Keith T. Poole's Books

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

By: David A. Armstrong,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

By: David A. Armstrong,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

With recent advances in computing power and the widespread availability of preference, perception and choice data, such as public opinion surveys and legislative voting, the empirical estimation of spatial models using scaling and ideal point estimation methods has never been more accessible.The second edition of Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment demonstrates how to estimate and interpret spatial models with a variety of methods using the open-source programming language R. Requiring only basic knowledge of R, the book enables social science researchers to apply the methods to their own data. Also suitable for experienced methodologists, it presents the latest methods for modeling the distances between points. The authors explain the basic theory behind empirical spatial models, then illustrate the estimation technique behind implementing each method, exploring the advantages and limitations while providing visualizations to understand the results. This second edition updates and expands the methods and software discussed in the first edition, including new coverage of methods for ordinal data and anchoring vignettes in surveys, as well as an entire chapter dedicated to Bayesian methods. The second edition is made easier to use by the inclusion of an R package, which provides all data and functions used in the book. David A. Armstrong II is Canada Research Chair in Political Methodology and Associate Professor of Political Science at Western University. His research interests include measurement, Democracy and state repressive action. Ryan Bakker is Reader in Comparative Politics at the University of Essex. His research interests include applied Bayesian modeling, measurement, Western European politics, and EU politics. Royce Carroll is Professor in Comparative Politics at the University of Essex. His research focuses on measurement of ideology and the comparative politics of legislatures and political parties. Christopher Hare is Assistant Professor in Political Science at the University of California, Davis. His research focuses on ideology and voting behavior in US politics, political polarization, and measurement. Keith T. Poole is Philip H. Alston Jr. Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University of Georgia. His research interests include methodology, US political-economic history, economic growth and entrepreneurship. Howard Rosenthal is Professor of Politics at NYU and Roger Williams Straus Professor of Social Sciences, Emeritus, at Princeton. Rosenthal’s research focuses on political economy, American politics and methodology.

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347

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CRC Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1351770497

ISBN 13

9781351770491

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R

By: David A. Armstrong, II,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R

By: David A. Armstrong, II,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

Modern Methods for Evaluating Your Social Science Data With recent advances in computing power and the widespread availability of political choice data, such as legislative roll call and public opinion survey data, the empirical estimation of spatial models has never been easier or more popular. Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R demonstrates how to estimate and interpret spatial models using a variety of methods with the popular, open-source programming language R. Requiring basic knowledge of R, the book enables researchers to apply the methods to their own data. Also suitable for expert methodologists, it presents the latest methods for modeling the distances between points—not the locations of the points themselves. This distinction has important implications for understanding scaling results, particularly how uncertainty spreads throughout the entire point configuration and how results are identified. In each chapter, the authors explain the basic theory behind the spatial model, then illustrate the estimation techniques and explore their historical development, and finally discuss the advantages and limitations of the methods. They also demonstrate step by step how to implement each method using R with actual datasets. The R code and datasets are available on the book’s website.

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358

Publisher

CRC Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1466517158

ISBN 13

9781466517158

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

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Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

This book presents a simple geometric model of voting as a tool to analyze parliamentary roll call data. Each legislator is represented by one point and each roll call is represented by two points that correspond to the policy consequences of voting Yea or Nay. On every roll call each legislator votes for the closer outcome point, at least probabilistically. These points form a spatial map that summarizes the roll calls. In this sense a spatial map is much like a road map because it visually depicts the political world of a legislature. The closeness of two legislators on the map shows how similar their voting records are, and the distribution of legislators shows what the dimensions are. These maps can be used to study a wide variety of topics including how political parties evolve over time, the existence of sophisticated voting and how an executive influences legislative outcomes.

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252

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1139446754

ISBN 13

9781139446754

Ideology and Congress

Second Revised Edition of Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Ideology and Congress

Second Revised Edition of Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

In Ideology and Congress, authors Poole and Rosenthal have analyzed over 13 million individual roll call votes spanning the two centuries since Congress began recording votes in 1789. By tracing the voting patterns of Congress throughout the country's history, the authors find that, despite a wide array of issues facing legislators, over 81 percent of their voting decisions can be attributed to a consistent ideological position ranging from ultraconservatism to ultraliberalism. In their classic 1997 volume, Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll Call Voting, roll call voting became the framework for a novel interpretation of important episodes in American political and economic history. Congress demonstrated that roll call voting has a very simple structure and that, for most of American history, roll call voting patterns have maintained a core stability based on two great issues: the extent of government regulation of, and intervention in, the economy; and race. In this new, paperback volume, the authors include nineteen years of additional data, bringing in the period from 1986 through 2004.

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363

Publisher

Transaction Publishers

Published Date

ISBN 10

1412806089

ISBN 13

9781412806084

Political Bubbles

Financial Crises and the Failure of American Democracy

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Political Bubbles

Financial Crises and the Failure of American Democracy

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

How governmental failure led to the 2008 financial crisis—and what needs to be done to avoid another similar event Behind every financial crisis lurks a "political bubble"—policy biases that foster market behaviors leading to financial instability. Rather than tilting against risky behavior, political bubbles—arising from a potent combination of beliefs, institutions, and interests—aid, abet, and amplify risk. Demonstrating how political bubbles helped create the real estate-generated financial bubble and the 2008 financial crisis, this book argues that similar government oversights in the aftermath of the crisis undermined Washington's response to the "popped" financial bubble, and shows how such patterns have occurred repeatedly throughout US history. The authors show that just as financial bubbles are an unfortunate mix of mistaken beliefs, market imperfections, and greed, political bubbles are the product of rigid ideologies, unresponsive and ineffective government institutions, and special interests. Financial market innovations—including adjustable-rate mortgages, mortgage-backed securities, and credit default swaps—become subject to legislated leniency and regulatory failure, increasing hazardous practices. The authors shed important light on the politics that blinds regulators to the economic weaknesses that create the conditions for economic bubbles and recommend simple, focused rules that should help avoid such crises in the future. The first full accounting of how politics produces financial ruptures, Political Bubbles offers timely lessons that all sectors would do well to heed.

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Page Count

369

Publisher

Princeton University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1400846390

ISBN 13

9781400846399

Congress

A Political-economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Congress

A Political-economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

Using supercomputers, the authors have analyzed 16 million individual roll call votes since the two Houses of Congress began recording votes in 1789. By tracing the voting patterns of Congress throughout the country's history, Poole and Rosenthal find that, despite a wide array of issues facing legislators, over 80% of a legislator's voting decisions can be attributed to a consistent ideological position ranging from ultraconservatism to ultraliberalism.

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314

Publisher

Oxford University Press, USA

Published Date

ISBN 10

019514242X

ISBN 13

9780195142426

Polarized America, second edition

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Polarized America, second edition

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

Updated analysis of how the increasing polarization of American politics has been accompanied and accelerated by greater income inequality. The idea of America as politically polarized—that there is an unbridgeable divide between right and left, red and blue states—has become a cliché. What commentators miss, however, is that increasing polarization has been closely accompanied by fundamental social and economic changes—most notably, a parallel rise in income inequality. In this second edition of Polarized America, Nolan McCarty, Keith Poole, and Howard Rosenthal use the latest data to examine the relationships of polarization, wealth disparity, immigration, and other forces. They find that inequality feeds directly into political polarization, and polarization in turn creates policies that further increase inequality. Paul Krugman called the first edition of Polarized America “Important.... Essential reading for anyone who wants to understand what's happening to America.” The second edition has been thoroughly brought up to date. All statistical analyses, tables, and figures have been updated with data that run through 2012 or 2014, and the text has been revised to reflect the latest evidence. The chapter on campaign finance has been completely rewritten (with Adam Bonica as coauthor); the analysis shows that with so much “soft” money coming from very wealthy ideological extremists, there is even greater campaign contribution inequality than income inequality.

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271

Publisher

MIT Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0262528622

ISBN 13

9780262528627

Polarized America

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Polarized America

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

The idea of America as politically polarized—that there is an unbridgeable divide between right and left, red and blue states—has become a cliché. What commentators miss, however, is that increasing polarization in recent decades has been closely accompanied by fundamental social and economic changes—most notably, a parallel rise in income inequality. In Polarized America, Nolan McCarty, Keith Poole, and Howard Rosenthal examine the relationships of polarization, wealth disparity, immigration, and other forces, characterizing it as a dance of give and take and back and forth causality. Using NOMINATE (a quantitative procedure that, like interest group ratings, scores politicians on the basis of their roll call voting records) to measure polarization in Congress and public opinion, census data and Federal Election Commission finance records to measure polarization among the public, the authors find that polarization and income inequality fell in tandem from 1913 to 1957 and rose together dramatically from 1977 on; they trace a parallel rise in immigration beginning in the 1970s. They show that Republicans have moved right, away from redistributive policies that would reduce income inequality. Immigration, meanwhile, has facilitated the move to the right: non-citizens, a larger share of the population and disproportionately poor, cannot vote; thus there is less political pressure from the bottom for redistribution than there is from the top against it. In "the choreography of American politics" inequality feeds directly into political polarization, and polarization in turn creates policies that further increase inequality.

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253

Publisher

MIT Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0262303272

ISBN 13

9780262303279

Polarized America

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Polarized America

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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253

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MIT Press

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ISBN 10

0262303272

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9780262303279

NFL 2K

Prima's Official Strategy Guide

By: Keith M. Kolmos

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NFL 2K

Prima's Official Strategy Guide

By: Keith M. Kolmos

Created with play books and designed by seasoned coaches, this game has all the play-calling strategies of real NFL teams plus more than 1,300 motion-captured moves shot using real people. This guide features complete offensive and defensive tips, plus detailed bios and multiplayer strategies.

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196

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Prima Publishing

Published Date

ISBN 10

0761526633

ISBN 13

9780761526636

Ideology and Congress

Second Revised Edition of Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Ideology and Congress

Second Revised Edition of Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll Call Voting

By: Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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363

Publisher

Transaction Publishers

Published Date

ISBN 10

1412806089

ISBN 13

9781412806084

Polarized America, second edition

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Polarized America, second edition

The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches

By: Nolan McCarty,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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271

Publisher

MIT Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0262334062

ISBN 13

9780262334068

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

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Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

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252

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Cambridge University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1139446754

ISBN 13

9781139446754

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

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Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

By: Keith T. Poole

This book presents a geometric voting model for analyzing parliamentary roll call data. Each legislator is represented by one point and each roll call is represented by two points that correspond to the policy consequences of voting Yea or Nay. On every roll call each legislator votes for the closer outcome point, at least probabilistically. These points form a spatial map that summarizes the roll calls. In this sense a spatial map is much like a road map because it visually depicts the political world of a legislature. These maps can be used to study a wide variety of topics related to legislative voting.

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Page Count

248

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0521851947

ISBN 13

9780521851947

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

By: David A. Armstrong,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

By: David A. Armstrong,Ryan Bakker,Royce Carroll,Christopher Hare,Keith T. Poole,Howard Rosenthal

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Page Count

302

Publisher

CRC Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1351770500

ISBN 13

9781351770507

Book's by Keith T. Poole

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment with R

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Ideology and Congress

Ideology and Congress

Political Bubbles

Political Bubbles

Congress

Congress

Polarized America, second edition

Polarized America, second edition

Polarized America

Polarized America

Polarized America

Polarized America

NFL 2K

NFL 2K

Ideology and Congress

Ideology and Congress

Polarized America, second edition

Polarized America, second edition

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

Analyzing Spatial Models of Choice and Judgment

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