Magali Pinat's Books

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

By: Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Magali Pinat,Brian Dew

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Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

By: Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Magali Pinat,Brian Dew

Anecdotal evidence suggests the existence of specific choke points in the global trade network revealed especially after natural disasters (e.g. hard drive components and Thailand flooding, Japanese auto components post-Fukushima, etc.). Using a highly disaggregated international trade database we assess the spillover effects of supply shocks from the import of specific goods. Our goal is to identify inherent vulnerabilities arising from the composition of a country’s import basket and to propose effective mitigation policies. First, using network analysis tools we develop a methodology for evaluating and ranking the supply fragility of individual traded goods. Next, we create a country-level measure to determine each country’s supply shock vulnerability based on the composition of their individual import baskets. This measure evaluates the potential negative supply shock spillovers from the import of each good.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1475578512

ISBN 13

9781475578515

The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review

By: International Monetary Fund

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The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review

By: International Monetary Fund

International migration is an important channel of material improvement for individuals and their offspring. The movement of people across country borders, especially from less developed to richer countries, has a substantial impact in several dimensions. First, it affects the migrants themselves by allowing them to achieve higher income as a result of their higher productivity in the destination country. It also increases the expected income for their offspring. Second, it affects the destination country through the impact on labor markets, productivity, innovation, demographic structure, fiscal balance, and criminality. Third, it can have a significant impact on the countries of origin. It may lead to loss of human capital, but it also creates a flow of remittances and increases international connections in the form of trade, FDI, and technological transfers. This paper surveys our understanding of how migration affects growth and inequality through the impact on migrants themselves as well as on the destination and origin countries.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1513571966

ISBN 13

9781513571966

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

By: Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Magali Pinat,Brian Dew

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Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

By: Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Magali Pinat,Brian Dew

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1475578512

ISBN 13

9781475578515

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

By: Gohar Minasyan,Ezgi O. Ozturk,Magali Pinat,Mengxue Wang,Zeju Zhu

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Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

By: Gohar Minasyan,Ezgi O. Ozturk,Magali Pinat,Mengxue Wang,Zeju Zhu

After trailing Euro Area inflation closely in the recent past, inflation in the Western Balkans has accelerated faster since early 2022 on the back of the shocks to global commodity prices, strong recovery from the pandemic, and lingering supply bottlenecks. This paper employs two complementary empirical approaches of an augmented Phillips curve and structural VAR, adapting them to the data availability and country specificities of the Western Balkans, to analyze the inflation dynamics in the region. It finds that international food prices affect not only headline but also core inflation as well as inflation expectations. Further, inflation in the Western Balkans is not just determined by foreign shocks, and domestic factors, aggregate demand shocks in particular, have a significant impact on inflation. These findings imply a possible role for policies to temporarily limit an immediate and complete pass-through of international to domestic food prices while also stressing the importance of an appropriate domestic macroeconomic policy mix to keep inflation expectations anchored and safeguard credibility in the face of high inflation persistence.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 13

9798400235184

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

By: Tatiana Didier,Sebastian Herrador,Magali Pinat

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Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

By: Tatiana Didier,Sebastian Herrador,Magali Pinat

This paper assesses whether cross-border M&A decisions exhibit network effects. We estimate exponential random graph models (ERGM) and temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) to evaluate the determinants of cross-country M&A investments at the sectoral level. The results show that transitivity matters: a country is more likely to invest in a new destination if one of its existing partners has already made some investments there. In line with the literature on export platforms and informational barriers, we find a sizable impact of third country effects on the creation of new investments. This effect is sizable and larger than some of the more traditional M&A determinants, such as trade openness.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

151352254X

ISBN 13

9781513522548

Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU

By: Chikako Baba,Ting Lan,Ms. Aiko Mineshima,Florian Misch,Magali Pinat,Asghar Shahmoradi,Jiaxiong Yao,Ms. Rachel van Elkan

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Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU

By: Chikako Baba,Ting Lan,Ms. Aiko Mineshima,Florian Misch,Magali Pinat,Asghar Shahmoradi,Jiaxiong Yao,Ms. Rachel van Elkan

Geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) is becoming entrenched worldwide, and the European Union (EU) is not immune to its effects. This paper takes stock of GEF policies impinging on—and adopted by—the EU and considers how exposed the EU is through trade, financial and technological channels. Motivated by current policies adopted by other countries, the paper then simulates how various measures—raising costs of trade and technology transfer and fossil fuel prices, and imposition of sectoral subsidies—would affect the EU economy. Due to its high-degree of openness, the EU is found to be exposed to GEF through multiple channels, with simulated losses that differ significantly across scenarios. From a welfare perspective, this suggests the need for a cautious approach to GEF policies. The EU’s best defence against GEF is to strengthen the Single Market while advocating for a multilateral rules-based trading system.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 13

9798400259098

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

By: Tatiana Didier,Sebastian Herrador,Magali Pinat

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Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

By: Tatiana Didier,Sebastian Herrador,Magali Pinat

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Solve jigsaw puzzle

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Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

151352254X

ISBN 13

9781513522548

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

By: Gohar Minasyan,Ezgi O. Ozturk,Magali Pinat,Mengxue Wang,Zeju Zhu

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Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

By: Gohar Minasyan,Ezgi O. Ozturk,Magali Pinat,Mengxue Wang,Zeju Zhu

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Solve jigsaw puzzle

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Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 13

9798400235184

Book's by Magali Pinat

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review

The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU

Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

Inflation Dynamics in the Western Balkans

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