Bullshit isn’t what it used to be. Now, two science professors give us the tools to dismantle misinformation and think clearly in a world of fake news and bad data. “A modern classic . . . a straight-talking survival guide to the mean streets of a dying democracy and a global pandemic.”—Wired Misinformation, disinformation, and fake news abound and it’s increasingly difficult to know what’s true. Our media environment has become hyperpartisan. Science is conducted by press release. Startup culture elevates bullshit to high art. We are fairly well equipped to spot the sort of old-school bullshit that is based in fancy rhetoric and weasel words, but most of us don’t feel qualified to challenge the avalanche of new-school bullshit presented in the language of math, science, or statistics. In Calling Bullshit, Professors Carl Bergstrom and Jevin West give us a set of powerful tools to cut through the most intimidating data. You don’t need a lot of technical expertise to call out problems with data. Are the numbers or results too good or too dramatic to be true? Is the claim comparing like with like? Is it confirming your personal bias? Drawing on a deep well of expertise in statistics and computational biology, Bergstrom and West exuberantly unpack examples of selection bias and muddled data visualization, distinguish between correlation and causation, and examine the susceptibility of science to modern bullshit. We have always needed people who call bullshit when necessary, whether within a circle of friends, a community of scholars, or the citizenry of a nation. Now that bullshit has evolved, we need to relearn the art of skepticism.
Lawsuits are rare events in most people's lives. High-stakes cases are even less commonplace. Why is it, then, that scholarship about the Japanese legal system has focused almost exclusively on epic court battles, large-scale social issues, and corporate governance? Mark D. West's Law in Everyday Japan fills a void in our understanding of the relationship between law and social life in Japan by shifting the focus to cases more representative of everyday Japanese life. Compiling case studies based on seven fascinating themes—karaoke-based noise complaints, sumo wrestling, love hotels, post-Kobe earthquake condominium reconstruction, lost-and-found outcomes, working hours, and debt-induced suicide—Law in Everyday Japan offers a vibrant portrait of the way law intermingles with social norms, historically ingrained ideas, and cultural mores in Japan. Each example is informed by extensive fieldwork. West interviews all of the participants-from judges and lawyers to defendants, plaintiffs, and their families-to uncover an everyday Japan where law matters, albeit in very surprising ways.
Learn how to use stories and visuals to make top–notch presentations It′s called CAST (Content, Audience, Story, & Tell) and it′s been a quiet success, until now. Developed over a twelve year period as a presentation method to help Enterprise Architects, it was adopted by Microsoft Enterprise Architecture teams and filtered from IT managers to Sales, and beyond to major organizations around the world. Now, thanks to this unique book from an expert author team that includes two Microsoft presentation experts, you can learn how to use this amazing process to create and make high–impact presentations in your own organization. The book helps you build complete visual stories, step by step, by using the CAST method to first create a Story Map and from there, a compelling presentation. It includes sample Story Maps, templates, practical success stories, and more. You′ll discover how to go beyond PowerPoint slides to create presentations that influence your peers and effect change. Explains the secrets of making presentations and effecting change using CAST to create Story Maps and from there, high–impact and visual presentations that tell a story Covers how to apply a range of techniques and what the results look like, using screenshots of presentations, one page hand outs, and basic delivery with whiteboards Coauthored by Microsoft experts and a visual design guru who have years of experience training professionals in these methods Includes sample Story Maps, templates, practical success stories, and more Learn how to sell your ideas and trigger change in your company with Stories That Move Mountains: Storytelling and Visual Design for Persuasive Presentations.
In English and Spanish. If you work or plan to work for someone or if you plan to have someone work for you this is a book that you should read and understand. You will learn what is acceptable treatment under the law and also what should be expected of you as an employee or employer. From the day that you start looking for a job until the time of retirement you will find what you need to know here. It isn't as simple as it seems.
This unique anthology collects personal stories and leadership lessons from six highly-ranked officers across all branches of service. In Breaching the Summit, six senior enlisted advisors to the joint chiefs of staff share their stories, experiences, and lessons learned from a lifetime of military service. In their own words, each tells how they got their start, how mentors encouraged them along the way, and how they eventually became the highest-ranking enlisted member in their respective services. Their personal stories illustrate battle-tested principles of successful leadership that are applicable in all walks of life. The authors include Ken Preston, 13th Sergeant Major of the Army (retired); Mike Barrett, 17th Sergeant Major of the Marine Corps (retired); Rick West, 12th Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy (retired); James Roy, 16th Chief Master Sergeant of the Air Force (retired); Denise Jelinski-Hall, Senior Enlisted Advisor to the National Guard Bureau (retired); and Skip Bowen, 10th Master Chief Petty Officer of the Coast Guard (retired). “Books on leadership are many, but none are as practical, clear, and proven as Breaching the Summit.” —Adm. Gary Roughead, US Navy (retired)
During the lowest point of his life, Sky Logan meets Claire Miller, a teenage Amish girl who lives at the Dark Lake Wildlife Preserve. Despite their conflicting beliefs, they fall in love and spend time with each other almost everyday. One day Claire disappears after an accident, and the authorities have no record of her and her familys existence. Who is Claire and why did she disappear?
Apologetic methodology has been the subject of intense debate in Reformed circles. This book argues that we can test Reformed apologetic methods for consistency using two linchpin theological topics: the doctrine of the resurrection and the doctrine of Scripture. Should apologetics move from establishing theism to the resurrection and then to Scripture? Or should theism, the resurrection, and the doctrine of Scripture be accepted on the testimony of the Holy Spirit as basic beliefs? Alternatively, do these doctrines need to be presupposed and incorporated into a transcendental defense of the faith? After analyzing classical apologetics, historical evidentialism, Reformed epistemology, and presuppositionalism for their apologetic cogency, Steven D. West contends that any method used by Reformed apologists should be able to argue successfully for a high view of Scripture, the source of the doctrine of the resurrection. The book will be useful to everyone interested in the relationship between theology, philosophy, and apologetics.
Henry Mullins, a young cowboy from Southern California, sits back and watches the woman he loves marry someone else. That's when he decides to leave and ride off into the great unknown. Intending to get to Los Angeles, he is forced inland by marauding Mexican bandits and eventually into the Sierra Nevadas, where he starts to trap wild animals to stay alive. Coming across a bi-annual meeting of trappers, he begins to learn the tricks of the trade and takes up trapping seriously. Attacked by wolves, bears and the elements, Henry gradually learns the art of survival. And then he comes across a teepee with a beautiful squaw and her dying grandfather inside. Henry's life begins to change. Winter sets in high in the mountains, Henry's first. And it turns out to be the biggest battle Henry has ever faced.
America is broken. Dissension, anger, and hopelessness, all describe the political feelings of many Americans. Families and friendships are fractured. Our struggles seem to grow worse with each new election as we hear the same old hype: "This is the most important election of our lifetimes." These realities apply to Christians and non-Christians alike. Yet, aren't Christians supposed to offer hope? Sadly, there's little evidence that Christians have the answers for America's struggles. But there is hope. In "Here We Go Again" an old approach is revisited. Christians are reminded of an unconventional way of living, one that Jesus and his disciples taught and modeled for Christians to follow. In thought-provoking ways, "Here We Go Again" practically applies the truth of Scripture to many of today's most pressing political questions. Should a Christian vote for the lesser of two evils? Is Christianity’s goal to transform culture or to Make America Great Again? How should a Christian treat his political enemies? Can your vote thwart God's will? And more... In "Here We Go Again" you will be challenged to realize that much of what you have been conditioned to believe, might be at odds with Scripture.
A globalization of innovation has produced the most massive spurt in biotechnology in world history. Businesses, universities, and non-governmental organizations are collaborating to produce a "science-industrial complex" in biotechnology. Using case studies of stem cell research, cloning, genetically modified food, in-vitro fertilization, and chimeras in a number of Eastern and Western countries around the world, I argue that much of this biotech activity is global in nature and independent of state control. This shift in the relative influence of state and non-state actors has led to the virtual deregulation of biotechnology and the liberation of innovation from geo-political constraints. These trends post a number of interesting social, political, and ethical issues for the contemporary period and suggest the need to rethink how controversial moral issues are handled by the science-industrial complex.
This immensely practical resource provides the first comprehensive examination of the risks and claims that arise in the design-build process from the perspective of each of the parties involved. Design-Build Contracting Claims is edited by two nationally recognized authorities in the construction law field, and features chapters written by experienced construction practitioners who have confronted and successfully resolved design-build contracting claims issues. You'll acquire the information and strategies you need to ensure a proper balance of risk and reward in your design-build projects, including: How to weigh the pros and cons of design-build for your project -- How to structure the design-build team and choose a business structure -- What protective business provisions and risk-shifting devices are available to the various parties involved in design build -- What pricing options and fee arrangements are employed in design-build projects -- How insurance issues and surety bond claims are handled -- How to resolve disputes quickly and cost-effectively -- And more! Throughout Design-Build Contracting Claims, numerous illustrations and diagrams help you quickly master and implement the techniques and risk management strategies discussed.
INFORMATION concerning phase equilibria, such as can be represented by equilibrium diagrams is important in a number of fields of scientific study, and especially in metallurgy, ceramics, and chemistry. Materials of interest in these fields range through single-component to multi-component sys tems, the latter often being very complex. While many industrially im portant systems can be represented adequately by binary equilibrium diagrams, ternary diagrams provide a basis for studying a wide range of the more complex systems, such as are encountered in certain industrial alloys, and in slags and ceramics. A number of texts dealing with ternary systems are already available (see for example references 2-8). Some of these are very comprehensive and include many diagrams, and their use will take the student of the sub ject to an advanced and detailed level of understanding. The present mono graph is intended primarily as an introductory text, which it is hoped will prove useful for undergraduate and postgraduate students of metallurgy and ceramics, in particular. Special attention is given to the requirement of the metallurgist and ceramist to use phase diagrams as a means of under standing phase changes that occur during heating and cooling, as in solidi fication and heat treatment of alloys. This aspect is emphasized in terms of the principles of solidification reactions in relation to solid state constitu tion, particularly making use of liquidus and solidus projections.
What sets Numerical Methods and Analysis with Mathematical Modelling apart are the modelling aspects utilizing numerical analysis (methods) to obtain solutions. The authors cover first the basic numerical analysis methods with simple examples to illustrate the techniques and discuss possible errors. The modelling prospective reveals the practical relevance of the numerical methods in context to real-world problems. At the core of this text are the real-world modelling projects. Chapters are introduced and techniques are discussed with common examples. A modelling scenario is introduced that will be solved with these techniques later in the chapter. Often, the modelling problems require more than one previously covered technique presented in the book. Fundamental exercises to practice the techniques are included. Multiple modelling scenarios per numerical methods illustrate the applications of the techniques introduced. Each chapter has several modelling examples that are solved by the methods described within the chapter. The use of technology is instrumental in numerical analysis and numerical methods. In this text, Maple, Excel, R, and Python are illustrated. The goal is not to teach technology but to illustrate its power and limitations to perform algorithms and reach conclusions. This book fulfills a need in the education of all students who plan to use technology to solve problems whether using physical models or true creative mathematical modeling, like discrete dynamical systems.
This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
A leader of a global superpower is betrayed by his mistress, who makes public the sordid details of their secret affair. His wife stands by as he denies the charges. Debates over definitions of moral leadership ensue. Sound familiar? If you guessed Clinton and Lewinsky, try again. This incident involved former Japanese prime minister Sosuke Uno and a geisha. In Secrets, Sex, and Spectacle, Mark D. West organizes the seemingly random worlds of Japanese and American scandal—from corporate fraud to baseball cheaters, political corruption to celebrity sexcapades—to explore well-ingrained similarities and contrasts in law and society. In Japan and the United States, legal and organizational rules tell us what kind of behavior is considered scandalous. When Japanese and American scandal stories differ, those rules—rules that define what’s public and what’s private, rules that protect injuries to dignity and honor, and rules about sex, to name a few—often help explain the differences. In the cases of Clinton and Uno, the rules help explain why the media didn’t cover Uno’s affair, why Uno’s wife apologized on her husband’s behalf, and why Uno—and not Clinton—resigned. Secrets, Sex, and Spectacle offers a novel approach to viewing the phenomenon of scandal—one that will be applauded by anyone who has obsessed over (or ridiculed) these public episodes.
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