DARON R. SHAW's Books

The Appearance of Corruption

Testing the Supreme Court's Assumptions about Campaign Finance Reform

By: Daron R. Shaw,Brian E. Roberts,Mijeong Baek

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The Appearance of Corruption

Testing the Supreme Court's Assumptions about Campaign Finance Reform

By: Daron R. Shaw,Brian E. Roberts,Mijeong Baek

A critical analysis of the connections that the United States Supreme Court has made between campaign finance regulations and voters' behavior. The sanctity of political speech is a key element of the United States Constitution and a cornerstone of the American republic. When the Supreme Court linked political speech to campaign finance in its landmark Buckley v. Valeo (1976) decision, the modern era of campaign finance regulation was born. The decision stated that in order to pass constitutional muster, any laws limiting money in politics must be narrowly tailored and serve a compelling state interest. The lone state interest the Court was willing to entertain was the mitigation of corruption. In order to reach this conclusion, the Court advanced a sophisticated behavioral model that made assumptions about how laws affect voters' opinions and behavior. These assumptions have received surprisingly little attention until now. In The Appearance of Corruption, Daron Shaw, Brian Roberts, and Mijeong Baek analyze the connections that the Court made between campaign finance regulations and voters' behavior. The court argued that an increase in perceived corruption would lower engagement and turnout. Drawing from original survey data and experiments, they confront the question of what happens when the Supreme Court is wrong-and when the foundation of over 40 years of jurisprudence is simply not true. Even with the heightened awareness of campaign finance issues that emerged in the wake of the 2010 Citizens United decision, there is little empirical support for the Court's reasoning that turnout would decline. A rigorous statistical analysis, this is the first work to simultaneously name and test each and every one of the Court's assumptions in the pre- and post-Citizen's United eras. It will also fundamentally reshape how we think about campaign finance regulation's effects on voter behavior.

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Page Count

188

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0197548431

ISBN 13

9780197548431

Unconventional Wisdom

Facts and Myths About American Voters

By: Karen M. Kaufmann,John R. Petrocik,Daron R. Shaw

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Unconventional Wisdom

Facts and Myths About American Voters

By: Karen M. Kaufmann,John R. Petrocik,Daron R. Shaw

Late deciders go for the challenger; turnout helps the Democrats; the gender gap results from a surge in Democratic preference among women--these and many other myths are standard fare among average citizens, political pundits, and even some academics. But are these conventional wisdoms--familiar to anyone who watches Sunday morning talk shows--really valid? Unconventional Wisdom offers a novel yet highly accessible synthesis of what we know about American voters and elections. It not only provides an integrated overview of the central themes in American politics--parties, polarization, turnout, partisan bias, campaign effects, swing voters, the gender gap, and the youth vote--it upends many of our fundamental preconceptions. Most importantly, it shows that the American electorate is much more stable than we have been led to believe, and that the voting patterns we see today have deep roots in our history. Throughout, the book provides comprehensive information on voting patterns; illuminates (and corrects) popular myths about voters and elections; and details the empirical foundations of conventional wisdoms that many understand poorly or not at all. Written by three experts on American politics, Unconventional Wisdom serves as both a standard reference and a concise overview of the subject. Both informative and witty, the book is likely to become a standard work in the field, essential reading for anyone interested in American politics.

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Page Count

272

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0199710511

ISBN 13

9780199710515

Battleground

Electoral College Strategies, Execution, and Impact in the Modern Era

By: Daron R. Shaw,Scott L. Althaus,Costas Panagopoulos

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Battleground

Electoral College Strategies, Execution, and Impact in the Modern Era

By: Daron R. Shaw,Scott L. Althaus,Costas Panagopoulos

Covering the beginning of the television era to the present, 'Battleground' provides an unprecedented look at the Electoral College strategies used by US presidential campaigns from 1952 to 2020 and what difference they make on election day. Although US presidential campaigns are among the most closely followed events in the world, academic research tends to conclude that they are much less important for shaping election-day outcomes than broader economic conditions and more gradual socio-political trends. If so, then what campaigners do and say might be entertaining, but should rarely have a decisive influence on who wins the White House. Yet because academic studies typically treat presidential elections as singular events, there is surprisingly little research that considers the strategies that parties pursue in presidential campaigning across multiple election years, how those strategies have evolved over time, or what difference those strategies might make on election day. Drawing on internal campaign records and novel data sources covering every presidential election from 1952 through 2020, 'Battleground' identifies the Electoral College strategies for every major presidential campaign in the modern era, assesses how well they executed their plans, and illuminates what difference their state-by-state allocation of candidate visits and television spending made on election day. From Eisenhower to Trump, Daron R. Shaw, Scott Althaus, and Costas Panagopoulos show how battleground states have been selected and contested, and why campaign strategies are important for shaping Electoral College outcomes. They find that presidential campaigns in the modern era have been consistently strategic, sophisticated, and effective. As a result, campaign strategies can still be pivotal for shaping Electoral College outcomes, even if their influence looks somewhat different today than in 1952. 'Battleground' provides readers with a sophisticated yet straightforward look at how (and how much) presidential campaigns affect the selection of the most powerful person in the world."--

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Page Count

321

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0197774369

ISBN 13

9780197774366

The Race to 270

The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004

By: Daron R. Shaw

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The Race to 270

The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004

By: Daron R. Shaw

The Electoral College has played an important role in presidential politics since our nation’s founding, but surprisingly little information exists about precisely how it affects campaign strategy. Daron R. Shaw, a scholar who also worked as a strategist in both Bush-Cheney campaigns, has written the first book to go inside the past two presidential elections and reveal how the race to 270 was won—and lost. Shaw’s nonpartisan study lays out how both the Democrats and the Republicans developed strategies to win decisive electoral votes by targeting specific states and media markets. Drawing on his own experience with Republican battle plans, candidate schedules, and advertising purchases—plus key contacts in the Gore and Kerry camps—Shaw goes on to show that both sides used information on weekly shifts in candidate support to reallocate media buys and schedule appearances. Most importantly, he uses strikingly original research to prove that these carefully constructed plans significantly affected voters’ preferences and opinions—not in huge numbers, but enough to shift critical votes in key battlegrounds. Bridging the gap between those who study campaigns and those who conduct them, The Race to 270 will provide political scientists and practitioners alike with fresh insights about the new strategies that stem from one of our oldest institutions.

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Page Count

245

Publisher

University of Chicago Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0226751368

ISBN 13

9780226751368

The Turnout Myth

Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections

By: Daron R. Shaw,John R. Petrocik

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The Turnout Myth

Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections

By: Daron R. Shaw,John R. Petrocik

When voter turnout is high, Democrats have an advantage - or so the truism goes. But, it is true? In The Turnout Myth, Daron Shaw and John Petrocik refute the widely held convention that high voter participation benefits Democrats while low involvement helps Republicans. The authors examineover 50 years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data to show that there is no consistent partisan effect associated with voter turnout in national elections. Instead, less-engaged citizens' responses to short-term forces - candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and the like- determine election turnout. Moreover, Republican and Democratic candidates are equally affected by short-term forces. The consistency of these effects suggests that partisan conflict over eligibility, registration, and voting rules and regulations is less important for election outcomes than bothsides seem to believe. Featuring powerful evidence and analytical acumen, this book provides a new foundation for thinking about U.S. elections.

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Page Count

217

Published Date

ISBN 10

0190089458

ISBN 13

9780190089450

Campaigns and Elections

Rules, Reality, Strategy, Choice

By: John Sides,Daron R. Shaw,Matthew Grossmann,Keena Lipsitz

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Campaigns and Elections

Rules, Reality, Strategy, Choice

By: John Sides,Daron R. Shaw,Matthew Grossmann,Keena Lipsitz

The leading book in the market--now updated through the 2014 elections--Campaigns & Elections provides a balanced and accessible approach to campaign and election coverage. Based on courses taught by the book's respected author team, the Second Edition brings an authoritative perspective and a clear, consistent framework to reveal the strategies and choices that face candidates and other participants in the American political system.

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Page Count

421

Publisher

W. W. Norton

Published Date

ISBN 10

0393938522

ISBN 13

9780393938524

The Race to 270

The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004

By: Daron R. Shaw

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The Race to 270

The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004

By: Daron R. Shaw

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Solve jigsaw puzzle

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Page Count

245

Publisher

University of Chicago Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0226751368

ISBN 13

9780226751368

Book's by DARON R. SHAW

The Appearance of Corruption

The Appearance of Corruption

Unconventional Wisdom

Unconventional Wisdom

Battleground

Battleground

The Race to 270

The Race to 270

The Turnout Myth

The Turnout Myth

Campaigns and Elections

Campaigns and Elections

The Race to 270

The Race to 270

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