Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census's Books

Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census

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Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census

The census coverage measurement programs have historically addressed three primary objectives: (1) to inform users about the quality of the census counts; (2) to help identify sources of error to improve census taking, and (3) to provide alternative counts based on information from the coverage measurement program. In planning the 1990 and 2000 censuses, the main objective was to produce alternative counts based on the measurement of net coverage error. For the 2010 census coverage measurement program, the Census Bureau will deemphasize that goal, and is instead planning to focus on the second goal of improving census processes. This book, which details the findings of the National Research Council's Panel on Coverage Evaluation and Correlation Bias, strongly supports the Census Bureau's change in goal. However, the panel finds that the current plans for data collection, data analysis, and data products are still too oriented towards measurement of net coverage error to fully exploit this new focus. Although the Census Bureau has taken several important steps to revise data collection and analysis procedures and data products, this book recommends further steps to enhance the value of coverage measurement for the improvement of future census processes.

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180

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309128269

ISBN 13

9780309128261

Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census

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Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census

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180

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309128269

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9780309128261

Change and the 2020 Census

Not Whether But How

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel to Review the 2010 Census

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Change and the 2020 Census

Not Whether But How

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel to Review the 2010 Census

Sponsored by the Census Bureau and charged to evaluate the 2010 U.S. census with an eye toward suggesting research and development for the 2020 census, the Panel to Review the 2010 Census uses this first interim report to suggest general priorities for 2020 research. Although the Census Bureau has taken some useful organizational and administrative steps to prepare for 2020, the panel offers three core recommendations, and suggests the Census Bureau take and assertive, aggressive approach to 2020 planning rather than casting possibilities purely as hypothetical. The first recommendation on research and development suggests four broad topic areas for research early in the decade. Second, the report suggest that the Bureau take an aggressive, assertive posture toward research in these priority areas. Third, it identifies the setting of bold goals as essential to underscoring the need for serious reengineering and building commitment to change.

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309211212

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9780309211215

Envisioning the 2020 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments

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Envisioning the 2020 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments

Planning for the 2020 census is already beginning. This book from the National Research Council examines several aspects of census planning, including questionnaire design, address updating, non-response follow-up, coverage follow-up, de-duplication of housing units and residents, editing and imputation procedures, and several other census operations. This book recommends that the Census Bureau overhaul its approach to research and development. The report urges the Bureau to set cost and quality goals for the 2020 and future censuses, improving efficiency by taking advantage of new technologies.

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362

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309151155

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9780309151153

Once, Only Once, and in the Right Place

Residence Rules in the Decennial Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Residence Rules in the Decennial Census

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Once, Only Once, and in the Right Place

Residence Rules in the Decennial Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Residence Rules in the Decennial Census

The usefulness of the U.S. decennial census depends critically on the accuracy with which individual people are counted in specific housing units, at precise geographic locations. The 2000 and other recent censuses have relied on a set of residence rules to craft instructions on the census questionnaire in order to guide respondents to identify their correct "usual residence." Determining the proper place to count such groups as college students, prisoners, and military personnel has always been complicated and controversial; major societal trends such as placement of children in shared custody arrangements and the prevalence of "snowbird" and "sunbird" populations who regularly move to favorable climates further make it difficult to specify ties to one household and one place. Once, Only Once, and in the Right Place reviews the evolution of current residence rules and the way residence concepts are presented to respondents. It proposes major changes to the basic approach of collecting residence information and suggests a program of research to improve the 2010 and future censuses.

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377

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309102995

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9780309102995

Measuring International Trade on U.S. Highways

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Bureau of Transportation Statistics International Trade Traffic

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Measuring International Trade on U.S. Highways

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Bureau of Transportation Statistics International Trade Traffic

International trade plays a substantial role in the economy of the United States. More than 1.6 billion tons of international merchandise was conveyed using the U.S. transportation system in 2001. The need to transport this merchandise raises concerns about the quality of the transportation system and its ability to support this component of freight movement. Measuring International Trade on U.S. Highways evaluates the accuracy and reliability of measuring the ton-miles and value-miles of international trade traffic carried by highway for each state. This report also assesses the accuracy and reliability of the use of diesel fuel data as a measure of international trade traffic by state and identifies needed improvements in long-term data collection programs.

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309095190

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9780309095198

The 2000 Census

Counting Under Adversity

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel to Review the 2000 Census

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The 2000 Census

Counting Under Adversity

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel to Review the 2000 Census

The decennial census was the federal government's largest and most complex peacetime operation. This report of a panel of the National Research Council's Committee on National Statistics comprehensively reviews the conduct of the 2000 census and the quality of the resulting data. The panel's findings cover the planning process for 2000, which was marked by an atmosphere of intense controversy about the proposed role of statistical techniques in the census enumeration and possible adjustment for errors in counting the population. The report addresses the success and problems of major innovations in census operations, the completeness of population coverage in 2000, and the quality of both the basic demographic data collected from all census respondents and the detailed socioeconomic data collected from the census long-form sample (about one-sixth of the population). The panel draws comparisons with the 1990 experience and recommends improvements in the planning process and design for 2010. The 2000 Census: Counting Under Adversity will be an invaluable resource for users of the 2000 data and for policymakers and census planners. It provides a trove of information about the issues that have fueled debate about the census process and about the operations and quality of the nation's twenty-second decennial enumeration.

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621

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309166527

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9780309166522

Measuring a Changing Nation

Modern Methods for the 2000 Census

By: Panel on Alternative Census Methodologies,Committee on National Statistics,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,National Research Council

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Measuring a Changing Nation

Modern Methods for the 2000 Census

This final report of the Panel on Alternative Census Methodologies provides an assessment of the Census Bureau's plans for the 2000 census as of the time of the 1998 census dress rehearsal. It examines changes in census plans following, and to a modest extent in reaction to, the panel's second interim report, regarding the use of sampling for nonresponse follow-up, construction of the master address file, use of multiple response modes and respondent-friendly questionnaires, and the use of administrative records. It also describes evaluation plans for the census dress rehearsal and plans for data collection and experimentation during the 2000 census. Most of the results from the dress rehearsal were not yet available to the panel, so this report does not offer any suggested changes to 2000 census plans in response to the dress rehearsal.

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126

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309519071

ISBN 13

9780309519076

Reengineering the 2010 Census

Risks and Challenges

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

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Reengineering the 2010 Census

Risks and Challenges

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

At the request of the U.S. Census Bureau, the National Research Council's Committee on National Statistics established the Panel on Research on Future Census Methods to review the early planning process for the 2010 census. This new report documents the panel's strong support for the major aims of the Census Bureau's emerging plan for 2010. At the same time, it notes the considerable challenges that must be overcome if the bureau's innovations are to be successful. The panel agrees with the Census Bureau that implementation of the American Community Survey and, with it, the separation of the long form from the census process are excellent concepts. Moreover, it concurs that the critically important Master Address File and TIGER geographic systems are in dire need of comprehensive updating and that new technologies have the potential to improve the accuracy of the count. The report identifies the risks and rewards of these and other components of the Census Bureau's plan. The report emphasizes the need for the bureau to link its research and evaluation efforts much more closely to operational planning and the importance of funding for a comprehensive and rigorous testing program before 2010.

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291

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309166276

ISBN 13

9780309166270

Envisioning the 2020 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments

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Envisioning the 2020 Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments

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363

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309157676

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9780309157674

Experimentation and Evaluation Plans for the 2010 Census

Interim Report

By: National Research Council (U.S.). Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments,Lawrence D. Brown,Michael L. Cohen,Daniel L. Cork

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Experimentation and Evaluation Plans for the 2010 Census

Interim Report

By: National Research Council (U.S.). Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Evaluations and Experiments,Lawrence D. Brown,Michael L. Cohen,Daniel L. Cork

For the past 50 years, the Census Bureau has conducted experiments and evaluations with every decennial census involving field data collection during which alternatives to current census processes are assessed for a subset of the population. An "evaluation" is usually a post hoc analysis of data collected as part of the decennial census processing to determine whether individual steps in the census operated as expected. The 2010 Program for Evaluations and Experiments, known as CPEX, has enormous potential to reduce costs and increase effectiveness of the 2020 census by reducing the initial list of potential research topics from 52 to 6. The panel identified three priority experiments for inclusion in the 2010 census to assist 2020 census planning: (1) an experiment on the use of the Internet for data collection; (2) an experiment on the use of administrative records for various census purposes; and (3) an experiment (or set of experiments) on features of the census questionnaire. They also came up with 11 recommendations to improve efficiency and quality of data collection including allowing use of the Internet for data submission and including one or more alternate questionnaire experiments to examine things such as the representation of race and ethnicity.

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109

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309115450

ISBN 13

9780309115452

A Census that Mirrors America

Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methods

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A Census that Mirrors America

Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methods

This volume examines the Census Bureau's program of research and development of the 2000 census, focusing particularly on the design of the 1995 census tests. The tests in 1995 should serve as a prime source of information about the effectiveness and cost of alternative census design components. The authors concentrate on those aspects of census methodology that have the greatest impact on two chief objectives of census redesign: reducing differential undercount and controlling costs. Primary attention is given to processes for data collection, the quality of population coverage and public response, and the use of sampling and statistical estimation.

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108

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309049792

ISBN 13

9780309049795

Measuring the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey

Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Statistical Methods for Measuring the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey

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Measuring the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey

Interim Report

Following several years of testing and evaluation, the American Community Survey (ACS) was launched in 2005 as a replacement for the census "long form," used to collect detailed social, economic, and housing data from a sample of the U.S. population as part of the decennial census. During the first year of the ACS implementation, the Census Bureau collected data only from households. In 2006 a sample of group quarters (GQs)-such as correctional facilities, nursing homes, and college dorms-was added to more closely mirror the design of the census long-form sample. The design of the ACS relies on monthly samples that are cumulated to produce multiyear estimates based on 1, 3, and 5 years of data. The data published by the Census Bureau for a geographic area depend on the area's size. The multiyear averaging approach enables the Census Bureau to produce estimates that are intended to be robust enough to release for small areas, such as the smallest governmental units and census block groups. However, the sparseness of the GQ representation in the monthly samples affects the quality of the estimates in many small areas that have large GQ populations relative to the total population. The Census Bureau asked the National Research Council to review and evaluate the statistical methods used for measuring the GQ population. This book presents recommendations addressing improvements in the sample design, sample allocation, weighting, and estimation procedures to assist the Census Bureau's work in the very near term, while further research is conducted to address the underlying question of the relative importance and costs of the GQ data collection in the context of the overall ACS design.

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309185106

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9780309185103

Planning the 2010 Census

Second Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

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Planning the 2010 Census

Second Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

The Panel on Research on Future Census Methods has a broad charge to review the early planning process for the 2010 census. Its work includes observing the operation of the 2000 census, deriving lessons for 2010, and advising on effective evaluations and tests. This is the panel's third report; they have previously issued an interim report offering suggestions on the Census Bureau's evaluation plan for 2000 and a letter report commenting on the bureau's proposed general structure for the 2010 census.

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147

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309089689

ISBN 13

9780309089685

Designing the 2010 Census

First Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

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Designing the 2010 Census

First Interim Report

By: National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Panel on Research on Future Census Methods

The Panel on Research on Future Census Methods was formed to examine alternative designs for the 2010 census and to assist the Census Bureau in planning tests and analyses to help assess and compare the advantages and disadvantages of them. Designing the 2010 Census: First Interim Report, examines whether the auxiliary information that is planned to be collected (and retained) during the 2000 census could be augmented to help guide the Census Bureau in its assessment of alternative designs for the 2010 census.

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ISBN 10

0309069440

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9780309069441

Counting People in the Information Age

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methods

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Counting People in the Information Age

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methods

How do you count a nation of more than 250 million peopleâ€"many of whom are on the move and some of whom may not want to be counted? How can you obtain accurate population information for apportioning the House of Representatives, allocating government resources, and characterizing who we are and how we live? This book attempts to answer these questions by reviewing the recent census operations and ongoing research and by offering detailed proposals for ways to improve the census.

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239

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309051789

ISBN 13

9780309051781

Modernizing the U.S. Census

By: National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel on Census Requirements in the Year 2000 and Beyond

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Modernizing the U.S. Census

The U.S. census, conducted every 10 years since 1790, faces dramatic new challenges as the country begins its third century. Critics of the 1990 census cited problems of increasingly high costs, continued racial differences in counting the population, and declining public confidence. This volume provides a major review of the traditional U.S. census. Starting from the most basic questions of how data are used and whether they are needed, the volume examines the data that future censuses should provide. It evaluates several radical proposals that have been made for changing the census, as well as other proposals for redesigning the year 2000 census. The book also considers in detail the much-criticized long form, the role of race and ethnic data, and the need for and ways to obtain small-area data between censuses.

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478

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National Academies Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0309176735

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9780309176736

Small Populations, Large Effects

Improving the Measurement of the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey

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Small Populations, Large Effects

Improving the Measurement of the Group Quarters Population in the American Community Survey

In the early 1990s, the Census Bureau proposed a program of continuous measurement as a possible alternative to the gathering of detailed social, economic, and housing data from a sample of the U.S. population as part of the decennial census. The American Community Survey (ACS) became a reality in 2005, and has included group quarters (GQ)-such places as correctional facilities for adults, student housing, nursing facilities, inpatient hospice facilities, and military barracks-since 2006, primarily to more closely replicate the design and data products of the census long-form sample. The decision to include group quarters in the ACS enables the Census Bureau to provide a comprehensive benchmark of the total U.S. population (not just those living in households). However, the fact that the ACS must rely on a sample of what is a small and very diverse population, combined with limited funding available for survey operations, makes the ACS GQ sampling, data collection, weighting, and estimation procedures more complex and the estimates more susceptible to problems stemming from these limitations. The concerns are magnified in small areas, particularly in terms of detrimental effects on the total population estimates produced for small areas. Small Populations, Large Effects provides an in-depth review of the statistical methodology for measuring the GQ population in the ACS. This report addresses difficulties associated with measuring the GQ population and the rationale for including GQs in the ACS. Considering user needs for ACS data and of operational feasibility and compatibility with the treatment of the household population in the ACS, the report recommends alternatives to the survey design and other methodological features that can make the ACS more useful for users of small-area data.

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