Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.
December 26, 1999. The Reverend Ananias Divine couldn’t believe his eyes. The Church was so enormously packed that they had to bring in about two hundred more chairs to accommodate the mass of the Congregation. While the whole nation and the people in the rest of the world were overwhelmingly concerned about Y2K, the people in the small town of Prairie View, Texas had only one major concern on their mind: Reverend Divine was retiring as the Pastor of the Divine Temple Holiness Church, and the Reverend Bruce Baltimore was to take over. Reverend Divine was a godly man whom everybody looked up to with the outmost respect. People loved and respected him all their lives. Reverend Baltimore, on the other hand, did some things in his life that many would feel would make him unworthy to be Pastor. Bruce Baltimore constantly reminded the Congregation that he was a living testimony, that if God could show grace and mercy, and save a wretched and useless man like him, that he could save anybody who trust in Him and call upon His name. Like the prodigal son, Bruce Baltimore was on the verse of losing everything: his job, his ball games, his marriage, his son, his daughter, respect from his dog, his fi nance and material things, his sanity, and even his own life, both spiritually and physically. But Bruce fi nally comes to himself and accepts God’s amazing grace. Readers can fi nd out more about the life of Bruce and his family as his story unravels in Living Testimony.
Lee Marsden presents one of the most original and comprehensive analyses of US democracy promotion in Russia and argues that in order to understand the failings of democracy assistance in Russia, it is necessary to understand the inter-relation of macro- and micro-level policy. The book introduces two new models of foreign policy analysis which increase understanding of both the formulation and implementation of foreign policy. Furthermore, it demonstrates how the promotion of democracy in Russia was substantially flawed due to implementation and the US foreign policy process.
First published in an era when most novels about young women concentrated on courtship and ended with marriage, The Recess daringly portrays women involved in political intrigues, overseas journeys, and even warfare. The novel is set during the reign of Elizabeth I and features as narrators twin daughters of Mary, Queen of Scots, by a secret marriage. One of the earliest Gothic novels, The Recess pioneered the genre of historical fiction. The novel was also one of the first to describe characters and events from conflicting points of view and was wildly popular in its day.
The Penguin Classics Marvel Collection presents the origin stories, seminal tales, and characters of the Marvel Universe to explore Marvel’s transformative and timeless influence on an entire genre of fantasy Collects X-Men #1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 14, 15, 16, 38, 41, 42, 44, 45, and 46. It is impossible to imagine American popular culture without Marvel Comics. For decades, Marvel has published groundbreaking visual narratives that sustain attention on multiple levels: as metaphors for the experience of difference and otherness; as meditations on the fluid nature of identity; and as high-water marks in the artistic tradition of American cartooning, to name a few. The seeds of a pop-cultural phenomenon were sown with the launch of the first X-Men comic in 1963, at the height of “the Marvel Revolution,” under the creative team of Stan Lee and Jack Kirby. The title was bookended by some of the best Super Hero comics of that era; the first issue established a creative formula that continues to inspire contemporary creators, while the final issues remain acclaimed for the groundbreaking artwork of Neal Adams. This collection gathers several key tales from the original run of the classic X-Men series. A foreword by Rainbow Rowell and scholarly introductions and apparatus by Ben Saunders offer further insight into the enduring significance of the X-Men and classic Marvel comics.
This book is an introduction-level text that reviews, discusses, and integrates both theoretical and practical corporate analysis and planning. The field can be divided into five parts: (1) Information and Methodology for Financial Analysis; (2) Alternative Finance Theories and Cost of Capital; (3) Capital Budgeting and Leasing Decisions; (4) Corporate Policies and their Interrelationships; (5) Financial Planning and Forecasting.The theories used and discussed in this book can be grouped into the following classical theoretical areas of corporate finance: (1) Pre-M&M Theory, (2) M&M Theory, (3) CAPM, and (4) Option Pricing Theory (OPT). The interrelationships among these theories are carefully analyzed. Real world examples are used to enrich the learning experience; and alternative planning and forecasting models are used to show how the interdisciplinary approach can be used to make meaningful financial-management decisions.In this third edition, we have extensively updated and expanded the topics of financial analysis, planning and forecasting. New chapters were added, and some chapters combined to present a holistic view of the subject and much of the data revised and updated.
Climate Change Biology, Third Edition, addresses how climate change may affect life on the planet, particularly its impact on biology. Presented in three parts, it deals extensively with the physical evidence of climate change and modeling efforts to predict its future. Biological responses are then addressed, from individual physiology, to populations and ecosystems, adaptation and evolution. The final section examines the specific impact climate change may have on natural resources, particularly relating to human livelihood. This book will be a useful asset to the growing number of both undergraduate and graduate courses on climate change. All sections are updated using the more than 5,000 research papers that have appeared on the topic since the publication of the second edition. Sections on the combined effects of ocean acidification and climate change are especially strengthened, with over six new case studies and end of chapter questions in each chapter. - Covers the evolving discipline of human-induced climate change and the resulting shifts in the distributions of species and timing of biological events - Offers positive solutions and policy relevant insights on how extinctions can be avoided - Includes stunning full-color illustrations from original research
Providing a comprehensive look at the most dramatic run-up in equity values in US history, this volume takes the reader from theory to empirics, illustrating why we need to go beyond the efficient markets hypothesis and the theory of domestic irrational exuberance to fully unpack the unprecedented phenomenon, why the market was destined for a major decline and why the fallout will be severe and protracted.
The proven model that offers powerful and elegant strategies for leaders How Great Leaders Think: the Art of Reframing uses compelling, contemporary examples to show how more complex thinking is the key to better leadership. Leaders who understand what's going on around them see what they need to do to achieve the results they want. Bolman and Deal's influential four-frame model of leadership and organizations—developed in their bestselling book, Reframing Organizations: Artistry Choice and Leadership—offers leaders an accessible guide for understanding four major aspects of organizational life: structure, people, politics, and culture. Tapping into the complexity enables leaders to decode the messy world in which they live, see more options, tell better stories, and find strategies that are more effective. Case examples of leaders like Jeff Bezos at Amazon, Howard Schultz at Starbucks, Tony Hsieh at Zappos, Ursula Burns at Xerox, and the late Steve Jobs at Apple provide concrete lessons that readers can put to use in their own leadership. The book's lessons include: How to use structural tools to organize teams and organizations for better results How to build motivation and morale by aligning organizations and people How to map the terrain and build a power base to navigate the political dynamics in organizations How to develop a leadership story that shapes culture, provides direction, and inspires commitment to excellence
With the election of Barack Obama as president of the United States, a retired attorney and patriot began writing a collection of essays commenting on the problems he sees around him. Lee S. Dimin, who served in the Army Air Force during World War II, shares how the growing power of corporations and governmental corruption is hurting American citizens. In this collection of essays, he examines issues such as - ways to bridge differences between Democrats and Republicans; - Islam's continuing quest to dominate the world; - the intentions of the nation's Founding Fathers in writing the Constitution, and how their ideals are being violated; - the increasing deficit and its implications on every single citizen; - the ways in which mounting divisions between the rich and poor are hurting the country. The challenges that face the United States continue to grow in number, but they are not insurmountable. In Corporatocracy, you'll learn equip yourself with the knowledge that will help you take the country back.
Carey Justice is doing her call-in radio show when she learns that the governor has signed a death warrant for John Otis, a man she helped convict as an assistant prosecutor five years earlier. Convinced of his innocence, she attempts to save him before it's too late. Her ex-lover, the cop who arrested Otis, is the only man who can help her clear him.
Longlisted for the 2018 Frank Hegyi Award for Emerging Authors “Jessica J. Lee is a writer of rare and exhilarating grace. In Turning, she sounds the depths of lakes and her own life, never flinching from darkness, surfacing to fresh understandings of her place in the welter of natural and human history. A beautiful, moody, bracing debut.” —Kate Harris, award-winning author of Lands of Lost Borders Through the heat of summer to the frozen depths of winter, Lee traces her journey swimming through 52 lakes in a single year, swimming through fear and heartbreak to find her place in the world Jessica J. Lee swims through all four seasons and especially loves the winter. "I long for the ice. The sharp cut of freezing water on my feet. The immeasurable black of the lake at its coldest. Swimming then means cold, and pain, and elation." At the age of twenty-eight, Jessica, who grew up in Canada and lived in England, finds herself in Berlin. Alone. Lonely, with lowered spirits thanks to some family history and a broken heart, she is there, ostensibly, to write a thesis. And though that is what she does daily, what increasingly occupies her is swimming. So she makes a decision that she believes will win her back her confidence and independence: she will swim fifty-two of the lakes around Berlin, no matter what the weather or season. She is aware that this particular landscape is not without its own ghosts and history. This is the story of a beautiful obsession: of the thrill of a still, turquoise lake, of cracking the ice before submerging, of floating under blue skies, of tangled weeds and murkiness, of cool, fresh, spring swimming—of facing past fears of near-drowning and of breaking free. When she completes her year of swimming, Jessica finds she has new strength, and she has also found friends and has gained some understanding of how the landscape both haunts and holds us. This book is for everyone who loves swimming, who wishes they could push themselves beyond caution, who understands the deep pleasure of using the body's strength, who knows what it is to abandon all thought and float home to the surface.
First published in 1984, Lee Bolman and Terrence Deal?s best-selling book has become a classic in the field. Its four-frame model examines organizations as factories, families, jungles, and theaters or temples: The Structural Frame: how to organize and structure groups and teams to get results The Human Resource Frame: how to tailor organizations to satisfy human needs, improve human resource management, and build positive interpersonal and group dynamics The Political Frame: how to cope with power and conflict, build coalitions, hone political skills, and deal with internal and external politics The Symbolic Frame: how to shape a culture that gives purpose and meaning to work, stage organizational drama for internal and external audiences, and build team spirit through ritual, ceremony, and story This new edition is filled with new case examples such as Hurricane Katrina and profiles of great leaders such as Mother Theresa, Thomas Keller, and others. In addition, the book updates the "Organizational Theory's Greatest Hits" text boxes throughout, and increases geographic, cultural and gender diversity in examples and text. It also features an enhanced online teacher's guide with a new test bank, as well as updated PowerPoint slides, teaching ideas and experiential activities, and links to resources.
During much of the 1980s, US wage growth has been unexpectedly slow in the face of relatively low unemployment rates and high capacity utilization rates. This collection of papers resulting from the Wage Structure Conference held by the Federal Research Bank of Cleveland, November 1989, helps explain labour market behaviour in that period. The contributors - academic and research economists in labour economics - provide a comprehensive assessment of the current state of the wage-setting process in the US labour market.
Temperate-zone forests are being shaped continuously by wind, fire and grazing. This book considers these disturbances and consequent issues such as recovery from disturbance, the changing composition of tree species within the forest and the formation of mosaics of different forest types across the landscape.
Ages 8-12--Cricket Kelly is no ordinary twelve year-old. Shes super smart and very observant, and she has one week until her birthday to prove it. Crickets life transforms when she begins receiving strange clues that require her to solve the mystery of where she will spend her first summer vacation away from home. Enter kookie Aunt Lila, the orchestrator of a complex plot to take Cricket to Lighthouse Cove on Nantucket Island. Lilas work for the travel magazine, The Ragged Suitcase, prompts Crickets investigation into some scary island mysteries. Following the clues to a long-ago disappearance, one of the first people Cricket encounters on Nantucket is Nate Tucker, a scary old man who holds a very old grudge. In an effort to escape Tucker, she meets Michael Adams, a dreamy fourteen year-old boy with sandy-blonde hair. Michael accompanies her on her mission to solve the infamous missing persons case of Hattie Mae Bellarose, a childrens mystery writer from Savannah, Georgia. Armed with nothing but her courage, her smarts, and some old notebooks left to one of Hattie Maes relatives, Cricket manages to turn this hundred year-old cold case into one that will go down in the record books. Cricket figures out the clues and just in time. More importantly though, she discovers that you shouldnt judge people before you get to know them.
Thoroughly revised and updated, the fifth edition of the Rough Guide to Canada covers this vast and geographically diverse country in impressive detail. There are insightful accounts of every Canadian city, from vibrant Montréal to laid back Vancouver, and vivid descriptions of Canada''s varied landscapes, from the magnificent Rocky Mountains and the stormy coasts of the Maritimes to the northern Arctic reaches. Throughout there is practical advice on skiing, whale-watching, kayaking, hiking and a host of other outdoor pursuits. Thousands of listings recommend the best accommodation options, restaurants, bars and clubs in every price range.
Power interruptions of the scale of the North American Blackout of 2003 are rare, but they still loom as a possibility. Will the aging infrastructure fail because deregulated monopolies have no financial incentives to upgrade? Is centralized planning becoming subordinate to market forces? Understanding Electric Utilities and De-Regulation, Second Edition provides an updated, non-technical description that sheds light on the nature of the industry and the issues involved in its transition away from a regulated environment. The book begins by broadly surveying the industry, from a regulated utility structure to the major concepts of de-regulation to the history of electricity, the technical aspects, and the business of power. Then, the authors delve into the technologies and functions on which the industry operates; the many ways that power is used; and the various means of power generation, including central generating stations, renewable energy, and single-household size generators. The authors then devote considerable attention to the details of regulation and de-regulation. To conclude, one new chapter examines aging infrastructures and reliability of service, while another explores the causes of blackouts and how they can be prevented. Based on the authors' extensive experience, Understanding Electric Utilities and De-Regulation, Second Edition offers an up-to-date perspective on the major issues impacting the daily operations as well as the long-term future of the electric utilities industry.
In the early fifteenth century, English poets responded to a changed climate of patronage, instituted by Henry IV and successor monarchs, by inventing a new tradition of public and elite poetry. Following Chaucer and others, Hoccleve and Lydgate brought to English verse a style and subject matter writing about their King, nation, and themselves, and their innovations influenced a continuous line of poets running through and beyond Wyatt. A crucial aspect of this tradition is its development of ideas and practices associated with the role of poet laureate. Robert J. Meyer-Lee examines the nature and significance of this tradition as it developed from the fourteenth century to Tudor times, tracing its evolution from one author to the next. This study illuminates the relationships between poets and political power and makes plain the tremendous impact this verse has had on the shape of English literary culture.
Chinese President Xi Jinping launched the Silk Road Economic Belt component of the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative at Kazakhstan in 2013. OBOR is a development strategy and framework that focuses on connectivity and cooperation among countries primarily in Eurasia. It consists of two main components, the land-based 'Silk Road Economic Belt' (SREB) and ocean-going 'Maritime Silk Road' (MSR). This book studies the equilibrium or balance between overland and maritime trade routes of OBOR.This book has two major sections. The interpretive section examines contemporary media narratives related to the OBOR initiative and how contemporary commentators appropriate narratives about historical events related to the maritime Silk Road to interpret current policy agendas and legitimize diplomatic or economic exchanges. In terms of institutional studies, the chapters related to Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) will look at the issues facing the Bank in its quest in forming a new world platform for multilateral development financing.The other section, the empirical case study of the publication highlights the fact that Euro-China High Speed Rail (HSR) and Central Asia-China HSR are not viable at the moment as passenger volume is not sufficient to justify the HSR line. This section examines the overland route of the OBOR and looks at recent Chinese HSR history and conventional sub-high speed rail technology development, and identifies technical & economic criteria determining the appropriate technology for a certain line. The chapter in this section will use the developed criteria to analyze the various rail linkage projects currently under study in the OBOR framework, highlight the economic, bureaucratic and geo-political challenges that these projects likely face and lay down conditions that will determine the outcome of these projects.
Motor Control and Learning, Sixth Edition, focuses on observable movement behavior, the many factors that influence quality of movement, and how movement skills are acquired.
Close to 60,000 civil lawsuits are filed annually against criminal justice practitioners. This increasing litigation poses a significant problem for law enforcement and other personnel who must ensure they are performing their legal duties within the boundaries of case law. In brief, they not only need a working knowledge of criminal law but a firm grasp on the civil law process as well. Civil Liability in Criminal Justice provides valuable advice and protection to future officers and correctional system employees, introducing them to civil liability generally and the federal law specifically, while indicating steps that can be taken to minimize risks. The text clearly outlines the specific precedents to which both individual staff members and entire agencies must adhere and provides court decisions in common and high liability areas. This text is now one of very few on the subject that combines applicable case law and related liability research, a valuable new feature for current and future policy makers and managers. It also provides an overview of current case law in high liability areas, enhancing student knowledge and practitioner job performance. What's more, newly equipped with a much enhanced ancillary package, Civil Liability in Criminal Justice now offers support to both students and their instructors as they work to master this complex topic. Exercises based on ethical dilemmas and evidence-based assessments of likely trouble spots in organizational training and policy prepare the reader to avoid costly legal action in the complex worlds of policing and corrections. Hundreds of cases are referenced throughout the text, including the latest US Supreme Court decisions in civil liability suits against police and corrections officers and their agencies Provides richly documented research findings regarding recent trends in litigation and financial penalties Includes current thinking on avoiding lawsuits through training and policy development.
Defending the Old Dominion describes historical events in Virginia during the War of 1812, examining how Virginia's militia was organized, supplied, and financed by the Commonwealth. The book discusses the militia's unpreparedness in training, its lack of adequate ordnance and arms, and how that affected its ability to defend the state against British incursions during the war. Political activities of the Virginia legislature and the U.S. Congress are examined with special reference to how the state financed the war and its relationship with the U.S. government. The book includes the fascinating story of nearly two thousand former slaves who fled to British ships to fight in Virginia with British forces.
Civil rights leaders, scientists, sports heroes, and government, business and military leaders: each person in this book has played a major role in 20th-century America. The one-page biographies provide detailed, career-oriented summaries. Criteria for inclusion include career accomplishments, being the first African American in the field or profession, individual awards (Hall of Fame, Olympic medal, etc.) and overall leadership. Includes occupational and geographical indexes.
This discounted four-book box set includes the highly praised Dawn Of Devotion romantic thriller! Beller Ties is a thrilling romantic suspense set featuring four different members of the illustrious – and wealthy – Beller Family. This collection includes all four books in the set: Something So Beautiful, Now And Always, Dawn Of Devotion, & Marked By Forever Something So Beautiful – When green-eyed charmer John Beller breaks through the chaos of her life, offering all the fruits of lust and love, thirty-two-year-old Mary Williams desperately wants to partake. On the verge of a mental break where footsteps echo from empty rooms and constant phone calls have no one on the other end, she craves the peaceful embrace of John’s arms. But the confident man is demanding, and he’s digging into secrets she has no intention of letting anyone find out about. When an insane driver intentionally forces her car off the road and leaves her for dead at the bottom of a ravine, she wakes to find herself hospitalized, then forced into confinement at John’s house. And in his house, it’s his rules. But is he isolating her for her protection? Or using her injuries against her? One thing is certain—her nightmares are real. And the more John kisses her, the closer the threat looms. Love isn’t only blind, it’s dangerous. ~ Now And Always – Avery Kingwood’s marriage crashed and burned…on his honeymoon. After finding out his wife Cassie’s devastating truth, she forces him to sign a separation agreement—more like a gag order. Unable to say what happened to his marriage, Cassie expertly manipulates Avery’s entire family against him. All he’s got left is his father’s business, but even that tie to his family is troubled. Broken, Avery unexpectedly finds something that gives his life renewed meaning and hope: Sheila Beller. Perfect, well-respected, charming—and untouchable. She wants nothing to do with divorced men and he’s worse than divorced, he’s married. While convincing Sheila he is a man she can count on, Avery keeps his secrets close and his lies relegated to omissions. But Cassie is out for blood and Avery’s only hope for love is slipping farther away by the second. One thing is certain—The only thing worse than lying is finding out the secrets you’re protecting aren’t the truth at all. And the more Sheila clashes with the Kingwoods, the more unfathomable the truth becomes. Deceit runs deep in this suspenseful romance! ~ Dawn Of Devotion – Danielle Madison has spent the eight years since her ninth birthday channeling the devastation of her best friend’s murder into catching pedophiles online. Being the one to have found Kira’s body, she can’t forget the brutality of the crime. Worse, she’s sure Kira wasn’t the murderer’s first victim. Since he was never caught, she’s also sure Kira wasn’t his last, and she’s dead set on figuring out his identity. Months away from her eighteenth birthday, the course of Danielle’s life is altered once again when her father forces her to move across the country to live with her estranged mother––a wealth-obsessed narcissist with nothing but complaints when it comes to her daughter. Complaints that send Danielle’s self-esteem spiraling, and put her at odds with Michael Beller, the one person she’s finally found a connection with. But Michael has no idea how far Danielle has taken her obsession with catching child killers, or that she’s caught the attention of the very one she’s been looking for all along. As the ninth anniversary of Kira’s death approaches, Danielle is unraveling. Michael wants every drop of her attention, but so does Kira’s murderer––and he gets it every time he baits her. While she keeps secrets to protect those she cares about, one thing is certain––she’s putting everyone at risk, most of all herself. There’s a thin line between devotion and obsession, and crossing it is deadly. ~ Marked By Forever - A nurse who may be a murderer—and she’s the love of his life. Despite their twelve-year age difference, and all his efforts to forget her, green-eyed Lily Beller has imprisoned Dr. Darren Mansfield’s heart for the last five years. He left his father’s medical practice to avoid the too-young temptation, but now she’s inexplicably working at the same hospital as him. For the sake of his career and his sanity, he needs Lily gone. He also needs answers about the plague of horrific events that have started to further upend his life with all too coincidental timing. He doesn’t want to believe Lily is behind them, but all the evidence points to her. To complicate matters further, while his mind is focused on Lily, her roommate Jill becomes determined to win him. And if he was smart, he’d let her. Because Lily has a boyfriend—one who might be helping her punish Darren over a past he can’t atone for. Secrets, gaslighting, murder, obsessive love—everything is about to explode, and the damage may be irreversible.
Remembering is the second in a series of poetry written to soothe the heart and lift the spirit. The first, Echoes, was published in 2004. As with Echoes, the message is from the heart inspired by life, love, and whispers of yesterday. In contrast, it reflects an emotional journey through childhood days, recalling facets of family ties, camaraderie, and adversity. While some thoughts are fact and others fiction, the recollections are rooted in moments to evoke a personal emotion, set a purpose for tomorrow, and provide an insight for reflection. It is a means for sharing love, dreams, and inspirations to send a heart racing, free a heart of grief, or perhaps even offer a path for forgiveness. Open your mind and begin remembering . . .
From the former director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, how to manage your business in the face of challenge, change, and potential disaster For James Lee Witt, the man who rebuilt America's emergency response system, the most inspiring and effective lessons--about responsibility, team building, planning, and taking action--have guided real-life heroes through extraordinary situations. These lessons can be applied to business to guide you through the pressures you face each week--or once in a career or a lifetime. Whether describing earthquake preparation in California, moving a Missouri town out of a floodplain, or shoring up walls and spirits after the Oklahoma City bombing, Witt captures the moments when leaders step forward, how they motivate others, and what they need to triumph over adversity. Witt's home-spun wisdom teaches us to "Tear Down the Stovepipes" to build effective teamwork by thinking horizontally, not vertically; to find energizing people who improve morale, whether a V.P.'s secretary or a key client, since "A Lightning Rod Works Both Ways"; and to establish systems for capturing what happens--what goes right and what goes wrong--to ensure that every challenge leaves you "Stronger in the Broken Places." To bring home the ten lessons in this inspiring and useful book, Witt shares examples and strategies from corporations--from Malden Mills and Intel to Swissair and Kmart--who have overcome crisis by applying the same principles to their business every day.
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