This paper discusses Ukraine’s 2013 Article IV Consultation and First Post-Program Monitoring. The Ukrainian economy has been in recession since mid-2012, and the outlook remains challenging. In January–September 2013, GDP contracted by 11⁄4 percent year-over-year, reflecting lower demand for Ukrainian exports and falling investments. Consumer prices stayed flat, held down by decreasing food prices and tight monetary policy. The fiscal stance loosened in 2012–2013, contributing to the buildup of vulnerabilities. Ukraine remains current on all its payments to the IMF, and the authorities have reaffirmed their commitment to repay all outstanding IMF credit.
The European economy is under pressure. Growth is slowing and competitive challenges are rising, all while EU firms navigate the demands of the green transition. Coordinated support from national governments and EU institutions proved critical after the COVID-19 pandemic, helping Europe to bolster its resilience to future shocks and spurring the investment needed to transform and modernise the economy. As a result, progress was made in digitalisation, energy efficiency, decarbonisation and reinforcing supply chains. The pace of change needs to accelerate, however, even as investment becomes harder to sustain. To remain competitive, the European Union and its members need to improve productivity, encourage innovation, address skill gaps, develop new technologies and supporting young, dynamic firms. The report, which is based on the EIB Group's annual Investment Survey, provides insights on how EU firms are dealing with these pressures, and whether they are taking the necessary steps to transform their businesses. These key findings, provide a short accessible summary of the main report's messages.
Portugal’s economy is in deep recession, and the crisis has opened up a large output gap, with severe consequences for employment and government revenue. While the focus is on the medium- and long-term, this analysis also offers insights on how deep the output gap is. It also highlights ways in which policies and reforms can promote growth over the longer haul and suggests that achieving a 2-percent growth rate over the long term—consistent with moderate convergence growth—is a realistic objective.
The first annual report on the euro area provides an economic analysis of issues raised in the annual statement on the euro area. Chapter 1 focuses on macroeconomic developments, highlighting the factors driving the economic recovery and summarising the upside and downside risks to the economic outlook. Chapter 2 explores the positive contribution of macroeconomic policies to the euro-area's economic recovery and the need for an adjustment in the macroeconomic-policy setting in view of the improved outlook. Chapter 3 discusses the importance of well-functioning product, labour and capital markets for a dynamic and smooth functioning EMU and their contribution to dealing with unwarranted cross-country growth and inflation differences. Chapter 4 describes the emergence of the euro as a global currency, the euro-area's developing role in international financial institutions and fora and the challenges posed to the world economy by unsustainable current-account imbalances. Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee, the Committee of the Regions and the European Central Bank. COM(2006)392 final.The first Annual Statement on the Euro Area calls for a prudent macroeconomic policy mix delivering price stability and reduced fiscal imbalances in view of the more positive economic outlook for the euro area, coupled with structural reforms to improve the functioning of product, labour and capital markets and measures to deepen the Internal Market. On external issues, the need for the euro area to project a strong voice on the world economic stage is emphasised in view of the growing importance of the euro as a global currency and the challenges posed by, inter alia, global imbalances.
Recoge: 1. Economic developments at the aggregated level - 2. Prospects by individual economy : Member states - Acceding countries - Candidate countries - Other non-EU countries.
The report is prepared jointly by DG ECFIN and DG TAXUD of the European Commission. As the previous editions, the report analyses recent trends in tax revenues and tax reforms in EU Member States. A particular focus of this year's edition is the analysis of the EU VAT system and tax policy challenges faced by EU Member States. The report examines the economic and policy implications of the EU VAT system, of which it provides an overview of the history and possible future. It analyses welfare gains and economic benefits from simplifying VAT procedures and reviews options to reduce VAT fraud and evasion. Applying an indicator based approach, the report identifies horizontal challenges that EU Member States are currently facing in the area of tax policy. These relate to (i) fiscal consolidation on the revenue side and growth-friendly tax structures, (ii) broadness of tax bases in both direct and indirect taxation, with a particular focus on corporate tax expenditure, (iii) the need to improve tax governance and (iv) specific tax issues, namely housing taxation, environmental taxation and some redistributive aspects of taxation." -- EU Bookshop.
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