The Gospel is Good News. This book covers Colossians to Hebrews. The epistles are letters written for the express purpose of telling that Good News. All About Jesus is more than a devotional or bible study. Yes it is a devotional and a bible study but it also emphasises Jesus. His name is Jesus: Jehovah Saves. His name implies what He came to do and what He has done for all that have faith in Him. It's' ALL ABOUT JESUS, He actually saves us. Too many ] believers] believe that He is Our Savior but continually try to save themselves. Our biggest problem is not really knowing and believing how Jesus does it. Gods' ways are higher than our ways and His thoughts are higher than our thoughts. Because this book emphasises Jesus, you will see what His has done for us and give Him the honor and praise for it. This is what the Christian Faith is all about. Declaring what He has done for us and then seeing it come to pass in our lives. To God be the glory! Blessings and Shalom 2 u Jim
Godś will be done. I think that we all want the will of God to be done. Sometimes we hear that it is God's will but aren't sure. A lot of people have the attitude that if it is Godś will, it will be done. If it isn't God's will, it won't be done. Then there are many who pray ] if it be thy will]. In this book, we will go through many examples of things that were Godś will but didn't come to pass. Why it didn't come to pass and what God had to do to make it come to pass. God has given all mankind, saved and unsaved a freewill; itś up to each individual to use it for Godś will be done. Learn how to have Godś will be done in your life. Blessings and Shalom 2 u Jim
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
This book provides an introduction to an important approach to the study of voting and elections: the spatial theory of voting. In contrast to the social-psychological approach to studying voting behaviour, the spatial theory of voting is premised on the idea of self-interested choice. Voters cast votes on the basis of their evaluation of the candidates or policy alternatives competing for their vote. Candidates fashion their appeals to the voters in an effort to win votes. The spatial theory provides explicit definitions for these behavioural assumptions to determines the form that self-interested behaviour will take. The consequences of this behaviour for the type of candidate or policy that voters will select is the major focus of the theory. There is a twofold purpose to this work. The first is to provide an elementary but rigourous introduction to an important body of political science research. The second is to design and test a spatial theory of elections that provides insights into the nature of election contests. The book will appeal to a wide audience, since the mathematics is kept to an accessible level.
We live in a scary world, and we hear about it every night on the news. Yet, it is perhaps the stories that dont make the news that are the most horrificthe stories that remain in the dark, never to be unveiled. These haunting occurrences often end in blood and torment, but youll never hear about them unless they happen to you. In Horror Master, author James Cook brings together twenty stories of pure terror. Meet the new town sheriff who has to deal with a local mans dead body found in the lake and the possibility of a horned beast. Find out what happens when you lie to a madman, and witness a doctor who performs sadistic treatments on criminal patients. There is an underground prison and a small town torn by trauma. Theres a crazy gunman who needs to be taken down, and ask yourself: what could possibly go wrong with the circus in town? Find in this collection stories that will shock you into a state of pure panic and paranoia. Close the pages and realize it could all happen to you.
Ein Wiley-Klassiker über Bayes-Statistik, jetzt in durchgesehener und erweiterter Neuauflage! - Werk spiegelt die stürmische Entwicklung dieses Gebietes innerhalb der letzten Jahre wider - vollständige Darstellung der theoretischen Grundlagen - jetzt ergänzt durch unzählige Anwendungsbeispiele - die wichtigsten modernen Methoden (u. a. hierarchische Modellierung, linear-dynamische Modellierung, Metaanalyse, MCMC-Simulationen) - einzigartige Diskussion der Finetti-Transformierten und anderer Themen, über die man ansonsten nur spärliche Informationen findet - Lösungen zu den Übungsaufgaben sind enthalten
First published in 1984. In this book, the authors set forth the central ideas and results of the major theories of coalition forming behavior. These theories address situations of partial conflict of interest with the following aspects: (1) there are three or more players, (2) players may openly communicate with each other, and (3) players form coalitions by freely negotiating agreements on how to disburse the gains that result from the coalition members’ joint coordinated efforts. These models arise from the two disciplines of mathematics, in the theory of cooperative n-person games with side payments, and social psychology, in theories of small group behavior in mixed-motive situations. The goal is to explore the various solution concepts that make up this body of theory, and in particular to examine the psychological premises that underlie the various theoretical models.
For several decades, the orthodox economics approach to understanding choice under risk has been to assume that each individual person maximizes some sort of personal utility function defined over purchasing power. This new volume contests that even the best wisdom from the orthodox theory has not yet been able to do better than supposedly naïve models that use rules of thumb, or that focus on the consumption possibilities and economic constraints facing the individual. The authors assert this by first revisiting the origins of orthodox theory. They then recount decades of failed attempts to obtain meaningful empirical validation or calibration of the theory. Estimated shapes and parameters of the "curves" have varied erratically from domain to domain (e.g., individual choice versus aggregate behavior), from context to context, from one elicitation mechanism to another, and even from the same individual at different time periods, sometimes just minutes apart. This book proposes the return to a simpler sort of scientific theory of risky choice, one that focuses not upon unobservable curves but rather upon the potentially observable opportunities and constraints facing decision makers. It argues that such an opportunities-based model offers superior possibilities for scientific advancement. At the very least, linear utility – in the presence of constraints - is a useful bar for the "curved" alternatives to clear.
A monumental study of collective violence in the premodern world, this book analyzes all instances of rebellion and banditry recorded in 1,097 countries in China during the 277 years of the Ming dynasty (1368-1644). The assembled evidence constitutes the largest annual, county-level time-series on collective violence events in any part of the world, and the 630 recorded cases are used to test the major social science theories on the origins of collective violence. Using systematic data collected from local gazetteers on natural calamities, size of harvests, famine relief, physical terrain, local construction, and troop deployment, the author advances and validates a rational-choice argument that violence increased when survival in a subsistence economy became uncertain and the likelihood of punishment was low. Analyzing the administrative effectiveness and coercive capacity of the Ming state, the author also finds evidence to support a complementary structuralist explanation for increased collective violence in times of lax rulers, state insolvency, and inadequate welfare and tax policies. After an introductory chapter, the author explicates the main theoretical and methodological issues of collective violence and sketches the empirical pattern of rebellions and banditry, differentiating them by the level of threat they posed to the regime and by the sociopolitical profile of participating groups. In the next four chapters, he relates the Ming empirical configuration to four theoretical frameworks for collective violence: rational choice,which includes the issue of motive and choice—why people chose to become bandits; opportunity, in which the level of Ming collective violence is treated to variations in a regime's coercive capacity; social change, which is used to shed light on food riots, anti-tax rebellions, and conflict between employers and employees and between natives and outsiders; and class conflict, which prompts the author to assess the Marxist explanation for collective violence by investigating revolts of commoners against imperial clansmen, bondservants against masters, and tenants against landlords. The final chapter presents how the author's conclusions on why and how people became outlaws in the Ming and points the questions for future research.
An autobiography of a 20th-century American diplomat who spent most of his life in high-level diplomacy in Asia and Africa. His Foreign Service career brought postings in Islamabad, Istanbul, and Ankara, and four ambassadorships - in Tanzania, Turkey, the UN, and Sri Lanka
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