Cynthia M. Grabo's Books

Anticipating Surprise

Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise

Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

Anticipating Surprise, originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts during the Cold War, has been declassified and condensed to provide wider audiences with an inside look at intelligence gathering and analysis for strategic warning. Cynthia Grabo defines the essential steps in the warning process, examines distinctive ingredients of the analytic method of intelligence gathering, and discusses the guidelines for assessing the meaning of gathered information. Since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on America, intelligence collection and analysis has been hotly debated. In this book, Grabo suggests ways of improving warning assessments that better convey warnings to policymakers and military commanders who are responsible for taking appropriate action to avert disaster.

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Page Count

188

Publisher

University Press of America

Published Date

ISBN 10

0761829520

ISBN 13

9780761829522

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

Assigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U.S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Cuba. In the summer of 1972, the DIA published her "Handbook of Warning Intelligence" as a classified document, followed by two additional classified volumes, one in the fall of 1972 and the last in 1974. These declassified books have now been condensed from the original three volumes into this one. Ms. Grabo's authoritative interpretation of an appropriate analytic strategy for intelligence-based warning is here presented in a commercial reprint of this classic study. (Originally published by the Joint Military Intelligence College)

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188

Publisher

Lulu.com

Published Date

ISBN 10

1300078588

ISBN 13

9781300078586

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security was written during the Cold War and classified for 40 years, this manual is now available to scholars and practitioners interested in both history and intelligence. Cynthia Grabo, author of the abridged version, Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, goes into detail on the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting. The book discusses the problems of military analysis, problems of understanding specific problems of political, civil and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to have "warning judgment.

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Page Count

328

Publisher

Scarecrow Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0810870959

ISBN 13

9780810870956

Book's by Cynthia M. Grabo

Anticipating Surprise

Anticipating Surprise

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

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