Committee on U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment: A Workshop's Books

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

A Workshop Summary

By: National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Air Force Studies Board,Committee on U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment: A Workshop

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U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

A Workshop Summary

Changes in the 21st century security environment require new analytic approaches to support strategic deterrence. Because current adversaries may be deterred from the use of nuclear weapons differently than were Cold War adversaries, the Air Force needs an analytic process and tools that can help determine those Air Force capabilities that will successfully deter or defeat these new nuclear-armed adversaries and assure U.S. allies. While some analytic tools are available, a coherent approach for their use in developing strategy and policy appears to be lacking. Without a coherent analytic approach that addresses the nuances of today's security environment, Air Force views of its strategic deterrence needs may not be understood or accepted by the appropriate decision makers. A coherent approach will support Air Force decisions about its strategic force priorities and needs, deter actual or potential adversaries, and assure U.S. allies. In this context, the Air Force in 2012 requested that the Air Force Studies Board of the National Research Council undertake a workshop to bring together national experts to discuss current challenges relating strategic deterrence and potential new tools and methods that the Air Force might leverage in its strategic deterrence mission. The workshop consisted of two 3-day sessions held in Washington, DC on September 26-28, 2012 and January 29-31, 2013 and was attended by a very diverse set of participants with expertise in strategic deterrence and a range of analytic tools of potential interest to the Air Force. U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment summarizes this workshop.

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ISBN 10

030928550X

ISBN 13

9780309285506

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

An Assessment of Tools, Methods, and Approaches for the 21st Century Security Environment

By: National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Air Force Studies Board,Committee on U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Military Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

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U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

An Assessment of Tools, Methods, and Approaches for the 21st Century Security Environment

Since the early 1960s, the U.S. strategic nuclear posture has been composed of a triad of nuclear-certified long-range bombers, intercontinental ballistic missiles, and submarine-launched ballistic missiles. Since the early 1970s, U.S. nuclear forces have been subject to strategic arms control agreements. The large numbers and diversified nature of the U.S. nonstrategic (tactical) nuclear forces, which cannot be ignored as part of the overall nuclear deterrent, have decreased substantially since the Cold War. While there is domestic consensus today on the need to maintain an effective deterrent, there is no consensus on precisely what that requires, especially in a changing geopolitical environment and with continued reductions in nuclear arms. This places a premium on having the best possible analytic tools, methods, and approaches for understanding how nuclear deterrence and assurance work, how they might fail, and how failure can be averted by U.S. nuclear forces. U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities identifies the broad analytic issues and factors that must be considered in seeking nuclear deterrence of adversaries and assurance of allies in the 21st century. This report describes and assesses tools, methods - including behavioral science-based methods - and approaches for improving the understanding of how nuclear deterrence and assurance work or may fail in the 21st century and the extent to which such failures might be averted or mitigated by the proper choice of nuclear systems, technological capabilities, postures, and concepts of operation of American nuclear forces. The report recommends criteria and a framework for validating the tools, methods, and approaches and for identifying those most promising for Air Force usage.

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286

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309298741

ISBN 13

9780309298742

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

A Workshop Summary

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U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

A Workshop Summary

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ISBN 10

030928547X

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9780309285476

The Growing Threat to Air Force Mission-Critical Electronics

Lethality at Risk: Unclassified Summary

By: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Intelligence Community Studies Board,Air Force Studies Board,Committee on a Strategy for Acquiring Secure and Reliable Electronic Components for Air Force Weapon Systems

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The Growing Threat to Air Force Mission-Critical Electronics

Lethality at Risk: Unclassified Summary

High-performance electronics are key to the U.S. Air Force's (USAF's) ability to deliver lethal effects at the time and location of their choosing. Additionally, these electronic systems must be able to withstand not only the rigors of the battlefield but be able to perform the needed mission while under cyber and electronic warfare (EW) attack. This requires a high degree of assurance that they are both physically reliable and resistant to adversary actions throughout their life cycle from design to sustainment. In 2016, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a workshop titled Optimizing the AirÂ ForceÂ Acquisition Strategy of Secure and Reliable Electronic Components, and released a summary of the workshop. This publication serves as a follow-on to provide recommendations to the USAF acquisition community.

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111

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309493935

ISBN 13

9780309493932

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

An Assessment of Tools, Methods, and Approaches for the 21st Century Security Environment

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U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

An Assessment of Tools, Methods, and Approaches for the 21st Century Security Environment

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286

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National Academies Press

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ISBN 10

0309298741

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9780309298742

Book's by Committee on U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment: A Workshop

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Capabilities in the 21st Century Security Environment

The Growing Threat to Air Force Mission-Critical Electronics

The Growing Threat to Air Force Mission-Critical Electronics

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

U.S. Air Force Strategic Deterrence Analytic Capabilities

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