A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
From June 28, 1933 to June 27, 1934, every day for a year, Dorman B. E. Kent wrote an article for the Montpelier Evening Argus about the people, places and events of late 19th and early 20th century Montpelier and many surrounding towns. In these articles he mentions thousands of people by name and writes a compelling history of Montpelier not so much through the eyes of the community leaders and high society types that often dominate such histories, but through anecdotes of those both great and small and in doing so he gives a good account that should be of interest to all of those who can trace their roots back to the smallest state capitol in the country.
In this insightful book, two leading scholars in Christian education trace the history of the discipline from the Old Testament to the present. Presented against the backdrop of wider philosophical thought and historical events, Anthony and Benson show how each successive era shaped the practice of Christian education today. The result is a book brimming with insights that reveal the historical roots and philosophical underpinnings of issues relevant to current practice in Christian education ministries."The purpose of this book is to provide the reader with more than just valuable insights regarding the past. . . . The future is the emphasis of this history book." From the Introduction
This insightful book focuses on state-of-the-art retirement communities in the United States today. Experts from the fields of urban planning, architecture, and aging present in-depth profiles of a variety of retirement communities. The changing function and character of retirement communities--resulting from changes in supply and demand, alternate lifestyles, and other environmental needs of an ever-increasing aging population--are explored. The timely discussions in this useful resource offer insights into the relative strengths and weaknesses of various types of retirement communities with respect to the varying needs, abilities, and desires of older people.
Volume Two of an award-winning professor's introduction to essential concepts of calculus and mathematical modeling for students in the biosciences This is the second of a two-part series exploring essential concepts of calculus in the context of biological systems. Building on the essential ideas and theories of basic calculus taught in Mathematical Models in the Biosciences I, this book focuses on epidemiological models, mathematical foundations of virus and antiviral dynamics, ion channel models and cardiac arrhythmias, vector calculus and applications, and evolutionary models of disease. It also develops differential equations and stochastic models of many biomedical processes, as well as virus dynamics, the Clancy-Rudy model to determine the genetic basis of cardiac arrhythmias, and a sketch of some systems biology. Based on the author's calculus class at Yale, the book makes concepts of calculus less abstract and more relatable for science majors and premedical students.
In Viruses, Plagues, and History, virologist Michael Oldstone explains the scientific principles of viruses and epidemics while relating the past and present history of the major and recurring viral threats to human health, and how they have influenced human events.
There is a dark history in southwest Ohio that some people would much rather forget. A riot tore through downtown Cincinnati in 1884, a fire burned relentlessly at the Salvation Army orphanage on Front Street, and one of the largest mass murders in history occurred in a small, unassuming home in Hamilton. Many of these tragedies have begun to fade away, forgotten in dusty books hidden on library shelves. The spirits of those involved in these tragedies, though, are not so easily forgotten. Many of the most popular historic sites and some of the lesser-known and forgotten corners of southwest Ohio are haunted by the spirits of those who lived and died there. Haunted Cincinnati and Southwest Ohio examines the ghostly history of more than 30 such locations. It tells ghost stories and reports historic events from area theaters, cemeteries, museums, parks, roads, railroad tracks, and even a castle through narrative and photographs. Perhaps the ghosts are history's way of remembering the past--even those dark corners of the past that few would like to relive.
In this collection of theological essays, Michael Lawler confronts difficult questions in the Catholic theology of marriage. Lawler addresses questions about marriage and sacrament, faith and sacrament, divorce and remarriage, cohabitation, an Catholic models of marriage honestly, historically, accurately, and pastorally. He identifies and explores debated issues, embraces a position on them, and sustains his position with reasoned Catholic insight and pastoral sensitivity. With an excellent command of the sources, he offers a fresh look at the Catholic theology of marriage for a new millennium.
Consistently lauded for its comprehensiveness and full-color color presentation, the latest edition of Rheumatology by Marc C. Hochberg, MD, MPH et al. continues the tradition of excellence of previous editions. Designed to meet the needs of the practicing clinician, it provides extensive, authoritative coverage of rheumatic disease from basic scientific principles to practical points of clinical management in a lucid, logical, user-friendly manner. Find the critical answers you need quickly and easily thanks to a consistent, highly user-friendly format covering all major disorders of the musculoskeletal system in complete, self-contained chapters. Get trusted perspectives and insights from chapters co-authored by internationally renowned leaders in the field, 25% of whom are new to this edition. Track disease progression and treat patients more effectively with the most current information, including 22 new chapters on genetic findings, imaging outcomes, and cell and biologic therapies as well as rheumatoid arthritis and SLE. Incorporate the latest findings about pathogenesis of disease; imaging outcomes for specific diseases like RA, osteoarthritis, and spondyloarthropathies; cell and biologic therapies; and other timely topics.
These are extraordinary times in U.S. national security policy. America remains engaged in both Iraq and Afghanistan while facing a global economic downturn. Homeland security concerns still abound in the wake of the September 11 attacks. Even as the financial crisis places considerable pressure on the U.S. budget, President Obama will have to spend a great deal of time and money on national security, hard power, and war. How should these competing demands be prioritized? How much money will be needed? How much will be available, and how should it be spent? Budgeting for Hard Power continues the long and proud tradition of Brookings analysis on defense spending. As with previous volumes, this book examines the budgets of the Pentagon and the Department of Energy's nuclear weapons programs. But Michael O'Hanlon takes his analysis further, addressing the wide range of activities crucial for American security as a result of 9/11 and the ongoing wars. He considers homeland security resources and selected parts of the State Department and foreign operations budgets—offering a more complete overall look at the elements that make up America's "hard power" budget, a concept that he and Kurt Campbell wrote about in Hard Power: The New Politics of National Security (2006). With future federal deficits projected to top $1 trillion, O'Hanlon calls for Defense, State, and Homeland Security budgets to be as frugal as possible. At the same time, he recognizes that resources should be selectively increased in certain areas to compensate for years of systematic underfunding, especially in certain areas of homeland security, diplomacy, and foreign assistance. In his typically clear and concise manner, O'Hanlon shows policymakers how to wrestle with the resource allocation decisions affecting the national security of the United States.
This thoroughly revised and updated second edition of Operations Management in Healthcare: Strategy and Practice describes how healthcare organizations can cultivate a competitive lead by developing superior operations using a strategic perspective. In clearly demonstrating the "how-tos" of effectively managing a healthcare organization, this new edition also addresses the "why" of providing quality and value-based care. Comprehensive and practice-oriented, chapters illustrate how to excel in the four competitive priorities - quality, cost, delivery, and flexibility - in order to build a cumulative model of healthcare operations in which all concepts and tools fit together. This textbook encourages a hands-on approach and integrates mind maps to connect concepts, icons for quick reference, dashboards for measurement and tracking of progress, and newly updated end-of-chapter problems and assignments to reinforce creative and critical thinking. Written with the diverse learning needs in mind for programs in health administration, public health, business administration, public administration, and nursing, the textbook equips students with essential high-level problem-solving and process improvement skills. The book reveals concepts and tools through a series of short vignettes of a fictitious healthcare organization as it embarks on its journey to becoming a highly reliable organization. This second edition also includes a strong emphasis on the patient's perspective as well as expanded and added coverage of Lean Six Sigma, value-based payment models, vertical integration, mergers and acquisitions, artificial intelligence, population health, and more to reflect evolving innovations in the healthcare environment across the United States. Complete with a full and updated suite of Instructor Resources, including Instructor’s Manual, PowerPoints, and test bank in addition to data sets, tutorial videos, and Excel templates for students. Key Features: Demonstrates the "how-tos" of effectively managing a healthcare organization Sharpens problem-solving and process improvement skills through use of an extensive toolkit developed throughout the text Prepares students for Lean Six Sigma certification with expanded coverage of concepts, tools, and analytics Highlights new trends in healthcare management with coverage of value-based payments, mergers and acquisitions, population health, telehealth, and more Intertwines concepts with vivid vignettes to describe human dynamics, organizational challenges, and applications of tools Employs boxed features and YouTube videos to address frequently asked questions and real-world instances of operations in practice
A current survey and synthesis of the most important findings in our understanding of the neurobiological mechanisms of addiction is detailed in our Neurobiology of Addiction series, each volume addressing a specific area of addiction. Alcohol, Volume 3 in the series, explores the molecular, cellular, and neurocircuitry systems in the brain responsible for alcohol addiction using the heuristic three-stage cycle framework of binge/intoxication, withdrawal/negative affect, and preoccupation/anticipation. - Outlines the history and behavioral mechanism of action of alcohol relevant to the neurobiology of alcohol addiction - Includes neurocircuitry, cellular, and molecular neurobiological mechanisms of alcohol addiction in each stage of the addiction cycle - Explores evolving areas of research associated with all three stages of the alcohol addiction cycle, including neurobiological studies of neurodevelopmental effects of early exposure to alcohol, sleep disturbances caused by alcohol, pain interactions with alcohol, sex differences in the response to alcohol, and epigenetic/genetic interactions with alcohol
Animal Behavior, Third Edition covers animal behavior from its neurological underpinnings to the importance of behavior in conservation. The book's authors, Michael Breed and Janice Moore, bring almost 60 years of combined experience as university professors, much of that teaching animal behavior. Chapters cover this social behavior and the relationship between parasites, pathogens and behavior. Thoughtful coverage has also been given to foraging behavior, mating and parenting behavior, anti-predator behavior, and learning. The book addresses the physiological foundations of behavior in a way that is both accessible and inviting, with each chapter beginning with learning objectives and ending with thought-provoking questions. Additionally, special terms and definitions are highlighted throughout, making this book an essential work for students and academic seeking a foundation in the field. - Provides a rich resource on animal science and behavior for students and professors from a wide range of life science disciplines - Features updated and revised chapters, with new case studies and high-definition illustrations - Highlights new focuses on animal welfare issues and companion animal behavior
With a large proportion of emergency admissions due to occupational health problems, the effect this can have on your practice cannot be ignored. Owing to the shortage of occupational physicians and limited worker access to health care, the diagnosis and treatment of occupational diseases rely increasingly on the emergency physician. Apart from extra paperwork, owing to the extra legal and administrative regulations, a lack of knowledge of occupational medicine can risk a missed diagnosis. This burden of work means occupational disorders impact the whole of the emergency department. Michael Greenberg addresses your questions and concerns about the management of these patients: from triage to discharge, and beyond for all work-place injuries or disorders, whether office-based, agricultural or industrial and their employment regulations Occupational Emergency Medicine is an essential reference for emergency physicians and trainees, featuring comprehensive information on legal issues involving the physician, and advice on managing occupational health admissions.
This book offers a new interpretation of the spatial-political-environmental dynamics of water and irrigation in long-term histories of arid regions. It compares ancient Southwest Arabia (3500 BC–AD 600) with the American West (2000 BC–AD 1950) in global context to illustrate similarities and differences among environmental, cultural, political, and religious dynamics of water. It combines archaeological exploration and field studies of farming in Yemen with social theory and spatial technologies, including satellite imagery, Global Positioning System (GPS), and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) mapping. In both ancient Yemen and the American West, agricultural production focused not where rain-fed agriculture was possible, but in hyper-arid areas where massive state-constructed irrigation schemes politically and ideologically validated state sovereignty. While shaped by profound differences and contingencies, ancient Yemen and the American West are mutually informative in clarifying human geographies of water that are important to understandings of America, Arabia, and contemporary conflicts between civilizations deemed East and West.
With the ability of time travel, certain world powers seek to reverse historical events in an attempt to change the future to attain global power in their favor by dissolving the power of the US. Ronnie Slay is a time travel agent for the Agency. He is tasked with traveling through time to prevent these historical reversals from occurring. In other words; prevent future attacks on the US and its allies, by protecting the past, preserving the present, and defending the future, in the name of Global and National Security interest.
Practical and clinically focused, Abeloff’s Clinical Oncology is a trusted medical reference book designed to capture the latest scientific discoveries and their implications for cancer diagnosis and management of cancer in the most accessible manner possible. Abeloff’s equips everyone involved - from radiologists and oncologists to surgeons and nurses - to collaborate effectively and provide the best possible cancer care. Consult this title on your favorite e-reader, conduct rapid searches, and adjust font sizes for optimal readability. Select the most appropriate tests and imaging studies for cancer diagnosis and staging of each type of cancer, and manage your patients in the most effective way possible by using all of the latest techniques and approaches in oncology. Enhance your understanding of complex concepts with a color art program that highlights key points and illustrates relevant scientific and clinical problems. Stay at the forefront of the latest developments in cancer pharmacology, oncology and healthcare policy, survivorship in cancer, and many other timely topics. See how the most recent cancer research applies to practice through an increased emphasis on the relevance of new scientific discoveries and modalities within disease chapters. Streamline clinical decision making with abundant new treatment and diagnostic algorithms as well as concrete management recommendations. Take advantage of the collective wisdom of preeminent multidisciplinary experts in the field of oncology, including previous Abeloff’s editors John E. Niederhuber, James O. Armitage, and Michael B. Kastan as well as new editors James H. Doroshow from the National Cancer Institute and Joel E. Tepper of Gunderson & Tepper: Clinical Radiation Oncology. Quickly and effortlessly access the key information you need with the help of an even more user-friendly, streamlined format. Access the complete contents anytime, anywhere at Expert Consult, and test your mastery of the latest knowledge with 500 online multiple-choice review questions.
Michael Lawler sets out a new approach for theology which must, he says, be historical, empirical, and in interdisciplinary collaboration with the social sciences. He explores the relationship between practical theology (which is concerned with the church as it is and as it ought to be) and sociology, using as example two Catholic moral doctrines: artificial contraception and divorce and remarriage without prior annulment. In addition to being a useful primer on the relationship between theology and sociology (both theoretical and empirical), the book provides a wonderfully clear description of the sea-changes that have occurred in Roman Catholic theology worldwide over the past 70 or so years.
A intriguing tale of métis buffalo hunts, a long-lost daughter, and a macabre secret. Big John McTavish has been hunting and trading among the métis buffalo hunters of the Red River Valley for more than thirty years. He’s a trusted member of the half-breed nation, and a leader of the mixed-bloods’ twice-yearly buffalo hunts. However, when he returns to the settlements in the fall of 1832 with a mountain man he’s rescued from a Chippewa war party, he has no way of knowing the chain of events the outsider is about to unleash on the unsuspecting hunters, or the kind of destruction that will follow them onto the buffalo ranges that border the lonely Missouri River. Before the hunters return to their homes along the river, Big John will learn the macabre secret that has brought the trapper from the far reaches of the Rocky Mountains. He will discover a daughter he thought he’d lost forever, and relive the horror that took her away. And the métis will come to realize that if they are to survive as an independent nation, they must forever free themselves of the influence not only of the powerful Hudson Bay Company, but also of the man they have viewed as their friend for more than a quarter of a century. Beneath a Hunter’s Moon is a novel of honor and treason, love and betrayal, but mostly it is a story about a proud and wonderful people—the métis of the Red River Valley. Skyhorse Publishing is proud to publish a broad range of books for readers interested in fiction that takes place in the old West. Westerns—books about outlaws, sheriffs, chiefs and warriors, cowboys and Indians—are a genre in which we publish regularly. Our list includes international bestselling authors like Zane Gray and Louis L’Amour, and many more. While not every title we publish becomes a New York Times bestseller or a national bestseller, we are committed to books on subjects that are sometimes overlooked and to authors whose work might not otherwise find a home.
First Prize, Orthopaedics and Rheumatology, BMA Awards 2009 This state-of-the-art reference provides current insights into the etiology, diagnosis and management of rheumatoid arthritis. Leading international authorities in RA examine all of the latest scientific and clinical developments in understanding and managing this challenging disease, including new concepts in pathogenesis, epidemiology, risk factors, imaging, clinical outcomes and treatment. It’s the guidance you need to offer optimal care to your patients with rheumatoid arthritis. Presents the work of leading international experts in rheumatoid arthritis for guidance you can trust. Provides the very latest understanding of the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis, including molecular pathways/mechanisms, and genetic and environmental factors that instigate and drive the disease. Includes comprehensive coverage of clinical features of rheumatoid arthritis including articular, peri-articular and extra-articular manifestations, comorbidities, and outcome measures—disease activity, joint assessment, imaging, and more—for expert diagnosis and monitoring of disease progression. Examines evidence-based treatment options—including traditional and biologic DMARDs and combination therapies—as well as promising therapies on the horizon, placing up-to-date guidance on disease modifying or disease controlling agents at your fingertips.
Freemasons are accused of worshipping Lucifer. This book examines the concept of Lucifer, and its effect on everyday life. There is more than meets the eye, so we present the true purpose and meaning of Lucifer.
Two principles capture the essence of the official Catholic position on the morality of sexuality: first, that any human genital act must occur within the framework of heterosexual marriage; second, each and every marriage act must remain open to the transmission of life. In this comprehensive overview of Catholicism and sexuality, theologians Todd A. Salzman and Michael G. Lawler examine and challenge these principles. Remaining firmly within the Catholic tradition, they contend that the church is being inconsistent in its teaching by adopting a dynamic, historically conscious anthropology and worldview on social ethics and the interpretation of scripture while adopting a static, classicist anthropology and worldview on sexual ethics. While some documents from Vatican II, like Gaudium et spes ("the marital act promotes self-giving by which spouses enrich each other"), gave hope for a renewed understanding of sexuality, the church has not carried out the full implications of this approach. In short, say Salzman and Lawler: emphasize relationships, not acts, and recognize Christianity's historically and culturally conditioned understanding of human sexuality. The Sexual Person draws historically, methodologically, and anthropologically from the best of Catholic tradition and provides a context for current theological debates between traditionalists and revisionists regarding marriage, cohabitation, homosexuality, reproductive technologies, and what it means to be human. This daring and potentially revolutionary book will be sure to provoke constructive dialogue among theologians, and between theologians and the Magisterium.
Since the last edition in 2006, there is now an increasing awareness of the complex challenges posed by the expanding aging population in North America. The third edition of Parenting Your Parents shows that you are not alone and offers crucial advice to help you along this difficult but rewarding journey.
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