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Climate Challenges in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States

By: Laura Jaramillo,Aliona Cebotari,Yoro Diallo,Rhea Gupta,Yugo Koshima,Chandana Kularatne,Jeong Dae Lee,Sidra Rehman,Kalin Tintchev,Mr. Kalin I Tintchev,Fang Yang

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Climate Challenges in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States

By: Laura Jaramillo,Aliona Cebotari,Yoro Diallo,Rhea Gupta,Yugo Koshima,Chandana Kularatne,Jeong Dae Lee,Sidra Rehman,Kalin Tintchev,Mr. Kalin I Tintchev,Fang Yang

Fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS) already face higher temperatures than other countries and will be more exposed to extreme heat and weather events going forward. Using innovative approaches, the paper finds that in FCS, climate vulnerability and underlying fragilities—namely conflict, heavy dependence on rainfed agriculture, and weak capacity—exacerbate each other, amplifying the negative impact on people and economies. FCS suffer more severe and persistent GDP losses than other countries due to climate shocks because their underlying fragilities amplify the impact of shocks, in particular in agriculture. At the same time, climate shocks worsen underlying fragilities, namely conflict. Macro-critical adaptation policies are needed to facilitate the immediate response to climate shocks and to build climate resilience over time. Sizeable and sustained international support—especially grants, concessional financing and capacity development—is urgent to avoid worse outcomes, including forced displacement and migration. The IMF is stepping up support to FCS in dealing with climate challenges through carefully tailored policy advice, financing, and capacity development.

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Page Count

51

Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 13

9798400252082

From HydroCarbon to Hightech

Mapping the Economic Transformation of Qatar

By: Chandana Kularatne,Mr. Ken Miyajima,Mr. Dirk V Muir

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From HydroCarbon to Hightech

Mapping the Economic Transformation of Qatar

By: Chandana Kularatne,Mr. Ken Miyajima,Mr. Dirk V Muir

Qatar’s state-led, hydrocarbon intensive growth model has delivered rapid growth and substantial improvements in living standards over the past several decades. Guided by the National Vision 2030, an economic transformation is underway toward a more dynamic, diversified, knowledge-based, sustainable, and private sector-led growth model. As Qatar is finalizing its Third National Development Strategy to make the final leap toward Vision 2030, this paper aims to identify key structural reforms needed, quantify their potential impact on the economy, and shed light on the design of a comprehensive reform agenda ahead. The paper finds that labor market reforms could bring substantial benefits, particularly reforms related to increasing the share of skilled foreign workers. Certain reforms to further improve the business environment, such as improving access to finance, could also have large growth impact. A comprehensive, well-integrated, and properly sequenced reform package to exploit complementarities across reforms could boost Qatar’s potential growth significantly.

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Page Count

23

Publisher

International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 13

9798400267314