David Smokler's Books

Interactive Learning Experiences, Grades 6-12

Increasing Student Engagement and Learning

By: David Smokler

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Interactive Learning Experiences, Grades 6-12

Increasing Student Engagement and Learning

By: David Smokler

Discover how to engage teenagers in course content using this resource's updated research, new sample activities, and tips for designing and evaluating interactive learning experiences.

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169

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Corwin Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1452298580

ISBN 13

9781452298580

Annotated Readings in the History of Statistics

By: H.A. David,A.W.F. Edwards

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Annotated Readings in the History of Statistics

By: H.A. David,A.W.F. Edwards

This book provides a selection of pioneering papers or extracts ranging from Pascal (1654) to R.A. Fisher (1930). The editors'annotations put the articles in perspective for the modern reader. A special feature of the book is the large number of translations, nearly all made by the authors. There are several reasons for studying the history of statistics: intrinsic interest in how the field of statistics developed, learning from often brilliant ideas and not reinventing the wheel, and livening up general courses in statistics by reference to important contributors.

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252

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

1475735006

ISBN 13

9781475735000

The Color of Law

Ernie Goodman, Detroit, and the Struggle for Labor and Civil Rights

By: Dave Riddle,David Elsila,Steve Babson

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The Color of Law

Ernie Goodman, Detroit, and the Struggle for Labor and Civil Rights

By: Dave Riddle,David Elsila,Steve Babson

Biography of Ernie Goodman, a Detroit lawyer and political activist who played a key role in social justice cases. In a working life that spanned half a century, Ernie Goodman was one of the nation's preeminent defense attorneys for workers and the militant poor. His remarkable career put him at the center of the struggle for social justice in the twentieth century, from the sit-down strikes of the 1930s to the Red Scare of the 1950s to the freedom struggles, anti-war demonstrations, and ghetto rebellions of the 1960s and 1970s. The Color of Law: Ernie Goodman, Detroit, and the Struggle for Labor and Civil Rights traces Goodman's journey through these tumultuous events and highlights the many moments when changing perceptions of social justice clashed with legal precedent. Authors Steve Babson, Dave Riddle, and David Elsila tell Goodman's life story, beginning with his formative years as the son of immigrant parents in Detroit's Jewish ghetto, to his early ambitions as a corporate lawyer, and his conversion to socialism and labor law during the Great Depression. From Detroit to Mississippi, Goodman saw police and other officials giving the "color of law" to actions that stifled freedom of speech and nullified the rights of workers and minorities. The authors highlight Goodman's landmark cases in defense of labor and civil rights and examine the complex relationships he developed along the way with individuals like Supreme Court Justice and former Michigan governor Frank Murphy, UAW president Walter Reuther, Detroit mayor Coleman Young, and congressman George Crockett. Drawing from a rich collection of letters, oral histories, court records, and press accounts, the authors re-create the compelling story of Goodman's life. The Color of Law demonstrates that the abuse of power is non-partisan and that individuals who oppose injustice can change the course of events.

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588

Publisher

Wayne State University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0814336388

ISBN 13

9780814336380

Philosophical Letters of David K. Lewis

Volume 2: Mind, Language, Epistemology

By: David K. Lewis

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Philosophical Letters of David K. Lewis

Volume 2: Mind, Language, Epistemology

By: David K. Lewis

David Kellogg Lewis (1941-2001) was one of the most influential philosophers of the twentieth century. He made significant contributions to almost every area of analytic philosophy including metaphysics, philosophy of language, philosophy of mind, and philosophy of science, and set the agenda for various debates in these areas which carry on to this day. In several respects he remains a contemporary figure, yet enough time has now passed for historians of philosophy to begin to study his place in twentieth century thought. His philosophy was constructed and refined not just through his published writing, but also crucially through his life-long correspondence with fellow philosophers, including leading figures such as D.M. Armstrong, Saul Kripke, W.V. Quine, J.J.C. Smart, and Peter van Inwagen. His letters formed the undercurrent of his published work and became the medium through which he proposed many of his well-known theories and discussed a range of philosophical topics in depth. A selection of his vast correspondence over a 40-year period is presented here across two volumes. Structured in three parts, Volume 2 explores Lewis' contributions to philosophical questions of mind, language, and epistemology respectively. The letters address Lewis's answer to the mind-body problem, propositional attitudes and the purely subjective character of conscious experience, meaning and reference as well as grammar in language, vagueness, truth in fiction, the problem of scepticism, and Lewis's work on decision theory and rationality, among many other topics. This volume is a testament to Lewis' achievement in these areas and will be an invaluable resource for those exploring contemporary debates concerning mind, language, and epistemology.

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480

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Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0192597884

ISBN 13

9780192597885

Logic, Meaning, and Conversation

Semantical Underdeterminacy, Implicature, and Their Interface

By: Jay David Atlas

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Logic, Meaning, and Conversation

Semantical Underdeterminacy, Implicature, and Their Interface

By: Jay David Atlas

Focusing on pragmatics, this work examines verbal ambiguity and verbal generality whilst providing a detailed theory of conversational implicature using the work of Paul Grice as a starting point.

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305

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Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0195133005

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9780195133004

Putting Logic in its Place

Formal Constraints on Rational Belief

By: David Christensen

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Putting Logic in its Place

Formal Constraints on Rational Belief

By: David Christensen

What role, if any, does formal logic play in characterizing epistemically rational belief? Traditionally, belief is seen in a binary way - either one believes a proposition, or one doesn't. Given this picture, it is attractive to impose certain deductive constraints on rational belief: that one's beliefs be logically consistent, and that one believe the logical consequences of one's beliefs. A less popular picture sees belief as a graded phenomenon. This picture (explored more by decision-theorists and philosophers of science thatn by mainstream epistemologists) invites the use of probabilistic coherence to constrain rational belief. But this latter project has often involved defining graded beliefs in terms of preferences, which may seem to change the subject away from epistemic rationality. Putting Logic in its Place explores the relations between these two ways of seeing beliefs. It argues that the binary conception, although it fits nicely with much of our commonsense thought and talk about belief, cannot in the end support the traditional deductive constraints on rational belief. Binary beliefs that obeyed these constraints could not answer to anything like our intuitive notion of epistemic rationality, and would end up having to be divorced from central aspects of our cognitive, practical, and emotional lives. But this does not mean that logic plays no role in rationality. Probabilistic coherence should be viewed as using standard logic to constrain rational graded belief. This probabilistic constraint helps explain the appeal of the traditional deductive constraints, and even underlies the force of rationally persuasive deductive arguments. Graded belief cannot be defined in terms of preferences. But probabilistic coherence may be defended without positing definitional connections between beliefs and preferences. Like the traditional deductive constraints, coherence is a logical ideal that humans cannot fully attain. Nevertheless, it furnishes a compelling way of understanding a key dimension of epistemic rationality.

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200

Publisher

OUP Oxford

Published Date

ISBN 10

0191532452

ISBN 13

9780191532450

The Essential Guide to Getting Your Book Published

How to Write It, Sell It, and Market It . . . Successfully

By: Arielle Eckstut,David Henry Sterry

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The Essential Guide to Getting Your Book Published

How to Write It, Sell It, and Market It . . . Successfully

By: Arielle Eckstut,David Henry Sterry

A complete author's toolkit: The guide that demystifies every step of the publishing process. No matter what type of book you want to write—fiction, nonfiction, humor, sci-fi, romance, cookbook, children's book—here is how to take an idea you're passionate about, develop it into a manuscript or proposal, get it published, and deliver it into the hands and hearts of readers. Includes interviews with dozens of publishing insiders—agents, editors, besteslling authors, and booksellers. Real-life success stories and the lessons they impart. Plus sample proposals and query letters, a resource guide, and more. Updated to cover ebooks, self-publishing, digital marketing, the power of social media, and more. This complete author's toolkit includes information on:- locating, luring, and landing an agent - perfecting your pitch - the nuts and bolts of a book proposal - conquering the query letter - finding the right publisher for YOU - four steps to reaching readers online - making Amazon work for you - kickstarting your Kickstarter campaign - the ins and outs of ebooks - 10 things you should have on your author website - turning rejection into a book deal - new frontiers in self-publishing

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544

Publisher

Workman Publishing Company

Published Date

ISBN 10

0761163980

ISBN 13

9780761163985

Send (Revised Edition)

By: David Shipley,Will Schwalbe

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Send (Revised Edition)

By: David Shipley,Will Schwalbe

The essential guide or anyone navigating the often overwhelming world of email. Send—the classic guide to email for office and home—has become indispensable for readers navigating the impersonal, and at times overwhelming, world of electronic communication. Filled with real-life email success (and horror) stories and a wealth of useful and entertaining examples, Send dissects all the major minefields and pitfalls of email. It provides clear rules for constructing effective emails, for handheld etiquette, for handling the “emotional email,” and for navigating all of today’s hot-button issues. It offers essential strategies to help you both better manage the ever-increasing number of emails you receive and improve the ones you send. Send is now more than ever the essential book about email for businesspeople and professionals everywhere.

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290

Publisher

Knopf

Published Date

ISBN 10

0307270610

ISBN 13

9780307270610

Adversarial Risk Analysis

By: David L. Banks,Jesus M. Rios Aliaga,David Rios Insua

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Adversarial Risk Analysis

By: David L. Banks,Jesus M. Rios Aliaga,David Rios Insua

Winner of the 2017 De Groot Prize awarded by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)A relatively new area of research, adversarial risk analysis (ARA) informs decision making when there are intelligent opponents and uncertain outcomes. Adversarial Risk Analysis develops methods for allocating defensive or offensive resources against

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220

Publisher

CRC Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1498712401

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9781498712408

A Probabilistic Analysis of the Sacco and Vanzetti Evidence

By: Joseph B. Kadane,David A. Schum

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A Probabilistic Analysis of the Sacco and Vanzetti Evidence

By: Joseph B. Kadane,David A. Schum

A Probabilistic Analysis of the Sacco and Vanzetti Evidence is aBayesian analysis of the trial and post-trial evidence in the Saccoand Vanzetti case, based on subjectively determined probabilitiesand assumed relationships among evidential events. It applies theideas of charting evidence and probabilistic assessment to thiscase, which is perhaps the ranking cause celebre in all of Americanlegal history. Modern computation methods applied to inferencenetworks are used to show how the inferential force of evidence ina complicated case can be graded. The authors employ probabilisticassessment to obtain opinions about how influential each group ofevidential items is in reaching a conclusion about the defendants'innocence or guilt. A Probabilistic Analysis of the Sacco and Vanzetti Evidence holdsparticular interest for statisticians and probabilists in academiaand legal consulting, as well as for the legal community,historians, and behavioral scientists. It combines structural andprobabilistic ideas in the analysis of masses of evidence fromevery recognized logical species of evidence. Twenty-eight chartsshow the chains of reasoning in defense of the relevance ofevidentiary matters and a listing of trial witnesses who providedthe evidence. References include nearly 300 items drawn from thefields of probability theory, history, law, artificialintelligence, psychology, literature, and other areas.

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392

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

1118186443

ISBN 13

9781118186442

SEND

Why People Email So Badly and How to Do It Better

By: David Shipley,Will Schwalbe

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SEND

Why People Email So Badly and How to Do It Better

By: David Shipley,Will Schwalbe

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290

Publisher

Vintage

Published Date

ISBN 10

030727599X

ISBN 13

9780307275998

The Emergent Multiverse

Quantum Theory According to the Everett Interpretation

By: David Wallace

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The Emergent Multiverse

Quantum Theory According to the Everett Interpretation

By: David Wallace

Presenting a striking new account of the 'many worlds' approach to quantum theory, aka the Everett interpretation, David Wallace offers a clear and up-to-date survey of work on this theory in physics and in philosophy of science.

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547

Publisher

Oxford University Press, USA

Published Date

ISBN 10

0199546967

ISBN 13

9780199546961

Additive and Polynomial Representations

By: David H. Krantz,Patrick Suppes,R. Duncan Luce

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Additive and Polynomial Representations

By: David H. Krantz,Patrick Suppes,R. Duncan Luce

All of the sciences — physical, biological, and social — have a need for quantitative measurement. This influential series, Foundations of Measurement, established the formal foundations for measurement, justifying the assignment of numbers to objects in terms of their structural correspondence. Volume I introduces the distinct mathematical results that serve to formulate numerical representations of qualitative structures. Volume II extends the subject in the direction of geometrical, threshold, and probabilistic representations, and Volume III examines representation as expressed in axiomatization and invariance.

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626

Publisher

Courier Corporation

Published Date

ISBN 10

0486453146

ISBN 13

9780486453149

Commercial Management

Theory and Practice

By: David Lowe

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Commercial Management

Theory and Practice

By: David Lowe

Commercial Management: theory and practice defines the role of commercial management within project-oriented organisations, providing a framework for and helping to develop a critical understanding of the factors that influence commercial management practice. It also identifies generic aspects of this practice and provides a theoretical foundation to these activities, by reference to existing and emergent theories and concepts, as well as to relevant management best practice. The book is structured into four parts: Part 1 Introduction – Commercial Management in Project Environments explores the nature of commercial practice within project-oriented organisations at the buyer-seller interface. It presents a Commercial Management framework, which illustrates the multiple interactions and connections between the purchaser‘s procurement cycle and a supplier‘s bidding and implementation cycles. Additionally, it outlines the principle activities undertaken by the commercial function, identifies the skills and abilities that support these activities and reviews the theories and concepts that underpin commercial practice. Finally, it identifies areas of commonality of practice with other functions found within project-oriented organisations, plus sources of potential conflict and misunderstanding. Part 2 – Elements of Commercial Theory and Practice covers commercial leadership; exploring strategy; risk and uncertainty management; financial decision-making; and key legal issues. Part 3 – Approaches to Commercial Practice addresses best practice management; and commercial and contracting strategies and tactics. Finally, Part 4 – Case Studies offers two extended case studies: Football Stadia (the Millennium Stadium, Cardiff; the Emirates Stadium, Islington; and Wembley Stadium, London); and Heathrow Terminal 5. The book provides a one-stop-shop to the many topics that underpin commercial management practice from both a demand (buy-side) and a supply (sell-side) perspective. It will help develop an understanding of the issues influencing commercial management: leadership, strategy, risk, financial, legal, best practice management and commercial and contracting strategy and tactics. This book’s companion website is at www.wiley.com/go/lowecommercialmanagement and offers invaluable resources for both students and lecturers: • PowerPoint slides for lecturers on each chapter • Sample exam questions for students to practice • Weblinks to key journals and relevant professional bodies

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533

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

1118486129

ISBN 13

9781118486122

Aliphatic and Polyhalogenated Carcinogens

Structural Bases and Biological Mechanisms

By: Yin-Tak Woo,David Y. Lai,Joseph C. Arcos

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Aliphatic and Polyhalogenated Carcinogens

Structural Bases and Biological Mechanisms

By: Yin-Tak Woo,David Y. Lai,Joseph C. Arcos

Chemical Induction of Cancer: Structural Bases and Biological Mechanisms, Volume IIIB: Aliphatic and Polyhalogenated Carcinogens covers environmentally and occupationally significant carcinogens of industrial origins. The book discusses the structure-activity relationships, metabolism, and environmental significance of the halogenated linear alkanes and alkenes and the halogenated cycloalkanes; and cycloalkene pesticides, biphenyls, and related aromatics. The text also describes the structure-activity relationships, metabolism, and environmental significance of the halogenated phenoxy acids, aromatic ethers, dibenzofurans, and dibenzo-p-dioxins; and ethylene glycol, diethylene glycol, dioxane, and related compounds. The structure-activity relationships, metabolism, and environmental significance of phenols and phenolic compounds; nitroalkanes and nitroalkenes; and acetamide, dimethylcarbamyl chloride, and related compounds thiocarbonyl compounds are also encompassed. The book further tackles the structure-activity relationships, metabolism, and environmental significance if fatty acids, detergents, and other surfactants with oncogenic potential. The text then looks into the effect of chemical reactivity, molecular geometry, and metabolism on carcinogenic activity. Chemists, geneticists, and those involved in cancer research will find the book invaluable.

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619

Publisher

Academic Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1483216012

ISBN 13

9781483216010

Neuropsychological Toxicology

Identification and Assessment of Human Neurotoxic Syndromes

By: David E. Hartman

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Neuropsychological Toxicology

Identification and Assessment of Human Neurotoxic Syndromes

By: David E. Hartman

Greatly revised, the Second Edition presents an extended survey of this rapidly growing field. The book reviews the effects of industrial and pharmaceutical chemicals on human behavior, cognitive function, and emotional status. Features include two new chapters addressing key forensic issues and recent views on multiple chemical sensitivity, sick building syndrome, and psychosomatic disorders; current data on NIOSH and OSHA exposure levels for industrial toxins; and enhanced coverage of testing methods; studies of PET, SPECT, and BEAM imaging applied to neurotoxic exposure.

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566

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

1461518490

ISBN 13

9781461518495

Philosophical Manuscripts

By: David Lewis

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Philosophical Manuscripts

By: David Lewis

David Lewis (1941-2001) was a celebrated and influential figure in analytic philosophy. When Lewis died, he left behind a large body of unpublished notes, manuscripts, and letters. This volume contains two longer manuscripts which Lewis had originally intended to turn into books, and thirty-one shorter items. The longer manuscripts are 'The Paradoxes of Time Travel', his David Gavin Young Lectures at the University of Adelaide, and 'Confirmation Theory', which is based on a graduate course on probability and logic that he gave at UCLA. Lewis's described his purposes in 'The Paradoxes of Time Travel' as being, `(1) to solve a philosophical problem hitherto largely ignored or casually mis-solved by philosophers [...]; (2) to introduce the layman to various topics in metaphysics, since our problem turns out to connect with many more familiar ones; and (3) to show of several of my favorite doctrines and methods in metaphysics'. By contrast, 'Confirmation Theory' is a technical work in which Lewis aimed to present in a unified fashion what he considered to be the best from competing theories of confirmation. Lewis described the work as 'Mathematically self-contained, with proofs for the major theorems; but the mathematics is kept down to hairy high-school algebra'. The thirty-one shorter items cover such topics as causation, freedom of the will, probability, counterparts, reference, logic, value, and divine evil. They are included here both for their intrinsic philosophical interest and their historical value. This volume also contains an intellectual biography of the young David Lewis by the editors.

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281

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0192662473

ISBN 13

9780192662477

Notes On The Theory Of Choice

By: David Kreps

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Notes On The Theory Of Choice

By: David Kreps

In this book, Professor Kreps presents a first course on the basic models of choice theory that underlie much of economic theory. This course, taught for several years at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, gives the student an introduction to the axiomatic method of economic analysis, without placing too heavy a demand on mathematical sophistication.The course begins with the basics of choice and revealed preference theory and then discusses numerical representations of ordinal preference. Models with uncertainty come next: First is von Neumann?Morgenstern utility, and then choice under uncertainty with subjective uncertainty, using the formulation of Anscombe and Aumann, and then sketching the development of Savage's classic theory. Finally, the course delves into a number of special topics, including de Finetti's theorem, modeling choice on a part of a larger problem, dynamic choice, and the empirical evidence against the classic models.

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Page Count

225

Publisher

Routledge

Published Date

ISBN 10

0429978243

ISBN 13

9780429978241

Introduction to Applied Probability

By: Paul E. Pfeiffer,David A. Schum

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Introduction to Applied Probability

By: Paul E. Pfeiffer,David A. Schum

Introduction to Applied Probability provides a basis for an intelligent application of probability ideas to a wide variety of phenomena for which it is suitable. It is intended as a tool for learning and seeks to point out and emphasize significant facts and interpretations which are frequently overlooked or confused by the beginner. The book covers more than enough material for a one semester course, enhancing the value of the book as a reference for the student. Notable features of the book are: the systematic handling of combinations of events (Section 3-5); extensive use of the mass concept as an aid to visualization; an unusually careful treatment of conditional probability, independence, and conditional independence (Section 6-4); the resulting clarification facilitates the formulation of many applied problems; the emphasis on events determined by random variables, which gives unity and clarity to many topics important for interpretation; and the utilization of the indicator function, both as a tool for dealing with events and as a notational device in the handling of random variables. Students of mathematics, engineering, biological and physical sciences will find the text highly useful.

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420

Publisher

Elsevier

Published Date

ISBN 10

1483277208

ISBN 13

9781483277202

Postmodern Moments in Modern Economics

By: David F. Ruccio,Jack Amariglio

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Postmodern Moments in Modern Economics

By: David F. Ruccio,Jack Amariglio

Of all the areas of contemporary thought, economics seems the most resistant to the destabilizing effects of postmodernism. Yet, David Ruccio and Jack Amariglio argue that one can detect, within the diverse schools of thought that comprise the discipline of economics, "moments" that defy the modernist ideas to which many economists and methodologists remain wedded. This is the first book to document the existence and to explore the implications of the postmodern moments in modern economics. Ruccio and Amariglio begin with a powerful argument for the general relevance of postmodernism to contemporary economic thought. They then conduct a series of case studies in six key areas of economics. From the idea of the "multiple self" and notions of uncertainty and information, through market anomalies and competing concepts of value, to analytical distinctions based on gender and academic standing, economics is revealed as defying the modernist frame of a singular science. The authors conclude by showing how economic theory would change if the postmodern elements were allowed to flourish. A work of daring analysis sure to be vigorously debated, Postmodern Moments in Modern Economics is both accessible and relevant to all readers concerned about the modernist straightjacket that has been imposed on the way economics is thought about and practiced in the world today.

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371

Publisher

Princeton University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0691171009

ISBN 13

9780691171005

Bayes Linear Statistics

Theory and Methods

By: Michael Goldstein,David Wooff

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Bayes Linear Statistics

Theory and Methods

By: Michael Goldstein,David Wooff

Bayesian methods combine information available from data with any prior information available from expert knowledge. The Bayes linear approach follows this path, offering a quantitative structure for expressing beliefs, and systematic methods for adjusting these beliefs, given observational data. The methodology differs from the full Bayesian methodology in that it establishes simpler approaches to belief specification and analysis based around expectation judgements. Bayes Linear Statistics presents an authoritative account of this approach, explaining the foundations, theory, methodology, and practicalities of this important field. The text provides a thorough coverage of Bayes linear analysis, from the development of the basic language to the collection of algebraic results needed for efficient implementation, with detailed practical examples. The book covers: The importance of partial prior specifications for complex problems where it is difficult to supply a meaningful full prior probability specification. Simple ways to use partial prior specifications to adjust beliefs, given observations. Interpretative and diagnostic tools to display the implications of collections of belief statements, and to make stringent comparisons between expected and actual observations. General approaches to statistical modelling based upon partial exchangeability judgements. Bayes linear graphical models to represent and display partial belief specifications, organize computations, and display the results of analyses. Bayes Linear Statistics is essential reading for all statisticians concerned with the theory and practice of Bayesian methods. There is an accompanying website hosting free software and guides to the calculations within the book.

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536

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John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

0470065672

ISBN 13

9780470065679

Critical Rationalism

A Restatement and Defence

By: David Miller

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Critical Rationalism

A Restatement and Defence

By: David Miller

David Miller elegantly and provocatively reformulates critical rationalism—the revolutionary approach to epistemology advocated by Karl Popper—by answering its most important critics. He argues for an approach to rationality freed from the debilitating authoritarian dependence on reasons and justification. "Miller presents a particularly useful and stimulating account of critical rationalism. His work is both interesting and controversial . . . of interest to anyone with concerns in epistemology or the philosophy of science." —Canadian Philosophical Reviews

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280

Publisher

Open Court

Published Date

ISBN 10

0812699408

ISBN 13

9780812699401

Toleration within Judaism

By: Martin Goodman,Joseph E. David,Corinna R. Kaiser,Simon Levis Sullam

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Toleration within Judaism

By: Martin Goodman,Joseph E. David,Corinna R. Kaiser,Simon Levis Sullam

Although Jews sometimes attempt to impose constraints on those with whom they disagree on religious matters, or relate to them as if they were not Jews at all, at other times they have recognized differences of practice and belief and developed ways of handling them. The evidence presented in this book of such toleration over the centuries has important implications for writing both the history of Judaism and the history of religions more generally.

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246

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Liverpool University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1837649464

ISBN 13

9781837649464

Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models

By: David Insua,Fabrizio Ruggeri,Mike Wiper

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Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models

By: David Insua,Fabrizio Ruggeri,Mike Wiper

Bayesian analysis of complex models based on stochastic processes has in recent years become a growing area. This book provides a unified treatment of Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, covering the main classes of stochastic processing including modeling, computational, inference, forecasting, decision making and important applied models. Key features: Explores Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, providing a unified treatment. Provides a thorough introduction for research students. Computational tools to deal with complex problems are illustrated along with real life case studies Looks at inference, prediction and decision making. Researchers, graduate and advanced undergraduate students interested in stochastic processes in fields such as statistics, operations research (OR), engineering, finance, economics, computer science and Bayesian analysis will benefit from reading this book. With numerous applications included, practitioners of OR, stochastic modelling and applied statistics will also find this book useful.

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315

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John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

0470744537

ISBN 13

9780470744536

Building the Moral Community

Radical Naturalism and Emergence

By: David W. Chambers

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Building the Moral Community

Radical Naturalism and Emergence

By: David W. Chambers

Building the Moral Community: Radical Naturalism and Emergence demonstrates how very simple models of moral engagements based on natural, incomplete, value-laden frames of the world can lead to general moral progress for the human community. All moral behavior affects more than one person, which means that the moral community is more than the sum of the individuals included in it. David W. Chambers argues that there is no ethically detached and superior position from which to operate, and that such claims are focused on ethics, not on acting morally. Therefore, he cautions against mistaking theories of ethics composed on statements about what is good and right for actual moral behavior that moves broadly and inevitably toward a better world. This book explores naturalistic ethics, offering a modified classical analytic philosophy exploration of morality that is consistent with emerging thinking in psychology, neurobiology, game theory, and self-adjusting systems.

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369

Publisher

Lexington Books

Published Date

ISBN 10

1498526209

ISBN 13

9781498526203

Bayesian Methods for Nonlinear Classification and Regression

By: David G. T. Denison,Christopher C. Holmes,Bani K. Mallick,Adrian F. M. Smith

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Bayesian Methods for Nonlinear Classification and Regression

By: David G. T. Denison,Christopher C. Holmes,Bani K. Mallick,Adrian F. M. Smith

Bei der Regressionsanalyse von Datenmaterial erhält man leider selten lineare oder andere einfache Zusammenhänge (parametrische Modelle). Dieses Buch hilft Ihnen, auch komplexere, nichtparametrische Modelle zu verstehen und zu beherrschen. Stärken und Schwächen jedes einzelnen Modells werden durch die Anwendung auf Standarddatensätze demonstriert. Verbreitete nichtparametrische Modelle werden mit Hilfe von Bayes-Verfahren in einen kohärenten wahrscheinlichkeitstheoretischen Zusammenhang gebracht.

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302

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

0471490369

ISBN 13

9780471490364

The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning

By: David A. Schum

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The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning

By: David A. Schum

In this work Schum develops a general theory of evidence as it is understood and applied across a broad range of disciplines and practical undertakings. He include insights from law, philosophy, logic, probability, semiotics, artificial intelligence, psychology and history.

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572

Publisher

Northwestern University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0810118211

ISBN 13

9780810118218

Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems

Exact Computational Methods for Bayesian Networks

By: Robert G. Cowell,Philip Dawid,Steffen L. Lauritzen,David J. Spiegelhalter

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Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems

Exact Computational Methods for Bayesian Networks

By: Robert G. Cowell,Philip Dawid,Steffen L. Lauritzen,David J. Spiegelhalter

Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field. The book, winner of the DeGroot Prize 2002, the only book prize in the field of statistics, is new in paperback.

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Page Count

340

Publisher

Springer Science & Business Media

Published Date

ISBN 10

0387718230

ISBN 13

9780387718231

Multireal

By: David Louis Edelman

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Multireal

By: David Louis Edelman

Natch has just won his first battle with the Defense and Wellness Council for control of MultiReal technology. But now the Council has unleashed the ruthless cunning of Lieutenant Executive Magan Kai Lee. Lee decides that if Natch's company can't be destroyed from without, it must be destroyed from within. As black code continues to eat away at Natch's sanity, he faces a mutiny from his own apprentices, a legal onslaught from the government, and the return of enemies old and new. In desperation, the entrepreneur turns to some unlikely allies: a radical politician with an agenda of his own, and a childhood enemy to whom he has done a terrible wrong. Natch's struggle will take him from the halls of power in Melbourne to the ruined cities of the diss. Hanging in the balance is the fate of MultiReal, a technology that could end the tyranny of the Council forever—or give the Council the ultimate weapon of oppression.

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Page Count

523

Publisher

Prometheus Books

Published Date

ISBN 10

1591028353

ISBN 13

9781591028352

Straight Choices

The Psychology of Decision Making

By: Ben R. Newell,David A. Lagnado,David R. Shanks

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Straight Choices

The Psychology of Decision Making

By: Ben R. Newell,David A. Lagnado,David R. Shanks

Straight Choices provides a fascinating introduction to the psychology of decision making, enhanced by discussion of relevant examples of decision problems faced in everyday life. Thoroughly revised and updated throughout, this edition provides an integrative account of the psychology of decision-making and shows how psychological research can help us understand our uncertain world. The book emphasizes the relationship between learning and decision-making, arguing that the best way to understand how and why decisions are made is in the context of the learning and knowledge acquisition which precedes them, and the feedback which follows. The mechanisms of learning and the structure of environments in which decisions are made are carefully examined to explore their impact on our choices. The authors then consider whether we are all constrained to fall prey to cognitive biases, or whether, with sufficient exposure, we can find optimal decision strategies and improve our decision making. This edition highlights advances made in judgment and decision making research, with additional coverage of behavioral insights, nudging, artificial intelligence, and explanation-based decision making. Written in a non-technical manner, this book is an essential read for all students and researchers in cognitive psychology, behavioral economics, and the decision sciences, as well as anyone interested in the nature of decision making.

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360

Publisher

Psychology Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1000588238

ISBN 13

9781000588231

Intellectual Trespassing as a Way of Life

Essays in Philosophy, Economics, and Mathematics

By: David P. Ellerman

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Intellectual Trespassing as a Way of Life

Essays in Philosophy, Economics, and Mathematics

By: David P. Ellerman

Dramatic changes or revolutions in a field of science are often made by outsiders or 'trespassers, ' who are not limited by the established, 'expert' approaches. Each essay in this diverse collection shows the fruits of intellectual trespassing and poaching among fields such as economics, Kantian ethics, Platonic philosophy, category theory, double-entry accounting, arbitrage, algebraic logic, series-parallel duality, and financial arithmetic.

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296

Publisher

Rowman & Littlefield

Published Date

ISBN 10

0847679322

ISBN 13

9780847679324

Bayesian Analysis of Gene Expression Data

By: Bani K. Mallick,David Gold,Veera Baladandayuthapani

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Bayesian Analysis of Gene Expression Data

By: Bani K. Mallick,David Gold,Veera Baladandayuthapani

The field of high-throughput genetic experimentation is evolving rapidly, with the advent of new technologies and new venues for data mining. Bayesian methods play a role central to the future of data and knowledge integration in the field of Bioinformatics. This book is devoted exclusively to Bayesian methods of analysis for applications to high-throughput gene expression data, exploring the relevant methods that are changing Bioinformatics. Case studies, illustrating Bayesian analyses of public gene expression data, provide the backdrop for students to develop analytical skills, while the more experienced readers will find the review of advanced methods challenging and attainable. This book: Introduces the fundamentals in Bayesian methods of analysis for applications to high-throughput gene expression data. Provides an extensive review of Bayesian analysis and advanced topics for Bioinformatics, including examples that extensively detail the necessary applications. Accompanied by website featuring datasets, exercises and solutions. Bayesian Analysis of Gene Expression Data offers a unique introduction to both Bayesian analysis and gene expression, aimed at graduate students in Statistics, Biomedical Engineers, Computer Scientists, Biostatisticians, Statistical Geneticists, Computational Biologists, applied Mathematicians and Medical consultants working in genomics. Bioinformatics researchers from many fields will find much value in this book.

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Page Count

252

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons

Published Date

ISBN 10

047074281X

ISBN 13

9780470742815

A User's Guide to Measure Theoretic Probability

By: David Pollard

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A User's Guide to Measure Theoretic Probability

By: David Pollard

This book grew from a one-semester course offered for many years to a mixed audience of graduate and undergraduate students who have not had the luxury of taking a course in measure theory. The core of the book covers the basic topics of independence, conditioning, martingales, convergence in distribution, and Fourier transforms. In addition there are numerous sections treating topics traditionally thought of as more advanced, such as coupling and the KMT strong approximation, option pricing via the equivalent martingale measure, and the isoperimetric inequality for Gaussian processes. The book is not just a presentation of mathematical theory, but is also a discussion of why that theory takes its current form. It will be a secure starting point for anyone who needs to invoke rigorous probabilistic arguments and understand what they mean.

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Page Count

372

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0521002893

ISBN 13

9780521002899

Book's by David Smokler

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