Kyle Kondik's Books

The Bellwether

Why Ohio Picks the President

By: Kyle Kondik

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The Bellwether

Why Ohio Picks the President

By: Kyle Kondik

Since 1896, Ohio voters have failed to favor the next president only twice (in 1944 and 1960). Time after time, Ohio has found itself in the thick of the presidential race, and 2016 is shaping up to be no different. What about the Buckeye State makes it so special? In The Bellwether, Kyle Kondik, managing editor for the nonpartisan political forecasting newsletter Sabato’s Crystal Ball, blends data-driven research and historical documentation to explain Ohio’s remarkable record as a predictor of presidential results and why the state is essential to the 2016 election and beyond. Part history, part journalism, this entertaining and astute guide proposes that Ohio has been the key state in the Electoral College for more than a century and examines what the idea of the swing state has come to mean. In discussing the evidence, Kondik uses the state’s oft-mentioned status as a microcosm of the nation as a case study to trace the evolution of the American electorate, and identifies which places in Ohio have the most influence on the statewide result. Finally, he delves into the answer to the question voting Ohioans consider every four years: Will their state remain a bellwether, or is their ability to pick the president on its way out?

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Page Count

212

Publisher

Ohio University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0821445545

ISBN 13

9780821445549

The Long Red Thread

How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in US House Elections

By: Kyle Kondik

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The Long Red Thread

How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in US House Elections

By: Kyle Kondik

An incisive study that shows how Republicans transformed the US House of Representatives into a consistent GOP stronghold—with or without a majority. Long-term Democratic dominance in the US House of Representatives gave way to a Republican electoral advantage and frequently held majority following the GOP takeover in 1994. Republicans haven’t always held the majority in recent decades, but nationalization, partisan realignment, and the gerrymandering of House seats have contributed to a political climate in which they've had an edge more often than not for nearly thirty years. The Long Red Thread examines each House election cycle from 1964 to 2020, surveying academic and journalistic literature to identify key trends and takeaways from more than a half-century of US House election results in order to predict what Americans can expect to see in the future.

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241

Publisher

Ohio University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0821447343

ISBN 13

9780821447345

The Long Red Thread

How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in US House Elections

By: Kyle Kondik

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The Long Red Thread

How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in US House Elections

By: Kyle Kondik

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241

Publisher

Ohio University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0821447343

ISBN 13

9780821447345

The Bellwether

Why Ohio Picks the President

By: Kyle Kondik

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The Bellwether

Why Ohio Picks the President

By: Kyle Kondik

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Page Count

212

Publisher

Ohio University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0821445545

ISBN 13

9780821445549

The VP Advantage

How running mates influence home state voting in presidential elections

By: Christopher J. Devine,Kyle C. Kopko

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The VP Advantage

How running mates influence home state voting in presidential elections

By: Christopher J. Devine,Kyle C. Kopko

A widespread perception exists among political commentators, campaign operatives and presidential candidates that vice presidential (VP) running mates can deliver their home state's electoral votes in a presidential election. In recent elections, presidential campaigns have even changed their strategy in response to the perceived VP home state advantage. But is the advantage real? And could it decide a presidential election? In the most comprehensive analysis to date, Devine and Kopko demonstrate that the VP home state advantage is actually highly conditional and rarely decisive in the Electoral College. However, it could change the outcome of a presidential election under narrow but plausible conditions. Sophisticated in its methodology and rich in historical as well as contemporary insight, The VP Advantage is essential and accessible reading for anyone interested in understanding how running mates influence presidential elections.

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Page Count

212

Publisher

Manchester University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1526109220

ISBN 13

9781526109224

Book's by Kyle Kondik

The Bellwether

The Bellwether

The Long Red Thread

The Long Red Thread

The Long Red Thread

The Long Red Thread

The Bellwether

The Bellwether

The VP Advantage

The VP Advantage

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