Panel on Population Projections's Books

Beyond Six Billion

Forecasting the World's Population

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections

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Beyond Six Billion

Forecasting the World's Population

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections

Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.

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Page Count

368

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309172020

ISBN 13

9780309172028

The New Americans

Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on the Demographic and Economic Impacts of Immigration

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The New Americans

Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on the Demographic and Economic Impacts of Immigration

This book sheds light on one of the most controversial issues of the decade. It identifies the economic gains and losses from immigrationâ€"for the nation, states, and local areasâ€"and provides a foundation for public discussion and policymaking. Three key questions are explored: What is the influence of immigration on the overall economy, especially national and regional labor markets? What are the overall effects of immigration on federal, state, and local government budgets? What effects will immigration have on the future size and makeup of the nation's population over the next 50 years? The New Americans examines what immigrants gain by coming to the United States and what they contribute to the country, the skills of immigrants and those of native-born Americans, the experiences of immigrant women and other groups, and much more. It offers examples of how to measure the impact of immigration on government revenues and expendituresâ€"estimating one year's fiscal impact in California, New Jersey, and the United States and projecting the long-run fiscal effects on government revenues and expenditures. Also included is background information on immigration policies and practices and data on where immigrants come from, what they do in America, and how they will change the nation's social fabric in the decades to come.

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Page Count

448

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309174716

ISBN 13

9780309174718

Population, Land Use, and Environment

Research Directions

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Center for Economics, Governance, and International Studies,Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change,Panel on New Research on Population and the Environment

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Population, Land Use, and Environment

Research Directions

Population, Land Use, and Environment: Research Directions offers recommendations for future research to improve understanding of how changes in human populations affect the natural environment by means of changes in land use, such as deforestation, urban development, and development of coastal zones. It also features a set of state-of-the-art papers by leading researchers that analyze population-land useenvironment relationships in urban and rural settings in developed and underdeveloped countries and that show how remote sensing and other observational methods are being applied to these issues. This book will serve as a resource for researchers, research funders, and students.

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Page Count

344

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309164931

ISBN 13

9780309164931

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Volume II, Technical Papers

By: Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs,National Research Council

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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Volume II, Technical Papers

This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.

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Page Count

359

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309045428

ISBN 13

9780309045421

Limiting the Magnitude of Future Climate Change

By: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,America's Climate Choices: Panel on Limiting the Magnitude of Climate Change

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Limiting the Magnitude of Future Climate Change

By: National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,America's Climate Choices: Panel on Limiting the Magnitude of Climate Change

Climate change, driven by the increasing concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, poses serious, wide-ranging threats to human societies and natural ecosystems around the world. The largest overall source of greenhouse gas emissions is the burning of fossil fuels. The global atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, the dominant greenhouse gas of concern, is increasing by roughly two parts per million per year, and the United States is currently the second-largest contributor to global emissions behind China. Limiting the Magnitude of Future Climate Change, part of the congressionally requested America's Climate Choices suite of studies, focuses on the role of the United States in the global effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The book concludes that in order to ensure that all levels of government, the private sector, and millions of households and individuals are contributing to shared national goals, the United States should establish a "budget" that sets a limit on total domestic greenhouse emissions from 2010-2050. Meeting such a budget would require a major departure from business as usual in the way the nation produces and uses energy-and that the nation act now to aggressively deploy all available energy efficiencies and less carbon-intensive technologies and to develop new ones. With no financial incentives or regulatory pressure, the nation will continue to rely upon and "lock in" carbon-intensive technologies and systems unless a carbon pricing system is established-either cap-and-trade, a system of taxing emissions, or a combination of the two. Complementary policies are also needed to accelerate progress in key areas: developing more efficient, less carbon-intense energy sources in electricity and transportation; advancing full-scale development of new-generation nuclear power, carbon capture, and storage systems; and amending emissions-intensive energy infrastructure. Research and development of new technologies that could help reduce emissions more cost effectively than current options is also strongly recommended.

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Page Count

276

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

030914597X

ISBN 13

9780309145978

The Aging Population in the Twenty-First Century

Statistics for Health Policy

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Statistics for an Aging Population

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The Aging Population in the Twenty-First Century

Statistics for Health Policy

It is not news that each of us grows old. What is relatively new, however, is that the average age of the American population is increasing. More and better information is required to assess, plan for, and meet the needs of a graying population. The Aging Population in the Twenty-First Century examines social, economic, and demographic changes among the aged, as well as many health-related topics: health promotion and disease prevention; quality of life; health care system financing and use; and the quality of careâ€"especially long-term care. Recommendations for increasing and improving the data availableâ€"as well as for ensuring timely access to themâ€"are also included.

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Page Count

340

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309038812

ISBN 13

9780309038812

Beyond Six Billion

Forecasting the World's Population

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections

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Beyond Six Billion

Forecasting the World's Population

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections

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Solve jigsaw puzzle

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Page Count

368

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309172020

ISBN 13

9780309172028

The New Americans

Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on the Demographic and Economic Impacts of Immigration

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The New Americans

Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on the Demographic and Economic Impacts of Immigration

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448

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309174716

ISBN 13

9780309174718

Cities Transformed

Demographic Change and Its Implications in the Developing World

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Urban Population Dynamics

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Cities Transformed

Demographic Change and Its Implications in the Developing World

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Urban Population Dynamics

Virtually all of the growth in the world's population for the foreseeable future will take place in the cities and towns of the developing world. Over the next twenty years, most developing countries will for the first time become more urban than rural. The benefits from urbanization cannot be overlooked, but the speed and sheer scale of this transformation present many challenges. A new cast of policy makers is emerging to take up the many responsibilities of urban governanceâ€"as many national governments decentralize and devolve their functions, programs in poverty, health, education, and public services are increasingly being deposited in the hands of untested municipal and regional governments. Demographers have been surprisingly slow to devote attention to the implications of the urban transformation. Drawing from a wide variety of data sources, many of them previously inaccessible, Cities Transformed explores the implications of various urban contexts for marriage, fertility, health, schooling, and children's lives. It should be of interest to all involved in city-level research, policy, planning, and investment decisions.

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Page Count

550

Publisher

National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309168058

ISBN 13

9780309168052

Book's by Panel on Population Projections

Beyond Six Billion

Beyond Six Billion

The New Americans

The New Americans

Population, Land Use, and Environment

Population, Land Use, and Environment

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Limiting the Magnitude of Future Climate Change

Limiting the Magnitude of Future Climate Change

The Aging Population in the Twenty-First Century

The Aging Population in the Twenty-First Century

Beyond Six Billion

Beyond Six Billion

The New Americans

The New Americans

Cities Transformed

Cities Transformed

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