Fahad Alturki's Books

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

By: Mr.Nadeem Ilahi,Fahad Alturki,Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

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How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

By: Mr.Nadeem Ilahi,Fahad Alturki,Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

We test the extent to which growth in the 11 CIS countries (excluding Russia) was associated with developments in Russia, overall, as well as through the trade, financial and remittance channels over the last decade or so. The results point to the continued existence of economic links between the CIS countries and Russia, though these links may have altered since the 1998 crisis. Russia appears to influence regional growth mainly through the remittance channel and somewhat less so through the financial channel. There is a shrinking role of the trade (exports to Russia) channel. Russian growth shocks are associated with sizable effects on Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and, to some extent, Georgia.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1451874227

ISBN 13

9781451874228

Inflation in Tajikistan

Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges

By: Svetlana Vtyurina,Fahad Alturki

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Inflation in Tajikistan

Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges

By: Svetlana Vtyurina,Fahad Alturki

This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative dominance, magnitude, and speed of transition to the equilibrium price level, with the view of identifying those policy tools that will enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. We found that excess supply of broad money is inflationary in both the short and long term. The dynamic analysis also demonstrates that the exchange rate and international inflation have a strong impact on local prices. Available monetary instruments, such as the refinancing rate, have proven to be ineffective. Therefore, the Tajik monetary authority could greatly benefit from enhancing its monetary instruments toolkit, including by developing the interest rate channel, to improve its monetary policy execution and to achieve stable inflationary conditions.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1451962177

ISBN 13

9781451962178

Inflation in Tajikistan

Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges

By: Svetlana Vtyurina,Fahad Alturki

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Inflation in Tajikistan

Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges

By: Svetlana Vtyurina,Fahad Alturki

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Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1451962177

ISBN 13

9781451962178

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

By: Mr.Nadeem Ilahi,Fahad Alturki,Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

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How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

By: Mr.Nadeem Ilahi,Fahad Alturki,Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

Average ratings

N/A

Write a review

Solve jigsaw puzzle

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Page Count

Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1451874227

ISBN 13

9781451874228

Book's by Fahad Alturki

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

Inflation in Tajikistan

Inflation in Tajikistan

Inflation in Tajikistan

Inflation in Tajikistan

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

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