Kose John's Books

Corporate Governance and Firm Performance

By: Mark Hirschey,Kose John,Anil K. Makhija

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Corporate Governance and Firm Performance

By: Mark Hirschey,Kose John,Anil K. Makhija

Focuses on corporate governance, broadly defined as the system of controls that helps corporations and other organizations effectively manage, administer, and direct economic resources. This book focuses on: the impact of deregulation and corporate structure on productive efficiency; and the effectiveness of the fraud triangle and SAS.

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268

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Emerald Group Publishing

Published Date

ISBN 10

1848555369

ISBN 13

9781848555365

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

By: Mr.Marco Terrones,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose

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How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

By: Mr.Marco Terrones,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose

This paper analyzes the interactions between business and financial cycles using an extensive database of over 200 business and 700 financial cycles in 44 countries for the period 1960:1-2007:4. Our results suggest that there are strong linkages between different phases of business and financial cycles. In particular, recessions associated with financial disruption episodes, notably house price busts, tend to be longer and deeper than other recessions. Conversely, recoveries associated with rapid growth in credit and house prices tend to be stronger. These findings emphasize the importance of developments in credit and housing markets for the real economy.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1455233161

ISBN 13

9781455233168

Financial Crises

Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

By: Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Luc Laeven,Mr.Fabian Valencia

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Financial Crises

Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

By: Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Luc Laeven,Mr.Fabian Valencia

The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

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754

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1484355261

ISBN 13

9781484355268

Conversion To Islam

By: Ali Kose

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Conversion To Islam

By: Ali Kose

First Published in 1996. Religious conversion is an immensely complex phenomenon. The term comprises such diverse experiences as increased devotion within the same religious structure, a shift from no religious commitment to a devout religious life, or a change from one religion to another. This study focuses on the conversion experiences of 70 native British converts to Islam. It addresses the following questions - why do people become Muslims, what are the backgrounds of the converts, what are the patterns of conversion to Islam, and how far are existing conversion theories applicable to the group under study. The full range of social and psychological forces at work in the conversion experience are examined with reference to the converts, whose whole life history - childhood, adolescent experiences and the conversion process itself - were examined in detail. Chapter 1 deals with the history and present situation of both life-long Muslims and converts living in Britain. Chapter 2 focuses on childhood and adolescent experiences reviewing the psychological and sociological theories of conversion and attempts to find out how far these theories are applicable to the converts to Islam. Chapter 3 examines the backgrounds of the converts regarding religion. It then analyzes the immediate antecedents of the conversion as well as the conversion process, focussing on version motifs. A conversion process model is also developed in this chapter. Chapter 4 looks at the post-conversion period to find out what changes the converts underwent. It also examines the relationship between converts, their parents and society at large. Chapter 5 reveals the findings on conversion through Sufism. Comparisons between conversion through Sufism and through new religious movements in the West are also made. This study should be an important addition to the study of religious conversion, as conversion to Islam either from outside or within Islam is widely neglected in the literature.

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229

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

1136168389

ISBN 13

9781136168383

Global Business Cycles

Convergence or Decoupling?

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Mr.Eswar Prasad

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Global Business Cycles

Convergence or Decoupling?

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Mr.Eswar Prasad

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1451870019

ISBN 13

9781451870015

Global House Price Fluctuations

Synchronization and Determinants

By: Mr.Hideaki Hirata,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Mr.Marco Terrones

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Global House Price Fluctuations

Synchronization and Determinants

By: Mr.Hideaki Hirata,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Mr.Marco Terrones

We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1475523629

ISBN 13

9781475523621

Financial Cycles

What? How? When?

By: Mr.Marco Terrones,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Stijn Claessens

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Financial Cycles

What? How? When?

By: Mr.Marco Terrones,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Stijn Claessens

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of financial cycles using a large database covering 21 advanced countries over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three main results. First, financial cycles tend to be long and severe, especially those in housing and equity markets. Second, they are highly synchronized within countries, particularly credit and house price cycles. The extent of synchronization of financial cycles across countries is high as well, mainly for credit and equity cycles, and has been increasing over time. Third financial cycles accentuate each other and become magnified, especially during coincident downturns in credit and housing markets. Moreover, globally synchronized downturns tend to be associated with more prolonged and costly episodes, especially for credit and equity cycles. We discuss how these findings can guide future research on various aspects of financial market developments.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

145522703X

ISBN 13

9781455227037

Collapse and Revival

Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Marco E. Terrones

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Collapse and Revival

Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Marco E. Terrones

As the debates about the recent global recession and the subsequent recovery have clearly shown, our understanding of these questions has been very limited. This comprehensive text puts the latest global recession and ongoing recovery in perspective. With the support of a companion website and DVD, we have created several multimedia tools to help understand the basics.

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307

Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1513570021

ISBN 13

9781513570020

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

By: Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose

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Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

By: Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose

This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1475561008

ISBN 13

9781475561005

Game of Iniquity

By: Miray Kose

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Game of Iniquity

By: Miray Kose

Deliveries. Opium. Regret. The only three things twenty-one-year-old Gabriel Ashmore’s life consists of until four murder victims are found in the increasingly criminal city, all marked with the same black veins. Gabriel is connected to all four.

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238

Publisher

Book Guild Publishing

Published Date

ISBN 10

1915853699

ISBN 13

9781915853691

Emerging Markets

Resilience and Growth amid Global Turmoil

By: Eswar S. Prasad,Ayhan Kose

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Emerging Markets

Resilience and Growth amid Global Turmoil

By: Eswar S. Prasad,Ayhan Kose

Emerging market economies (EMEs) have become the darlings of international investors and the focus of enormous attention in academic, media, and policy circles. M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad present the definitive account of the evolution of EMEs and use the lens of the global financial crisis to evaluate their strengths and weaknesses. Led by a set of large and dynamic countries—including Brazil, China, India, and Russia—EMEs have become a dominant presence in the world economy. They now account for a substantial share of world output and have been a major driver of global growth during the past decade. They are significant players in international trade and financial flows and are beginning to exert rising clout in global policy debates. However, the financial crisis of 2007–09 and the worldwide recession that followed cast a pall over the notion that EMEs had become self-reliant and "decoupled" from demand conditions in and financial flows from advanced countries. Kose and Prasad, prominent experts on emerging market economies and globalization, draw on their extensive research to assess the resilience of EMEs in the face of the global financial crisis. Their analysis shows that EMEs, as a group, weathered the crisis much better than the advanced countries, and most of these economies have bounced back rapidly from the global recession. The authors track down the reasons for this resilience and explain why some countries in this group have done better than others. Based on this analysis, they draw lessons for the durability and sustainability of these economies' long-term growth. This book is important reading for anyone trying to anticipate the future growth of emerging markets or contemplating business opportunities in these economies.

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225

Publisher

Rowman & Littlefield

Published Date

ISBN 10

0815705654

ISBN 13

9780815705659

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Marco Terrones

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What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Marco Terrones

We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 234 (58) episodes of equity price declines (busts) and their various overlaps in these countries over the sample period. Our results indicate that interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play major roles in determining the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. JEL Classification Numbers: E32; E44; E51; F42

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1451871325

ISBN 13

9781451871326

Data Analytics for Finance Using Python

By: Nitin Jaglal Untwal,Utku Kose

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Data Analytics for Finance Using Python

By: Nitin Jaglal Untwal,Utku Kose

Unlock the power of data analytics in finance with this comprehensive guide. Data Analytics for Finance Using Python is your key to unlocking the secrets of the financial markets. In this book, you’ll discover how to harness the latest data analytics techniques, including machine learning and inferential statistics, to make informed investment decisions and drive business success. With a focus on practical application, this book takes you on a journey from the basics of data preprocessing and visualization to advanced modeling techniques for stock price prediction. Through real-world case studies and examples, you’ll learn how to: Uncover hidden patterns and trends in financial data Build predictive models that drive investment decisions Optimize portfolio performance using data-driven insights Stay ahead of the competition with cutting-edge data analytics techniques Whether you’re a finance professional seeking to enhance your data analytics skills or a researcher looking to advance the field of finance through data-driven insights, this book is an essential resource. Dive into the world of data analytics in finance and discover the power to make informed decisions, drive business success, and stay ahead of the curve. This book will be helpful for students, researchers, and users of machine learning and financial tools in the disciplines of commerce, management, and economics.

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138

Publisher

CRC Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

104026400X

ISBN 13

9781040264003

Smart Applications with Advanced Machine Learning and Human-Centred Problem Design

By: D. Jude Hemanth,Utku Kose,Junzo Watada,Bogdan Patrut

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Smart Applications with Advanced Machine Learning and Human-Centred Problem Design

By: D. Jude Hemanth,Utku Kose,Junzo Watada,Bogdan Patrut

This book brings together the most recent, quality research papers accepted and presented in the 3rd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Applied Mathematics in Engineering (ICAIAME 2021) held in Antalya, Turkey between 1-3 October 2021. Objective of the content is to provide important and innovative research for developments-improvements within different engineering fields, which are highly interested in using artificial intelligence and applied mathematics. As a collection of the outputs from the ICAIAME 2021, the book is specifically considering research outcomes including advanced use of machine learning and careful problem designs on human-centred aspects. In this context, it aims to provide recent applications for real-world improvements making life easier and more sustainable for especially humans. The book targets the researchers, degree students, and practitioners from both academia and the industry.

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801

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

303109753X

ISBN 13

9783031097539

Regionalization vs. Globalization

By: Mr.Hideaki Hirata,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok

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Regionalization vs. Globalization

By: Mr.Hideaki Hirata,Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok

Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the global, regional, and country-specific factors in explaining business cycles in a large sample of countries and regions over the period 1960–2010. We find that, since the mid-1980s, the importance of regional factors has increased markedly in explaining business cycles especially in regions that experienced a sharp growth in intra-regional trade and financial flows. By contrast, the relative importance of the global factor has declined over the same period. In short, the recent era of globalization has witnessed the emergence of regional business cycles.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1557753288

ISBN 13

9781557753281

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Raju Huidrom,Mr.Thomas Helbling

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Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Christopher Otrok,Raju Huidrom,Mr.Thomas Helbling

This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1-2009:4. We first estimate common components in various macroeconomic and financial variables of the G-7 countries. We then evaluate the role played by credit market shocks using a series of VAR models. Our findings suggest that these shocks have been influential in driving global activity during the latest global recession. Credit shocks originating in the United States also have a significant impact on the evolution of world growth during global recessions.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1455209619

ISBN 13

9781455209613

Deep Learning for Medical Decision Support Systems

By: Utku Kose,Omer Deperlioglu,Jafar Alzubi,Bogdan Patrut

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Deep Learning for Medical Decision Support Systems

By: Utku Kose,Omer Deperlioglu,Jafar Alzubi,Bogdan Patrut

This book explores various applications of deep learning-oriented diagnosis leading to decision support, while also outlining the future face of medical decision support systems. Artificial intelligence has now become a ubiquitous aspect of modern life, and especially machine learning enjoysgreat popularity, since it offers techniques that are capable of learning from samples to solve newly encountered cases. Today, a recent form of machine learning, deep learning, is being widely used with large, complex quantities of data, because today’s problems require detailed analyses of more data. This is critical, especially in fields such as medicine. Accordingly, the objective of this book is to provide the essentials of and highlight recent applications of deep learning architectures for medical decision support systems. The target audience includes scientists, experts, MSc and PhD students, postdocs, and any readers interested in the subjectsdiscussed. The book canbe used as a reference work to support courses on artificial intelligence, machine/deep learning, medical and biomedicaleducation.

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185

Publisher

Springer Nature

Published Date

ISBN 10

981156325X

ISBN 13

9789811563256

Reaping the Benefits of Financial Globalization

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Julian Di Giovanni,Mr.Andre Faria,Mr.Martin Schindler,Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia,Mr.Paolo Mauro,Mr.Jonathan David Ostry,Mr.Marco Terrones

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Reaping the Benefits of Financial Globalization

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Julian Di Giovanni,Mr.Andre Faria,Mr.Martin Schindler,Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia,Mr.Paolo Mauro,Mr.Jonathan David Ostry,Mr.Marco Terrones

Financial globalization has increased dramatically over the past three decades, particularly for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing countries experienced more moderate increases. Divergences across countries stem from different capital control regimes, and factors such as institutional quality and domestic financial development. Although, in principle, financial globalization should enhance international risk sharing, reduce macroeconomic volatility, and foster economic growth, in practice its effects are less clear-cut. This paper envisages a gradual and orderly sequencing of external financial liberalization and complementary reforms in macroeconomic policy framework as essential components of a successful liberalization strategy.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1589067487

ISBN 13

9781589067486

Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries

Some Empirical Evidence

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Kenneth Rogoff,Mr.Eswar Prasad,Shang-Jin Wei

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Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries

Some Empirical Evidence

By: Mr.Ayhan Kose,Mr.Kenneth Rogoff,Mr.Eswar Prasad,Shang-Jin Wei

This study provides a candid, systematic, and critical review of recent evidence on this complex subject. Based on a review of the literature and some new empirical evidence, it finds that (1) in spite of an apparently strong theoretical presumption, it is difficult to detect a strong and robust causal relationship between financial integration and economic growth; (2) contrary to theoretical predictions, financial integration appears to be associated with increases in consumption volatility (both in absolute terms and relative to income volatility) in many developing countries; and (3) there appear to be threshold effects in both of these relationships, which may be related to absorptive capacity. Some recent evidence suggests that sound macroeconomic frameworks and, in particular, good governance are both quantitatively and qualitatively important in affecting developing countries’ experiences with financial globalization.

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