Keith B. Payne's Books

Nuclear Deterrence In U.s.-soviet Relations

By: Keith B. Payne

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Nuclear Deterrence In U.s.-soviet Relations

By: Keith B. Payne

This book critically examines U.S. attempts to establish a nuclear deterrent against the Soviet Union and offers new approaches to dealing with the changing strategic environment. Dr. Payne maintains that the most influential theories of nuclear deterrence--Assured Vulnerability and Flexible Targeting—are unrealistic, given Soviet foreign policy and attitudes toward nuclear war, and no longer adequately meet the requirements of U.S. national security. Identifying an approach compatible with U.S. security commitments, he argues that future U.S. policy should focus on defeating the "Soviet theory of victory"--on threatening Soviet military forces and domestic and external political control assets, while also defending the U.S. against nuclear attack. The discussion covers recent developments, among them the "new nuclear strategy" of the Carter administration and President Reagan's new weapons program.

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Page Count

182

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

0429725884

ISBN 13

9780429725883

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

By: Keith B. Payne

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Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

By: Keith B. Payne

Keith Payne begins by asking, "Did we really learn how to deter predictably and reliably during the Cold War?" He answers cautiously in the negative, pointing out that we know only that our policies toward the Soviet Union did not fail. What we can be more certain of, in Payne's view, is that such policies will almost assuredly fail in the Second Nuclear Age—a period in which direct nuclear threat between superpowers has been replaced by threats posed by regional "rogue" powers newly armed with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. The fundamental problem with deterrence theory is that is posits a rational—hence predictable—opponent. History frequently demonstrates the opposite. Payne argues that as the one remaining superpower, the United States needs to be more flexible in its approach to regional powers.

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Page Count

223

Publisher

University Press of Kentucky

Published Date

ISBN 10

0813184134

ISBN 13

9780813184135

Missile Defense In The 21st Century

Protection Against Limited Threats, Including Lessons From The Gulf War

By: Keith B. Payne

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Missile Defense In The 21st Century

Protection Against Limited Threats, Including Lessons From The Gulf War

By: Keith B. Payne

This book examines the implications of emerging security environment for missile defense. It identifies the lessons concerning the questions provided by the Gulf War, focusing on the redirection of the Strategic Defense Initiative towards a capability for global protection against limited strikes.

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Page Count

172

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

0429710534

ISBN 13

9780429710537

Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence

By: Keith B. Payne,James Schlesinger

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Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence

By: Keith B. Payne,James Schlesinger

The National Institute for Public Policy’s new book, Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence, is the first of its kind. Dr. Keith Payne, former Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger and an unparalleled bipartisan group of senior civilian and military experts critically examine eight basic assumptions of Minimum Deterrence against available evidence. In general, Minimum Deterrence does not fare well under the careful scrutiny. Proponents of a "Minimum Deterrent" US nuclear force posture believe that anywhere from a handful to a few hundred nuclear weapons are adequate to deter reliably and predictably any enemy from attacking the United States now and in the future. Because nuclear weapons are so destructive, their thinking goes, no foreign leader would dare challenge US capabilities. The benefits, advocates claim, of reducing US nuclear weapons to the "minimum" level needed are: better relations with Russia and China, reinforcement of the arms control and Nonproliferation Treaty, billions of defense dollars in savings, and greater international stability on the way to "nuclear zero." As political pressure builds to pursue this vision of minimum US deterrence, Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence stands as the seminal study to address the many claims of great benefit using available evidence. This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.

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Page Count

123

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

1317671546

ISBN 13

9781317671541

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

By: Keith B. Payne

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The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

By: Keith B. Payne

In 1938, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain hoped that a policy of appeasement would satisfy Adolf Hitler's territorial appetite and structured British policy accordingly. This plan was a failure, chiefly because Hitler was not a statesman who would ultimately conform to familiar norms. Chamberlain's policy was doomed because he had greatly misjudged Hitler's basic beliefs and thus his behavior. U.S. Cold War nuclear deterrence policy was similarly based on the confident but questionable assumption that Soviet leaders would be rational by Washington's standards; they would behave reasonably when presented with nuclear threats. The United States assumed that any sane challenger would be deterred from severe provocations because not to do so would be foolish. Keith B. Payne addresses the question of whether this line of reasoning is adequate for the post-Cold War period. By analyzing past situations and a plausible future scenario, a U.S.-Chinese crisis over Taiwan, he proposes that American policymakers move away from the assumption that all our opponents are comfortably predictable by the standards of our own culture. In order to avoid unexpected and possibly disastrous failures of deterrence, he argues, we should closely examine particular opponents' culture and beliefs in order to better anticipate their likely responses to U.S. deterrence threats.

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Page Count

228

Publisher

University Press of Kentucky

Published Date

ISBN 10

0813160235

ISBN 13

9780813160238

Rogue Bolo

By: Keith Laumer

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Rogue Bolo

By: Keith Laumer

From "An Abbreviated History of the Bolo": The first completely automated Bolo, designed to operate normally without a man on board, was the landmark XV Model M. This model, first commissioned in the twenty-fifty century, was widely used throughout the Eastern Arm during the Era of Expansion and remained in service on remote worlds for over two centuries, acquiring many improvements in detail while remaining basically unchanged, through increasing sophistication of circuitry and weapons vastly upgraded its effectiveness. The always-present, through perhaps unlikely, possibility of capture and use of a Bolo by an enemy was a constant source of anxiety to military leaders and, in time, gave rise to the next and final major advance in Bolo technology: the self-directing (and, quite incidentally, self-aware) Mark XX Model B Bolo Tremendous. The Mark XX was greeted with little enthusiasm by the High Command, who now professed to believe that an unguided-by-operator Bolo would potentially be capable of running amok...

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Gateway

Published Date

ISBN 10

1473215447

ISBN 13

9781473215443

The Pericope Adulterae, the Gospel of John, and the Literacy of Jesus

By: Chris Keith

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The Pericope Adulterae, the Gospel of John, and the Literacy of Jesus

By: Chris Keith

Although consistently overlooked or dismissed, John 8.6, 8 in the Pericope Adulterae is the only place in canonical or non-canonical Jesus tradition that portrays Jesus as writing. After establishing that John 8.6, 8 is indeed a claim that Jesus could write, this book offers a new interpretation and transmission history of the Pericope Adulterae. Not only did the pericope’s interpolator place the story in John’s Gospel in order to highlight the claim that Jesus could write, but he did so at John 7.53–8.11 as a result of carefully reading the Johannine narrative. The final chapter of the book proposes a plausible socio-historical context for the insertion of the story.

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Page Count

336

Publisher

BRILL

Published Date

ISBN 10

9047440196

ISBN 13

9789047440192

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

By: Keith B. Payne

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The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

By: Keith B. Payne

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228

Publisher

University Press of Kentucky

Published Date

ISBN 10

0813160235

ISBN 13

9780813160238

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

By: Keith B. Payne

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Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

By: Keith B. Payne

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Page Count

185

Publisher

University Press of Kentucky

Published Date

ISBN 10

081314843X

ISBN 13

9780813148434

Book's by Keith B. Payne

Nuclear Deterrence In U.s.-soviet Relations

Nuclear Deterrence In U.s.-soviet Relations

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

Missile Defense In The 21st Century

Missile Defense In The 21st Century

Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence

Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

Rogue Bolo

Rogue Bolo

The Pericope Adulterae, the Gospel of John, and the Literacy of Jesus

The Pericope Adulterae, the Gospel of John, and the Literacy of Jesus

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

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