Preston Keat's Books

The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Preface)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

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The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Preface)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

As Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat reveal in this innovative book, volatile political events such as the 2008 Georgia-Russia confrontation--and their catastrophic effects on business--happen much more frequently than investors imagine. On the curve that charts both the frequency of these events and the power of their impact, the "tail" of extreme political instability is not reassuringly thin but dangerously fat. Featuring a new Foreward that accounts for the cataclysmic effects of the 2008 financial crisis, The Fat Tail is the first book to both identify the wide range of political risks that global firms face and show investors how to effectively manage them. Written by two of the world's leading figures in political risk management, it reveals that while the world remains exceedingly risky for businesses, it is by no means incomprehensible. Political risk is unpredictable, but it is easier to analyze and manage than most people think. Applying the lessons of world history, Bremmer and Keat survey a vast range of contemporary risky situations, from stable markets like the United States or Japan, where politically driven regulation can still dramatically effect business, to more precarious places like Iran, China, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, and Nigeria, where private property is less secure and energy politics sparks constant volatility. The book sheds light on a wide array of political risks--risks that stem from great power rivalries, terrorist groups, government takeover of private property, weak leaders and internal strife, and even the "black swans" that defy prediction. But more importantly, the authors provide a wealth of unique methods, tools, and concepts to help corporations, money managers, and policy makers understand political risk, showing when and how political risk analysis works--and when it does not. "The Fat Tail delivers practical wisdom on the impact of political risk on firms of every description and valuable advice on how to use it. Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat offer innovative thinking and useful insight that will help business decision-makers find fresh answers to questions they may not yet know they have." --Fareed Zakaria, best-selling author of The Post-American World "Political risk has become increasingly complex, and The Fat Tail provides a truly new way to quantitatively assess it in established and emerging markets. It is essential reading for any CEO with multinational interests." --Randall Stephenson, Chairman, CEO and President, AT&T Inc. "Should be essential reading for anyone involved in international business even--perhaps especially--in places that seem politically stable." --Bill Emmott, former editor-in-chief of The Economist

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Page Count

274

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0199752885

ISBN 13

9780199752881

Singapore after Lee Kuan Yew

By: S. C. Y. Luk,P. W. Preston

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Singapore after Lee Kuan Yew

By: S. C. Y. Luk,P. W. Preston

This book addresses key questions about how Singapore is likely to develop going forward, what are the key challenges facing the state, and how is the government going to deal with these matters. The book shows how important Lee Kuan Yew and subsequent individual leaders have been in shaping Singapore, and goes on to consider specific new challenges, including rapid population growth, migration and a changing population mix, the rise of China and possible shifts in the regional balance of power, and anxieties about the economy and an increasing global backlash against the neo-liberal free trade regime. It considers key areas of economic policy, social policy, and foreign policy, and explores the changing nature of governance. It also examines the Singapore government's effort to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. Overall, the book provides a concise, comprehensive assessment of the current state of Singapore and its likely future direction.

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Page Count

203

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

135101904X

ISBN 13

9781351019040

National Pasts in Europe and East Asia

By: Peter W. Preston

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National Pasts in Europe and East Asia

By: Peter W. Preston

With the rise of industrial capitalism in Europe and the related imposition of colonial rule in much of East Asia, both Europe and East Asia have intertwined histories that continue to shape their political thinking and political decision making. The contemporary interactions of the two regions – now once again major trading partners – will both depend upon and facilitate deeper understandings of their respective sets of national pasts. This book compares national pasts as well as the current processes of change taking place in Europe and East Asia, including the dynamics of the European Union in Europe and the re-emergence of the historical centre of China in East Asia. It argues that as the change unfolds in the economic, social and political fields, the various national pasts embedded with the polities of the two regions will also need to be revisited and reworked. This book makes an invaluable contribution to research on comparative politics, as well as studies on South East Asia and Europe.

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Page Count

370

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

1136959459

ISBN 13

9781136959455

The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Foreword)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

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The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Foreword)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

As Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat reveal in this innovative book, volatile political events such as the 2008 Georgia-Russia confrontation—and their catastrophic effects on business—happen much more frequently than investors imagine. On the curve that charts both the frequency of these events and the power of their impact, the "tail" of extreme political instability is not reassuringly thin but dangerously fat. Featuring a new Foreword that accounts for the cataclysmic effects of the 2008 financial crisis, The Fat Tail is the first book to both identify the wide range of political risks that global firms face and show investors how to effectively manage them. Written by two of the world's leading figures in political risk management, it reveals that while the world remains exceedingly risky for businesses, it is by no means incomprehensible. Political risk is unpredictable, but it is easier to analyze and manage than most people think. Applying the lessons of world history, Bremmer and Keat survey a vast range of contemporary risky situations, from stable markets like the United States or Japan, where politically driven regulation can still dramatically effect business, to more precarious places like Iran, China, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, and Nigeria, where private property is less secure and energy politics sparks constant volatility. The book sheds light on a wide array of political risks—risks that stem from great power rivalries, terrorist groups, government takeover of private property, weak leaders and internal strife, and even the "black swans" that defy prediction. But more importantly, the authors provide a wealth of unique methods, tools, and concepts to help corporations, money managers, and policy makers understand political risk, showing when and how political risk analysis works—and when it does not. "The Fat Tail delivers practical wisdom on the impact of political risk on firms of every description and valuable advice on how to use it. Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat offer innovative thinking and useful insight that will help business decision-makers find fresh answers to questions they may not yet know they have." —Fareed Zakaria, best-selling author of The Post-American World "Political risk has become increasingly complex, and The Fat Tail provides a truly new way to quantitatively assess it in established and emerging markets. It is essential reading for any CEO with multinational interests." —Randall Stephenson, Chairman, CEO and President, AT&T Inc. "Should be essential reading for anyone involved in international business even—perhaps especially—in places that seem politically stable." —Bill Emmott, former editor-in-chief of The Economist

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Page Count

272

Publisher

OUP USA

Published Date

ISBN 10

0199737274

ISBN 13

9780199737277

The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Preface)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

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The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge in an Uncertain World (with a New Preface)

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

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Page Count

273

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0199750807

ISBN 13

9780199750801

The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge for Strategic Investing

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

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The Fat Tail

The Power of Political Knowledge for Strategic Investing

By: Ian Bremmer,Preston Keat

Explores a wide array of political risks--including risks that stem from terrorist groups, power rivalries, weak leaders and internal strife and more--and offers methods, tools and concepts to help corporations, money managers and policy makers understand political risks. Cowritten by the author of The J Curve. Reprint.

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Page Count

254

Publisher

Oxford University Press, USA

Published Date

ISBN 10

0195328558

ISBN 13

9780195328554

Book's by Preston Keat

The Fat Tail

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Singapore after Lee Kuan Yew

Singapore after Lee Kuan Yew

National Pasts in Europe and East Asia

National Pasts in Europe and East Asia

The Fat Tail

The Fat Tail

The Fat Tail

The Fat Tail

The Fat Tail

The Fat Tail

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