Amr Hosny's Books

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

By: Amr Hosny,Kevin Pallara

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Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

By: Amr Hosny,Kevin Pallara

This paper argues that the type of COVID-19 containment measures affects the trade-offs between infection cases, economic activity and sovereign risk. Using local projection methods and a year and a half of high-frequency daily data covering 44 advanced and emerging economies, we find that smart (e.g. testing) as opposed to physical (e.g. lockdown) measures appear to be best placed to tackle these trade-offs. Initial conditions also matter whereby containment measures can be less disruptive when public health response time is fast and public debt is low. We also construct a database of daily fiscal announcements for Euro area countries, and find that sovereign risk is improved under a combination of large support packages and smart measures.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1616357215

ISBN 13

9781616357214

Avoiding the New Mediocre

Raising Long-Term Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Minasyan,Mr.Mark Fischer,Gohar Abajyan

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Avoiding the New Mediocre

Raising Long-Term Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Minasyan,Mr.Mark Fischer,Gohar Abajyan

Raising the Middle East and Central Asia’s long-term growth prospects is critical for meeting the region's pressing need for jobs and higher living standards.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1513595458

ISBN 13

9781513595450

Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria

By: Amr Hosny

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Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria

By: Amr Hosny

A recent World Bank enterprise survey identified access to finance as the top constraint to Doing Business in Nigeria. In this context, the objective of this paper is two-fold: (i) study firm characteristics associated with more access to finance and export diversification; and (ii) quantify the impact of these structural obstacles on firm performance. Results suggest that (i) larger and export-oriented firms are about 40 percentage points less likely to report access to finance as a business obstacle, while firms perceiving access to finance as a constraint are, on average, about 10-40 percentage points less likely to be export-oriented diversified firms; and (ii) better access to finance and export diversification can help firm employment —as much as 80 percent higher— and capacity utilization. Results are largely robust to different specifications and estimation methods.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1513545361

ISBN 13

9781513545363

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

By: Amr Hosny

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Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

By: Amr Hosny

Foreign holdings of domestic debt instruments in Nigeria have been increasing. Using data over 2007M1-2019M1, we show that, on average, global factors (global interest rates, oil prices) seem to carry more weight than domestic factors (treasury bills rate and domestic risk) in foreign portfolio invetsors’ decisions in Nigeria. Specifically, we show that foreign participation is, in the long run, positively correlated with oil prices and profitable rates of return on local-currency instruments, but negatively correlated with exchange rate depreciation pressures. In the short run, oil prices, opportunity cost of funds and perception of Nigeria-specific risks also play a role. These results highlight the volatile short-term nature of such flows and call for a package of policy reforms to attract longer term direct investments.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

151354537X

ISBN 13

9781513545370

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Abajyan,Mr.Mark Fischer

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Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Abajyan,Mr.Mark Fischer

The Middle East and Central Asia’s economic growth potential is slowing faster than in other emerging and developing regions, dampening hopes for reducing persistent unemployment and improving the region’s generally low living standards. Why? And is it possible to alter this course? This paper addresses these questions by estimating potential growth, examining its supply-side drivers, and assessing which of them could be most effective in raising potential growth. The analysis reveals that the region’s potential growth is expected to slow by 3⁄4 of a percentage point more than the EMDC average over the next five years. The reasons behind this slowdown differ across the region. Lower productivity growth drives the slowdown in the Caucasus and Central Asia and is also weighing on growth across the Middle East (MENAP); while a lower labor contribution to potential growth is the main driver in MENAP. Moving forward, given some natural constraints on labor, total factor productivity growth is key to unlocking the region’s higher growth potential. For oil importers, raising physical capital accumulation through greater investment will also play an important role.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1475545444

ISBN 13

9781475545449

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

By: Amr Hosny,Alexandre Sollaci

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Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

By: Amr Hosny,Alexandre Sollaci

The COVID-19 shock has underscored the importance of digital tools for enhancing the effectiveness and efficiency of social protection systems. Cross-country evidence suggests that digital IDs linked with bank and/or mobile money accounts can improve the delivery of social protection programs and better reach eligible beneficiaries. Using data from the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey, we present micro simulations on the welfare gains of digital social protection during the pandemic. While digitalization offers opportunities, potential risks would need to be carefully managed. Vietnam is advancing on individual pieces of the digitalization puzzle, including full digital IDs and mobile money, and the next step is to put these pieces together.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 13

9798400220029

Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries

By: Amr Hosny

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Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries

By: Amr Hosny

This paper contributes to the literature by introducing the role of geographic concentration of the source of remittances. Specifically, using data over 2010-2015 for 72 developing countries, we study the impact of (i) large remittances and (ii) the geographic concentration of the source of remittances on economic volatilities. Results suggest that while (i) large remittances can be stabilizing on average, (ii) high remittance concentration from source countries can aggravate economic volatilities in recipient countries. Results are robust to global shocks affecting both source and recipient countries, and volatility in the remittance-sending country.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1513525883

ISBN 13

9781513525884

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

By: Mr.Sami Ben Naceur,Amr Hosny,Gregory Hadjian

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How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

By: Mr.Sami Ben Naceur,Amr Hosny,Gregory Hadjian

Dollarization rates in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region are among the highest in the world, with adverse consequences for macroeconomic stability, monetary policy transmission, and financial sector development. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that foreign exchange deposits and loans in the CCA are mainly driven by volatile inflation and exchange rates, low financial depth, and asymmetric exchange rate policies biased toward depreciation. Although there is no unique formula for success, empirical studies and cross-country experiences suggest that credible monetary and exchange rate frameworks, low and stable inflation, and deep domestic financial markets are essential ingredients of any de-dollarization strategy. In implementation, policymakers need to consider proper sequencing of policies, effective communication as well as risks from potential financial disintermediation and instability, and/or capital flight.

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1513598341

ISBN 13

9781513598345

The Sooner (and the Smarter), the Better: COVID-19 Containment Measures and Fiscal Responses

By: Amr Hosny

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The Sooner (and the Smarter), the Better: COVID-19 Containment Measures and Fiscal Responses

By: Amr Hosny

This paper finds empirical evidence that faster and smarter containment measures were associated with lower fiscal responses to the COVID-19 shock. We also find that initial conditions, such as fiscal space, income, health preparedness and budget transparency were important in shaping the amount and design of the COVID-19 fiscal response.

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

151357163X

ISBN 13

9781513571638

Urban Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries

Policies, Projects, and Scenarios

By: Mohsen M. Aboulnaga,Amr F. Elwan,Mohamed R. Elsharouny

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Urban Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries

Policies, Projects, and Scenarios

By: Mohsen M. Aboulnaga,Amr F. Elwan,Mohamed R. Elsharouny

This book describes the risks, impacts, measures, actions and adaptation policies that have developed globally as a result of the severe impacts of global climate change. In-depth chapters focus on climate change assessment (CCA) in terms of vulnerabilities and reflection on the built environment and measures and actions for infrastructure and urban areas. Adaptation actions specific to developing countries such as Egypt are presented and illustrated. Global Climate change adaptation projects (CCAPs) in developing countries, in terms of their targets and performance, are presented and compared with those existing CCAPs in Egypt to draw learned lessons. Climate change scenarios 2080 using simulations are portrayed and discussed with emphasis on a case-study model from existing social housing projects in hot-arid urban areas in Cairo; in an effort to put forward an assessment and evaluation of current CCA techniques. This book helps researchers realize the global impacts of climate change on the built environment and economic sectors, and enhances their understanding of current climate change measures, actions, policies, projects and scenarios. Reviews and illustrates the impact of global climate change risks; Provides an understanding of global climate change risks in seven continents; Illustrates policies and action plans implemented at the global level and developing countries' level; Discusses climate change assessment and vulnerabilities with emphasis on urban areas; Presents measures and action plans to mitigate climate change scenarios by 2080.

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292

Publisher

Springer

Published Date

ISBN 10

3030054055

ISBN 13

9783030054052

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

By: Amr Hosny,Kevin Pallara

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Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

By: Amr Hosny,Kevin Pallara

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1616357215

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9781616357214

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Abajyan,Mr.Mark Fischer

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Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

By: Ms.Pritha Mitra,Amr Hosny,Gohar Abajyan,Mr.Mark Fischer

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 10

1475545444

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9781475545449

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

By: Amr Hosny,Alexandre Sollaci

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Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

By: Amr Hosny,Alexandre Sollaci

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International Monetary Fund

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ISBN 13

9798400220029

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

By: Mr.Sami Ben Naceur,Amr Hosny,Gregory Hadjian

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How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

By: Mr.Sami Ben Naceur,Amr Hosny,Gregory Hadjian

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International Monetary Fund

Published Date

ISBN 10

1513507273

ISBN 13

9781513507279

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

By: Amr Hosny

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Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

By: Amr Hosny

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International Monetary Fund

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151354537X

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9781513545370

Practice Management: Successfully Guiding Your Group into the Future, An Issue of Anesthesiology Clinics

By: Amr Abouleish,Stanley Stead

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Practice Management: Successfully Guiding Your Group into the Future, An Issue of Anesthesiology Clinics

By: Amr Abouleish,Stanley Stead

This issue of Anesthesiology Clinics focuses on Practice Management, with topics including: Measuring Clinical Productivity; OR Throughput and Efficiency; Measuring Quality of Individual Anesthesia Clinicians; Challenges in outcome reporting; Reporting Quality; Quality and The Health System; Value Proposition and Anesthesiology; Bundled Payments and the Hidden Costs; Pre-Anesthesia Assessment and Pre-Facilitation Process; Perioperative Surgical Home and the Role of Pain Medicine; Anesthesiology’s future with Population Health; Successful Negotiations; and Challenges of merging academic and private-practice cultures.

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217

Publisher

Elsevier Health Sciences

Published Date

ISBN 10

0323583911

ISBN 13

9780323583916

Book's by Amr Hosny

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Avoiding the New Mediocre

Avoiding the New Mediocre

Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria

Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries

Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

The Sooner (and the Smarter), the Better: COVID-19 Containment Measures and Fiscal Responses

The Sooner (and the Smarter), the Better: COVID-19 Containment Measures and Fiscal Responses

Urban Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries

Urban Climate Change Adaptation in Developing Countries

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

Practice Management: Successfully Guiding Your Group into the Future, An Issue of Anesthesiology Clinics

Practice Management: Successfully Guiding Your Group into the Future, An Issue of Anesthesiology Clinics

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