Christopher H. Achen's Books

Cross-Level Inference

By: Christopher H. Achen,W. Phillips Shively

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Cross-Level Inference

By: Christopher H. Achen,W. Phillips Shively

In the last several years, new disputes have erupted over the use of group averages from census areas or voting districts to draw inferences about individual social behavior. Social scientists, policy analysts, and historians often have little choice about using this kind of data, but statistical analysis of them is fraught with pitfalls. The recent debates have led to a new menu of choices for the applied researcher. This volume explains why older methods like ecological regression so often fail, and it gives the most comprehensive treatment available of the promising new techniques for cross-level inference. Experts in statistical analysis of aggregate data, Christopher H. Achen and W. Philips Shively contend that cross-level inference makes unusually strong demands on substantive knowledge, so that no one method, such as Goodman's ecological regression, will fit all situations. Criticizing Goodman's model and some recent attempts to replace it, the authors argue for a range of alternate techniques, including estensions of cross-tabular, regression analysis, and unobservable variable estimators.

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Page Count

268

Publisher

University of Chicago Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0226002209

ISBN 13

9780226002200

Interpreting and Using Regression

By: Christopher H. Achen

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Interpreting and Using Regression

By: Christopher H. Achen

Interpreting and Using Regression sets out the actual procedures researchers employ, places them in the framework of statistical theory, and shows how good research takes account both of statistical theory and real world demands. Achen builds a working philosophy of regression that goes well beyond the abstract, unrealistic treatment given in previous texts.

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SAGE

Published Date

ISBN 10

0803919158

ISBN 13

9780803919150

Democracy for Realists

Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government

By: Christopher H. Achen,Larry M. Bartels

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Democracy for Realists

Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government

By: Christopher H. Achen,Larry M. Bartels

Why our belief in government by the people is unrealistic—and what we can do about it Democracy for Realists assails the romantic folk-theory at the heart of contemporary thinking about democratic politics and government, and offers a provocative alternative view grounded in the actual human nature of democratic citizens. Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels deploy a wealth of social-scientific evidence, including ingenious original analyses of topics ranging from abortion politics and budget deficits to the Great Depression and shark attacks, to show that the familiar ideal of thoughtful citizens steering the ship of state from the voting booth is fundamentally misguided. They demonstrate that voters—even those who are well informed and politically engaged—mostly choose parties and candidates on the basis of social identities and partisan loyalties, not political issues. They also show that voters adjust their policy views and even their perceptions of basic matters of fact to match those loyalties. When parties are roughly evenly matched, elections often turn on irrelevant or misleading considerations such as economic spurts or downturns beyond the incumbents' control; the outcomes are essentially random. Thus, voters do not control the course of public policy, even indirectly. Achen and Bartels argue that democratic theory needs to be founded on identity groups and political parties, not on the preferences of individual voters. Now with new analysis of the 2016 elections, Democracy for Realists provides a powerful challenge to conventional thinking, pointing the way toward a fundamentally different understanding of the realities and potential of democratic government.

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Page Count

423

Publisher

Princeton University Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

1400888743

ISBN 13

9781400888740

The Taiwan Voter

By: Christopher Henry Achen,T. Y. Wang

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The Taiwan Voter

By: Christopher Henry Achen,T. Y. Wang

The Taiwan Voter examines the critical role ethnic and national identities play in politics, utilizing the case of Taiwan. Although elections there often raise international tensions, and have led to military demonstrations by China, no scholarly books have examined how Taiwan’s voters make electoral choices in a dangerous environment. Critiquing the conventional interpretation of politics as an ideological battle between liberals and conservatives, The Taiwan Voter demonstrates in Taiwan the party system and voters’ responses are shaped by one powerful determinant of national identity—the China factor. Taiwan’s electoral politics draws international scholarly interest because of the prominent role of ethnic and national identification. While in most countries the many tangled strands of competing identities are daunting for scholarly analysis, in Taiwan the cleavages are powerful and limited in number, so the logic of interrelationships among issues, partisanship, and identity are particularly clear. The Taiwan Voter unites experts to investigate the ways in which social identities, policy views, and partisan preferences intersect and influence each other. These novel findings have wide applicability to other countries, and will be of interest to a broad range of social scientists interested in identity politics.

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Page Count

325

Publisher

University of Michigan Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0472122894

ISBN 13

9780472122899

The Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments

By: Christopher H. Achen

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The Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments

By: Christopher H. Achen

This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1986.

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Page Count

188

Publisher

Univ of California Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0520332229

ISBN 13

9780520332225

Cross-Level Inference

By: Christopher H. Achen,W. Phillips Shively

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Cross-Level Inference

By: Christopher H. Achen,W. Phillips Shively

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Page Count

266

Publisher

University of Chicago Press

Published Date

ISBN 10

0226002195

ISBN 13

9780226002194

Book's by Christopher H. Achen

Cross-Level Inference

Cross-Level Inference

Interpreting and Using Regression

Interpreting and Using Regression

Democracy for Realists

Democracy for Realists

The Taiwan Voter

The Taiwan Voter

The Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments

The Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments

Cross-Level Inference

Cross-Level Inference

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