikukka Saari,Stanislav Secrieru,Marcin Kaczmarski,Janis Kluge,András Rácz,Tatiana Stanovaya,Andrew Wilson

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Solve jigsaw puzzle

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103

Published Date

ISBN 10

9291989649

ISBN 13

9789291989645

Book's by Stanislav Secrieru

Illusion of Power

Illusion of Power

Russian Futures 2030

Russian Futures 2030

Illusion of Power

Illusion of Power

Russia Under Sanctions

Russia Under Sanctions

Russian Futures 2030

Russian Futures 2030

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