The present lecture notes describe stochastic epidemic models and methods for their statistical analysis. Our aim is to present ideas for such models, and methods for their analysis; along the way we make practical use of several probabilistic and statistical techniques. This will be done without focusing on any specific disease, and instead rigorously analyzing rather simple models. The reader of these lecture notes could thus have a two-fold purpose in mind: to learn about epidemic models and their statistical analysis, and/or to learn and apply techniques in probability and statistics. The lecture notes require an early graduate level knowledge of probability and They introduce several techniques which might be new to students, but our statistics. intention is to present these keeping the technical level at a minlmum. Techniques that are explained and applied in the lecture notes are, for example: coupling, diffusion approximation, random graphs, likelihood theory for counting processes, martingales, the EM-algorithm and MCMC methods. The aim is to introduce and apply these techniques, thus hopefully motivating their further theoretical treatment. A few sections, mainly in Chapter 5, assume some knowledge of weak convergence; we hope that readers not familiar with this theory can understand the these parts at a heuristic level. The text is divided into two distinct but related parts: modelling and estimation.
In The Intruder the Andersson family is being sent scary letters without a sender's name. Who could possibly want to harm them? Gotland policeman Fredrik Broman and his colleagues take the threats seriously, but cannot rule out the possibility that it is all a tasteless joke. When the threats escalate and the couple's daughter disappears, all doubts vanish. This is for real. And it is only the beginning. When the police pressure the husband, a complicated family history is revealed. What really made him return to the small island after his successful career as an international photographer? Is it really someone nearby that wants to harm the family, or does the threat come from elsewhere? Published in many countries world-wide, acclaimed crime novelist Håkan Östlundh combines high literary quality with high-end suspense.
Shows the multifaceted and interactive character of the relationship between science and technology on the one hand, and business and innovation on the other. This book explores this non-linear relationship through a selection of case studies and discusses its implications for science as well as for business.
What are the societal effects of Europeanization? How successful is the EU’s project to create an overarching European identity representative of all its citizens, transcending national boundaries, and including those previously excluded as national minorities? This study addresses these questions by adapting the Social Identity Theory’s (SIT) concept of “social identity” to the discussions of “European identity,” offering a novel approach that remedies previous definitional and ontological problems of the term. The conceptualization of a “European social identity” is generated here to invite a reconsideration of conventional understandings of how minorities’ group identities are formed. Presenting itself as a challenge to nations and nationality, the European integration process has yet to achieve its supra-national ideal, falling instead into the trap of nationalizing those who are subsumed under the category of minorities in practice—arguably because of a faulty theoretical understanding of the term. The new “Others” of Europeanization have been chosen specifically to emphasize, despite the EU’s “united in diversity” rhetoric, the marked lack of united destiny and common heritage of selected European nationals. Among these new Others, Russophones in the Baltic states, the Roma people, populations of the Western Balkans, immigrants and guest workers, and Muslims residing in European countries have all been excluded from Europe’s new social identity. Through in-depth historical analysis, this book aims to correct this problem, providing both European studies and broader political science literatures with a new understanding of minorities that is more dynamic both in practice and theory.
In this book, the story of how IKEA and its paper producers struggled to solve the problem of creating environmentally friendly paper constitutes the foundation of a discussion of technological development. Through a detailed analysis of the case-study, the authors demonstrate the necessity of including social, technological and economical factors when dealing with such issues. Focusing on the interactive aspects of commercial and technological development, they examine how new solutions are developed and shaped in relation to the different companies and organizations involved. They investigate resources in terms of how they are related and built into other resources through historical and contemporary interaction processes. Their overall emphasis is on dealing with the issue of how different, closely and distantly related companies and organizations are affected when resources are developed.
A riveting detective novel from the internationally acclaimed author Håkan Nesser in which Detective Chief Inspector Van Veeteren is summoned to Kaalbringen, a quiet European town by the sea, to track down the link between a series of murders. An ex-con is brutally murdered with an axe in the unusually quiet town of Kaalbringen. And then the body of a wealthy real estate mogul is found, also violently attacked. With what appears to be a serial killer on the loose, Detective Chief Inspector Van Veeteren is called in to help out the local investigation. In his storied career he’s never faced an axe murderer and has only ever left one case unsolved. As details surrounding the murders are collected, Van Veeteren finds there is almost nothing to go on; nothing he can find links the two victims. But then there’s another murder and one of his colleagues, a promising female detective, goes missing, perhaps because the criminal knows she has come too close to the truth... In this riveting novel, full of fascinating, realistic characters and motives, Håkan Nesser introduces American readers to his unique and entertaining new detective, Van Veeteren, and spins a story that leaves even the most veteran crime novel readers chilled.
Efficient technological strategy is an increasingly important element in industrial profitability. An understanding of networks – the formal and informal web of contacts between suppliers, producers and customers – is vital to the application of such strategy. In this book, first published in 1989, Håkan Håkansson brings together theory and practice to provide the first comprehensive and detailed study of technological development in companies, and the associated interactions with other companies and organizations. This book is ideal for students of business.
The present lecture notes describe stochastic epidemic models and methods for their statistical analysis. Our aim is to present ideas for such models, and methods for their analysis; along the way we make practical use of several probabilistic and statistical techniques. This will be done without focusing on any specific disease, and instead rigorously analyzing rather simple models. The reader of these lecture notes could thus have a two-fold purpose in mind: to learn about epidemic models and their statistical analysis, and/or to learn and apply techniques in probability and statistics. The lecture notes require an early graduate level knowledge of probability and They introduce several techniques which might be new to students, but our statistics. intention is to present these keeping the technical level at a minlmum. Techniques that are explained and applied in the lecture notes are, for example: coupling, diffusion approximation, random graphs, likelihood theory for counting processes, martingales, the EM-algorithm and MCMC methods. The aim is to introduce and apply these techniques, thus hopefully motivating their further theoretical treatment. A few sections, mainly in Chapter 5, assume some knowledge of weak convergence; we hope that readers not familiar with this theory can understand the these parts at a heuristic level. The text is divided into two distinct but related parts: modelling and estimation.
This essential Yearbook focuses on the year 2006 to provide a comprehensive overview of the latest developments in tort law in Europe. It contains reports on most EU Member States, including new Member States. Furthermore, the book provides an overview of the developments in the field of EU law as well as a paper on Romanian tort law. In conclusion, a comparative summary reviews the essential aspects of all reports, which are written by scholars from the respective jurisdictions.
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