Louis Anthony Cox Jr.'s Books

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

In Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems acknowledged risk authority Tony Cox shows all risk practitioners how Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) can be used to improve risk management decisions and policies. It develops and illustrates QRA methods for complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems – systems that have behaviors that are just too complex to be modeled accurately in detail with high confidence – and shows how they can be applied to applications including assessing and managing risks from chemical carcinogens, antibiotic resistance, mad cow disease, terrorist attacks, and accidental or deliberate failures in telecommunications network infrastructure. This book was written for a broad range of practitioners, including decision risk analysts, operations researchers and management scientists, quantitative policy analysts, economists, health and safety risk assessors, engineers, and modelers.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

457

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

0387890149

ISBN 13

9780387890142

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

This book highlights quantitative risk assessment and modeling methods for assessing health risks caused by air pollution, as well as characterizing and communicating remaining uncertainties. It shows how to apply modern data science, artificial intelligence and machine learning, causal analytics, mathematical modeling, and risk analysis to better quantify human health risks caused by environmental and occupational exposures to air pollutants. The adverse health effects that are caused by air pollution, and preventable by reducing it, instead of merely being statistically associated with exposure to air pollution (and with other many conditions, from cold weather to low income) have proved to be difficult to quantify with high precision and confidence, largely because correlation is not causation. This book shows how to use recent advances in causal analytics and risk analysis to determine more accurately how reducing exposures affects human health risks. Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects is divided into three parts. Part I focuses mainly on quantitative simulation modelling of biological responses to exposures and resulting health risks. It considers occupational risks from asbestos and crystalline silica as examples, showing how dynamic simulation models can provide insights into more effective policies for protecting worker health. Part II examines limitations of regression models and the potential to instead apply machine learning, causal analysis, and Bayesian network learning methods for more accurate quantitative risk assessment, with applications to occupational risks from inhalation exposures. Finally, Part III examines applications to public health risks from air pollution, especially fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution. The book applies freely available browser analytics software and data sets that allow readers to download data and carry out many of the analyses described, in addition to applying the techniques discussed to their own data. http://cox-associates.com:8899/

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

543

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

3030573583

ISBN 13

9783030573584

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Challenges and Opportunities for Normative Decision Theory

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Challenges and Opportunities for Normative Decision Theory

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

This book explains and illustrates recent developments and advances in decision-making and risk analysis. It demonstrates how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have not only benefitted from classical decision analysis concepts such as expected utility maximization but have also contributed to making normative decision theory more useful by forcing it to confront realistic complexities. These include skill acquisition, uncertain and time-consuming implementation of intended actions, open-world uncertainties about what might happen next and what consequences actions can have, and learning to cope effectively with uncertain and changing environments. The result is a more robust and implementable technology for AI/ML-assisted decision-making. The book is intended to inform a wide audience in related applied areas and to provide a fun and stimulating resource for students, researchers, and academics in data science and AI-ML, decision analysis, and other closely linked academic fields. It will also appeal to managers, analysts, decision-makers, and policymakers in financial, health and safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk management.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

443

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

3031320131

ISBN 13

9783031320132

Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.,Douglas A. Popken,Richard X. Sun

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.,Douglas A. Popken,Richard X. Sun

Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using them to optimize decisions with uncertain outcomes. It discusses how to describe and summarize situations; detect changes; evaluate effects of policies or interventions; learn what works best under different conditions; predict values of as-yet unobserved quantities from available data; and identify the most likely explanations for observed outcomes, including surprises and anomalies. The book resents practical techniques for causal modeling and analytics that practitioners can apply to improve understanding of how choices affect probabilities of consequences and, based on this understanding, to recommend choices that are more likely to accomplish their intended objectives.The book begins with a survey of modern analytics methods, focusing mainly on techniques useful for decision, risk, and policy analysis. Chapter 2 introduces free in-browser software, including the Causal Analytics Toolkit (CAT) software, to enable readers to perform the analyses described and to apply modern analytics methods easily to their own data sets. Chapters 3 through 11 show how to apply causal analytics and risk analytics to practical risk analysis challenges, mainly related to public and occupational health risks from pathogens in food or from pollutants in air. Chapters 12 through 15 turn to broader questions of how to improve risk management decision-making by individuals, groups, organizations, institutions, and multi-generation societies with different cultures and norms for cooperation. These chapters examine organizational learning, community resilience, societal risk management, and intergenerational collaboration and justice in managing risks.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

596

Publisher

Springer

Published Date

ISBN 10

3319782428

ISBN 13

9783319782423

Risk Analysis Foundations, Models, and Methods

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Risk Analysis Foundations, Models, and Methods

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Risk Analysis: Foundations, Models, and Methods fully addresses the questions of "What is health risk analysis?" and "How can its potentialities be developed to be most valuable to public health decision-makers and other health risk managers?" Risk analysis provides methods and principles for answering these questions. It is divided into methods for assessing, communicating, and managing health risks. Risk assessment quantitatively estimates the health risks to individuals and to groups from hazardous exposures and from the decisions or activities that create them. It applies specialized models and methods to quantify likely exposures and their resulting health risks. Its goal is to produce information to improve decisions. It does this by relating alternative decisions to their probable consequences and by identifying those decisions that make preferred outcomes more likely. Health risk assessment draws on explicit engineering, biomathematical, and statistical consequence models to describe or simulate the causal relations between actions and their probable effects on health. Risk communication characterizes and presents information about health risks and uncertainties to decision-makers and stakeholders. Risk management applies principles for choosing among alternative decision alternatives or actions that affect exposure, health risks, or their consequences.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

564

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

1461508479

ISBN 13

9781461508472

Improving Risk Analysis

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Improving Risk Analysis

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Improving Risk Analysis shows how to better assess and manage uncertain risks when the consequences of alternative actions are in doubt. The constructive methods of causal analysis and risk modeling presented in this monograph will enable to better understand uncertain risks and decide how to manage them. The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 shows how high-quality risk analysis can improve the clarity and effectiveness of individual, community, and enterprise decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 2 discusses social decisions. Part 3 illustrates these methods and models, showing how to apply them to health effects of particulate air pollution. "Tony Cox’s new book addresses what risk analysts and policy makers most need to know: How to find out what causes what, and how to quantify the practical differences that changes in risk management practices would make. The constructive methods in Improving Risk Analysis will be invaluable in helping practitioners to deliver more useful insights to inform high-stakes decisions and policy,in areas ranging from disaster planning to counter-terrorism investments to enterprise risk management to air pollution abatement policies. Better risk management is possible and practicable; Improving Risk Analysis explains how." Elisabeth Pate-Cornell, Stanford University "Improving Risk Analysis offers crucial advice for moving policy-relevant risk analyses towards more defensible, causally-based methods. Tony Cox draws on his extensive experience to offer sound advice and insights that will be invaluable to both policy makers and analysts in strengthening the foundations for important risk analyses. This much-needed book should be required reading for policy makers and policy analysts confronting uncertain risks and seeking more trustworthy risk analyses." Seth Guikema, Johns Hopkins University "Tony Cox has been a trail blazer in quantitative risk analysis, and his new book gives readers the knowledge and tools needed to cut through the complexity and advocacy inherent in risk analysis. Cox’s careful exposition is detailed and thorough, yet accessible to non-technical readers interested in understanding uncertain risks and the outcomes associated with different mitigation actions. Improving Risk Analysis should be required reading for public officials responsible for making policy decisions about how best to protect public health and safety in an uncertain world." Susan E. Dudley, George Washington University

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

403

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

1461460581

ISBN 13

9781461460589

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Challenges and Opportunities for Normative Decision Theory

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Challenges and Opportunities for Normative Decision Theory

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

443

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

3031320131

ISBN 13

9783031320132

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

543

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

3030573583

ISBN 13

9783030573584

Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods

Modeling the Human Health Impacts of Antibiotics Used in Food Animals

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods

Modeling the Human Health Impacts of Antibiotics Used in Food Animals

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

This book grew out of an effort to salvage a potentially useful idea for greatly simplifying traditional quantitative risk assessments of the human health consequences of using antibiotics in food animals. In 2001, the United States FDA’s Center for Veterinary Medicine (CVM) (FDA-CVM, 2001) published a risk assessment model for potential adverse human health consequences of using a certain class of antibiotics, fluoroquinolones, to treat flocks of chickens with fatal respiratory disease caused by infectious bacteria. CVM’s concern was that fluoroquinolones are also used in human medicine, raising the possibility that fluoroquinolone-resistant strains of bacteria selected by use of fluoroquinolones in chickens might infect humans and then prove resistant to treatment with human medicines in the same class of antibiotics, such as ciprofloxacin. As a foundation for its risk assessment model, CVM proposed a dramatically simple approach that skipped many of the steps in traditional risk assessment. The basic idea was to assume that human health risks were directly proportional to some suitably defined exposure metric. In symbols: Risk = K × Exposure, where “Exposure” would be defined in terms of a metric such as total production of chicken contaminated with fluoroquinolone-resistant bacteria that might cause human illnesses, and “Risk” would describe the expected number of cases per year of human illness due to fluoroquinolone-resistant bacterial infections caused by chicken and treated with fluoroquinolones.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

363

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

0387261184

ISBN 13

9780387261188

Louis Rukeyser's Business Almanac

By: Louis Rukeyser

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Louis Rukeyser's Business Almanac

By: Louis Rukeyser

With its unique combination of statistical data, incisive analysis, and lively commentary, this is the definitive business reference for smart people across America. In this new edition, business summaries and analyses have been brought up to date, and the statistical sections have been greatly expanded.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

616

Published Date

ISBN 10

0671707280

ISBN 13

9780671707286

Contemporary Marketing

By: Louis E. Boone,David L. Kurtz

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Contemporary Marketing

By: Louis E. Boone,David L. Kurtz

Products often begin their lives as something extraordinary and as they grow they continue to evolve. The most successful products in the marketplace are those that know their strengths and have branded and marketed those strengths to form a passionate emotional connection with loyal users and relationships with new users every step of the way. In CONTEMPORARY MARKETING, 13e, students will find a text that includes everything they need to know in order to begin a marketing career, as well as things that will help them understand how to look at their own studies and their own careers as a marketing adventure. All the components of the marketing mix are included along with a lot of other compelling and thought-provoking ideas and concepts. Since its first edition, CONTEMPORARY MARKETING continues to showcase the foundations of marketing principles while featuring the newest trends and research in the discipline.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

778

Published Date

ISBN 10

0030540186

ISBN 13

9780030540189

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Write a review Read reviews Take a Quiz Solve Book Puzzle

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

By: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

Age

Page Count

457

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

0387890149

ISBN 13

9780387890142

Book's by Louis Anthony Cox Jr.

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

Risk Analysis Foundations, Models, and Methods

Risk Analysis Foundations, Models, and Methods

Improving Risk Analysis

Improving Risk Analysis

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Air Pollution Health Effects

Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods

Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods

Louis Rukeyser's Business Almanac

Louis Rukeyser's Business Almanac

Contemporary Marketing

Contemporary Marketing

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

Username

Password

Username

Password

Password again

Birthday

Email