Cynthia Grabo's Books

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

Assigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U.S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Cuba. In the summer of 1972, the DIA published her "Handbook of Warning Intelligence" as a classified document, followed by two additional classified volumes, one in the fall of 1972 and the last in 1974. These declassified books have now been condensed from the original three volumes into this one. Ms. Grabo's authoritative interpretation of an appropriate analytic strategy for intelligence-based warning is here presented in a commercial reprint of this classic study. (Originally published by the Joint Military Intelligence College)

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Page Count

188

Publisher

Lulu.com

Published Date

ISBN 10

1300078588

ISBN 13

9781300078586

Anticipating Surprise

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise

By: Cynthia Grabo

Anticipating Surprise, originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts during the Cold War, has been declassified and condensed to provide wider audiences with an inside look at intelligence gathering and analysis for strategic warning. Cynthia Grabo defines the essential steps in the warning process, examines distinctive ingredients of the analytic method of intelligence gathering, and discusses the guidelines for assessing the meaning of gathered information. Since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on America, intelligence collection and analysis has been hotly debated. In this book, Grabo suggests ways of improving warning assessments that better convey warnings to policymakers and military commanders who are responsible for taking appropriate action to avert disaster.

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Page Count

256

Publisher

Historical Studies

Published Date

ISBN 10

1622800060

ISBN 13

9781622800063

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security was written during the Cold War and classified for 40 years, this manual is now available to scholars and practitioners interested in both history and intelligence. Cynthia Grabo, author of the abridged version, Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, goes into detail on the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting. The book discusses the problems of military analysis, problems of understanding specific problems of political, civil and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to have "warning judgment.

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Page Count

328

Publisher

Scarecrow Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0810870959

ISBN 13

9780810870956

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

By: Cynthia M. Grabo

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Page Count

188

Publisher

Lulu.com

Published Date

ISBN 10

1300078588

ISBN 13

9781300078586

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Assessing the Threat to National Security

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Page Count

328

Publisher

Scarecrow Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0810870959

ISBN 13

9780810870956

Anticipating Surprise

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Anticipating Surprise

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Page Count

256

Publisher

Historical Studies

Published Date

ISBN 10

1622800060

ISBN 13

9781622800063

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

By: Cynthia Grabo

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Handbook of Warning Intelligence

By: Cynthia Grabo

This new and final edition is a follow-up to the author’s first book, Anticipating Surprise (University Press of America, 2002) and the Handbook of Warning Intelligence (Scarecrow Press, 2010). The first book was an abridged version of Grabo’s 1972 manuscript, of which only 200 pages were allowed to be published by the government. The second book was published after it was agreed that the last 10 chapters would remain classified. These final 10 chapters have recently been released by the government and complete the manuscript as it was originally intended to be published by the author in 1972. The Handbook of Warning Intelligence was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. Originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts, it explains the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting, discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to have "warning judgment." Much of what Grabo wrote in her book seems to appear in many of the numerous commission reports that emerged after the 9/11 attacks. However, her book was written in response to the "surprise attack" of the Soviet Union's invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968. According to the author, that event was no surprise. And while analysts have to take some of the blame for their failure to strenuously present their case that the threat was real and imminent, what occurred was a failure by policymakers to listen to the warning intelligence reports that were written at the time. In these last chapters, Grabo discusses scenarios where the United States will need to take action, especially describing Soviet indicators of such action. She also talks on how to influence policymakers to take, or not take, action based on intelligence. After the Soviet Union fell, the government was hesitant to release this information—especially considering what's going on with Putin today.

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Page Count

455

Publisher

Rowman & Littlefield

Published Date

ISBN 10

1442248149

ISBN 13

9781442248144

Second Stories

The Politics of Language, Form, and Gender in Early American Fictions

By: Cynthia S. Jordan

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Second Stories

The Politics of Language, Form, and Gender in Early American Fictions

By: Cynthia S. Jordan

Second Stories offers an innovative reexamination of selected texts by seven major figures in American literature. Combining close reading with a powerful ideological argument, Cynthia Jordan demonstrates that a concern with the patriarchal politics of language informs both the thematic content and overall shape of much of the fiction of these writers.

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Page Count

268

Publisher

UNC Press Books

Published Date

ISBN 10

0807818399

ISBN 13

9780807818398

Hispanic-American Biographies: Adriana Ocampo

By: Cynthia Guidici

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Hispanic-American Biographies: Adriana Ocampo

By: Cynthia Guidici

Presents a short biography of planetary geologist, Adriana Ocampo, and examines her childhood in South America, immigration to California, her early interest in science, and her later work with NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

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Publisher

Heinemann-Raintree Library

Published Date

ISBN 10

1410912973

ISBN 13

9781410912978

Book's by Cynthia Grabo

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Anticipating Surprise

Anticipating Surprise

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Anticipating Surprise

Anticipating Surprise

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Handbook of Warning Intelligence

Second Stories

Second Stories

Hispanic-American Biographies: Adriana Ocampo

Hispanic-American Biographies: Adriana Ocampo

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